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#1 |
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Kasper's Automated Slave
Join Date: Nov 1997
Posts: 6,159
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Apple iMac makeover appears ripe for summer, says firm
There's an 80 percent likelihood that Mac maker Apple Inc. will set aside a day this summer to introduce a complete redesign to its signature iMac desktop line, analysts for Piper Jaffray investment research said this week.
Billing the rumored iMac makeover its "Hot Topic of the Month," the firm cited a lack of recent updates to the all-on-one systems as well as recent AppleInsider reports in saying there is a an 80 percent chance redesigned models will arrive sometime in the coming months. "Based on Apple's product roadmap and the fact that the iMac has not been updated in 309 days, we [...] continue to expect redesigned iMacs this summer," analyst Gene Munster wrote in a research report. In addition to new iMacs, the analyst also referenced reports that Apple is developing a 13-inch MacBook Pro model featuring an ultra-portable, lightweight enclosure. Such a development, he said, could form a possible inroad for Apple in Asia, where Mac sales have lagged global averages. The PiperJaffray analyst also used his report Thursday to reiterate his belief that Apple is working on Mac OS X-based iPods with similar touchscreen features to the iPhone. "While Apple has been criticized for diversifying its product lineup, we believe Apple is focusing its offerings on the OSX software, which is used in Macs, Apple TVs, iPhones, and soon, iPods," he told clients. Munster, who has also been tracking the availability of iPhones at Apple retail stores since launch day, said supply appears somewhat constrained but is improving daily. "Apple's supply met demand through the first weekend, but in less than 1 week, by the 5th of July, only 1 percent of Apple's 165 US retail stores had iPhones available," he wrote. "Stores have been receiving regular shipments of iPhones, and as of July 10 availability levels have stabilized around 50 percent. Munster maintains an Outperform rating on shares of the Cupertino-based Apple with a price target of $160. |
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#2 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 653
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Wow, another one!
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#3 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 250
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now officially citing rumor sites! nice echo chamber effect.
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#4 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The Ansible
Posts: 11,834
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"The PiperJaffray analyst also used his report Thursday to reiterate his belief that Apple is working on Mac OS X-based iPods with similar touchscreen features to the iPhone. "
Where can I get a job repeating what Steve Jobs himself stated? PS? When these analysts release a target price, what kind of time frame are they refering to? |
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#5 |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 5,250
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What do these analysts get paid for? Looking at rumor sites and then making up even more vague predictions?
"this summer" "sometime in the coming months" At least ThinkSecret mentioned August. Here's what I think of you PiperJaffrey: ![]() |
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#6 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Berlin
Posts: 84
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The so-called 'analysts for Piper Jaffray' are playing their usual play-it-safe game, so whatever happens they can always cover themselves.
I mean it's pathetic! Of course there's an 80% chance of a new iMac coming this summer - at least 80%! And what does a target price of $160 for AAPL tell us when the price is already over $130 and everything is lookin up for Apple? How do these people justify their exsistence? Not to mention their inflated salaries!
Charko
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#7 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 67
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#8 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Ireland
Posts: 8,561
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I love the way these analysts try to claim it's their idea. He even thinks the ultra-portable is going to be 13", it's not. I know he reads AI, MR and TS, but he should read them twice.
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Collecting my SSD iMac Fry-die. :D
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#9 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Berlin
Posts: 84
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solipsism,
right! That's something that's always annoyed me. A 'target price' without any sort of time reference is totally irrelevant!
Charko
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#10 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 8,456
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Munster's Boss: "Gene, we've had no solid news from the Apple camp for months. Give me something I can sell to these suckers... I mean, our clients, by tomorrow!"
Munster: "Uh... I got nuthin'... Oh, wait a second." (Lightbulb goes off over head)
"The natural progress of things is for liberty to yield, and government to gain ground."
—Thomas Jefferson Proud AAPL stock owner. |
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#11 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,075
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Quote:
Last edited by Abster2core; 07-12-2007 at 01:53 PM.. |
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#12 |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: NYC
Posts: 19,612
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No, they don't work on commission. They aren't brokers. They aren't selling stocks, or any other securities. They get paid for their analysis.
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#13 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
Posts: 713
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And that analysis doesn't have to be proven true or false...just supported.
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#14 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 47
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Stephen Colbert would be proud
There is a truthiness in all that these journalists/analysts say. I would say these reports are not rumors but, are infotainment. Imagine AI, MR, or TS going a single business day without an update of some kind. My greatest fear is what will the analtainmentysts be able to report on with the new imacs, leopard , and ipods released by Dec...
It has been 30 days and counting since the imac platform has been updated....When will jobs address this problem !!! ![]() |
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#15 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,075
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You are right. I should have said they get paid from the revenues generated by the brokers. In effect, bad analysis causes bad client relationships. Enough of them and you are out.
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#16 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 653
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Quote:
Anyway, this will NOT be an Ultra-Portable. At best, it'll be slightly more portable than a MacBook. Following a 13" MBP, Apple will either release a smaller MacBook or tablet that can be considered as an ultra-portable... but Apple will never market it that way. They' simple call it MacBook Mini or the iSlate or whatever it happens to be. Apple doesn't succumb to the limitations of conventional terminology when developing their products. -Clive |
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#17 | |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: NYC
Posts: 19,612
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Quote:
The problems we had in the '90's, with banking houses owning the research arms, which were then sometimes perverted into becoming an arm of their banking business has disappeared, with most all of these research companies not being owned by brokerage and banking houses. when they are, they must say so. As the client lists of the investment houses, and banks are public (for the most part), when research units are owned, it's easy, if you want to, to find if the research is benefiting the client list. While it may appear that way upon occasion, if a company is doing well, and the analyst praises it, it's the trend that must be observed. |
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#18 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,075
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Quote:
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#19 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 14
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Is anyone else sick of this yet? The rumours are driving me crazy. I'm not getting a mac 'till leopard is out, and then I'll still wait for an iMac redesign... Why, cruel world? Why tease me with hopes of really cool technology appearing this summer?
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#20 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 293
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Quote:
In a another research paper a senior analyst a Perdy, Berdy and Nerdy Research Inc also concluded that based on the 12 ounce Steak with creamed potato i had for dinner last night along with the bowl of cereal and fruit i ate this morning there is an 80% chance that i will have a bowel movement sometime today. |
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#21 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 293
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On a slightly more serious note
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It might sound a bit picky but in a global economy it is probably useful to understand, using months or quarters is probably the most appropriate method. I understand that it is much easier to be vague when you just say 'summer' as even if the imac is delayed until September you can still claim a win, but saying the next 3 months or so will serve the same purpose. |
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#22 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: parts unknown
Posts: 5,166
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Members of AI should get paid as an informants. We do all this guys research, and he reiterates it to stockholders. They should give me a fuxing job!
![]()
Ask Apple to use the Skulltrail SLI motherboard as a BTO option for the next Mac Pro's.
http://www.apple.com/feedback/macpro.html |
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#23 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Apple Fantasy Land
Posts: 738
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Quote:
In other news, there is an 80% chance that Apple will update its popular Macbook Pro line within the next 4 years. Analyst Bill Smith gives us this data based on recent market trends with such factors included like common sense and not being a complete moron. Also, B.S. says that the next-gen laptops targeted at professionals from the Cupertino based mac maker (NASDAQ: AAPL) will involve processor, HDD, and GPU upgrades among others and possibly a case redesign.![]() ![]() ![]()
Serving humanity one sarcastic comment at a time.
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#24 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: San Diego
Posts: 96
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I really hope that these rumors are true and not merely contrived. I've been waiting for 8 months to get a new iMac ~ I really miss my 20" screen real estate and very much want a 24" (or better).
...Steve will probably not give us swell new imacs till Leopard ~ and that probably won't come till Halloween ~ Trick or Treat special!
Miles
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#25 | |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: NYC
Posts: 19,612
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#26 | |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: NYC
Posts: 19,612
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Quote:
Yet, they always claim to be correct. |
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#27 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,075
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I apologize if I am misunderstanding your position here, but Piper Jaffray is an investment bank with a research department that issues reports to support their buy/sell recommendations to their clients only. Obviously other investment firms keep track of their competitors' recommendations and use them in part to help develop their own reports. The media in turn picks them up and uses them for 'news', etc.
Last edited by Abster2core; 07-12-2007 at 08:55 PM.. |
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#28 |
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Brown is the new black.
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Melbourne, Victoria. Australia
Posts: 63
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Supply & Demand...
Apple's supply met demand?
When has Apple's supply EVER met demand outside of the US home market? This issue is really starting to irk me - I'm in Australia (yes, I understand that Australia is a LONG way from the rest of the world, yes I understand that Australia is a small, in terms of total potential, market) and we are having to wait weeks and weeks for something as simple as a 15" Mac Book Pro! I mean, honestly! Weeks and weeks for a laptop? I don't think so. As for the iPhone, we'll wait almost a year - and that I can understand since it requires partnering with Aussie Telcos - who are notoriously difficult to deal with at the best of times. But a laptop? Come on Apple - extract the digit and consider markets OUTSIDE the US will ya? ![]()
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In faecorum semper solum profundum variat! ----------------------------------------- |
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#29 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,075
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I got the impression that you think that Munster is a independent and that his analysis is in no way reflects on how he is remunerated.
If so, from Wikipedia: The research department sometimes doesn't have the ability to bring in enough money to be a self-sustaining research company. The research analysts department is therefore sometimes a unit of an investment, investment brokerage, or investment advisory firm. (As is Piper Jaffray) Since 2002 there has been extra effort to overcome perceived conflicts of interest between the investment part of the firm and the public and client research part of the firm (see accounting scandals). For example, research firms are sometimes separated into two categories, "brokerage" and "independent"; the independent researchers are not part of an investment firm and don't have the same incentive to issue overly favorable views on companies. (Unlike Munster who is an employee of Piper Jaffray) But that might not be sufficient to avoid all conflicts of interest. The debate is still about the way sell-side analysts are paid. Usually brokerage fees pay for their research. But this creates a temptation for analysts to act as stock sellers and to lure investors into "overtrading"." Some consider that it would be sounder if investors had to pay financial research separately and directly to fully independent research firms. From a recent (07/11/07) Piper Jaffray research report on Apple (http://pjc.bluematrix.com/bluematrix...re?ticker=AAPL) "Piper Jaffray was making a market in the securities of Apple, Inc. at the time this research report was published. Piper Jaffray will buy and sell Apple, Inc. securities on a principal basis. "Piper Jaffray research analysts receive compensation that is based, in part, on overall firm revenues, which include investment banking revenues." |
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#30 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 504
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#31 | |||
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,700
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Quote:
![]() That said, as below, MBP 15" are totally assfracked in terms of supply everywhere around the world. I checked yesterday, Singapore and US Apple Stores, for example, online, are showing 7-10 business days. That translates into almost 3 weeks in reality. The MBP 15" 2.2ghz is backordered up the wazoo through to the end of September, I imagine. Quote:
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Selling teh Apple is no longer about sales anymore. Heh. ...It is about crowd control. ![]() |
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#32 | |||
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,700
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Quote:
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#33 | |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: NYC
Posts: 19,612
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Quote:
While I would never accept that things are now perfect, the serious lapses have been, for the most part, curbed. Insider trading, and information sharing are now brought to court when found. Research arms of banks are now required to have a "Chinese" wall between them and the banks sales force, unlike in the past. They also, as I mentioned, must tell of their affiliations, which they didn't have to do before. Also, unlike the banking analysts of the '90's, these analysts, and the companies they work for are now money making divisions themselves, unlike the free services they were before. Of course, any company which has various divisions, can be suspect, IF it can be shown that it's analysis is biased, and therefore wrong, on a consistent basis. You have to prove that. You also have to prove that the salary of analysts in the research division gain or lose from the profits of the banking division in a way that would reflect upon their own work. They are very unlikely to deceive their customers, whose fees and subscriptions they now depend upon to stay in business. Piper has a good record. If anything, over the years, I have found them to be somewhat conservative regarding Apple. |
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#34 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,075
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Quote:
If you go to the Piper Jaffray site (as linked) and look at their analyst reports they include a disclosure which by law is all that is minimally required. |
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#35 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 246
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#36 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 246
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#37 | |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: NYC
Posts: 19,612
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Quote:
I'll give you the Google search page for this. There is simply too much to read through. Be aware that SEC rules carry the force of law. http://www.google.com/search?client=...UTF-8&oe=UTF-8 |
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#38 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,075
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Quote:
If you go to the Piper Jaffray site (as linked) and look at their analyst reports they include a disclosure which by law is all that is minimally required. By the way, here is the law: Regulation AC requires broker-dealers and their associated persons that are “covered persons” that publish, circulate or provide a research report to a U.S. person in the United States to include a certification by the research analyst primarily responsible for the content of the report. The certification by the research analyst must (i) attest that the views expressed in the report accurately reflect the analyst’s personal views about the subject securities or issuers, and (ii) disclose whether or not the analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be tied to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. If the analyst’s compensation is tied to the recommendation or views expressed, the analyst must further disclose the source and amount of such compensation, the purpose of the compensation, and that the compensation may influence the recommendation in the research report. The adopting release clarifies that the compensation disclosure requirement is intended to focus only on compensation related to a specific recommendation or view. The SEC has stated that disclosure is not required for compensation derived from the performance of a recommendation or for the performance of general duties in preparing the report. The certifications must be “clear and prominent,” meaning that the front page of the report must either contain the certification or the page numbers where the certifications can be found. In addition as posted on the Piper Jaffray site, "2 Analysts may qualify for a discretionary bonus. The level of their bonus is determined by Research Management and the Investment Research Budget and Compensation Committee. That determination is based on a broad range of internal and external benchmarks, and a variety of other factors, including the overall profitability and revenue of Piper Jaffray and the competitive environment. Analysts’ compensation may not be based directly or indirectly on specific investment banking revenues. (as mandated by law)" |
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#39 | |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: NYC
Posts: 19,612
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Quote:
Thank you. |
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#40 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,075
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Quote:
“Exchange Act”). See SEC Release No. 33-8193 (http://www.sec.gov/rules/final/33-8193.htm). Are you calling me a liar? |
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