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#1 |
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Kasper's Automated Slave
Join Date: Nov 1997
Posts: 6,151
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Notes of interest from Apple's Q108 quarterly conference call
Apple on Tuesday announced its most profitable quarter in company history, and held a financial conference call with analysts and members of the media. Several notes of interest from the finished call follow:
Apple on Tuesday announced financial results for its fiscal 2008 first quarter ended December 29, 2007. The company posted revenue of $9.6 billion and net quarterly profit of $1.58 billion, or $1.76 per diluted share. Apple regional business segments Apple Americas accounted for 841,000 Mac sales and $4.298B in revenues. These figures are up 35 percent and 22 percent year-over-year. Sequentially, however, shipments are down 17 percent with revenue up 9 percent. Apple Europe accounted for 705,000 Mac sales and $2.471B in revenues. Both these figures are up 44 percent and 36 percent year-over-year, and up 41 percent and 85 percent sequentially. Apple Japan accounted for 91,000 Mac sales and $400M in revenues. These figures have increased by 30 and 40 percent year-over-year, as well as 26 and 57 percent sequentially. Japan's surprise bounce-back in sales was led by strong receptions to the iMac and the iPod touch. Apple's Asia Pacific (and FileMaker Inc) accounted for 178,000 Mac sales and $738M in revenues. These figures are up 59 percent and 53 percent year-over-year. Sequentially, unit sales rose 15 percent in the Asia Pacific regions with revenue increasing 66 percent. Apple's "Other Music Related Products and Services" segment accounted for $808M in revenue. The figure represents a 27 percent year-over-year increase and a 34 percent sequential lift to Apple's results. Apple's "Peripherals and Other Hardware" added $382M in revenue, representing a 29 percent growth year-over-year and 10 percent sequentially. Apple's "Software, Service and Other Sales" segment accounted for $628M in revenue, a spike of 81 percent year-over-year and 46 percent sequentially. There was an "incredible growth" in the audio and video businesses, driven by Logic 8 and Final Cut Studio 2.* The digital media production space was nonetheless "slow," Apple noted. Apple's Mac business Apple sold 977,000 desktops during the quarter and 1,342,000 notebooks. The figures signal Mac shipment increases of 53 and 38 percent for each category year-over-year, but virtually flat sequential sales for notebooks and a 20 percent sequential increase for desktops. Macs accounted for 47 percent of total revenue and exceeded forecasts by 700,000 units. At an increase of 44 percent year-over-year, this growth was more than 2.5 times the market growth rate, according to IDC numbers. Leopard revenue was $170 million in the quarter, up from $100 million for Tiger in its own first quarter; about 19 percent of the Mac user base is already believed to be using the new software. Sales of the new iMac continue to be very "robust." The iMac had "enormous momentum" and grew at over five times IDC's projected average for desktop sales. The educational market saw a record quarter and grew about five times IDC's projected growth, both in K-12 and higher education. Larger businesses are also interested in the Mac. The MacBook Air is seeing "very strong" pre-orders, but it's too early to tell whether the system will cannibalize existing MacBook or MacBook Pro sales. Apple's iPhone business Apple sold 2,315,000 million iPhones during the quarter and earned about $241 million. Apple is "pleased" with the iPhone's momentum. Customers "really appreciated" the $100 iPhone credit, but the impact to Apple's finances are behind the company now and were absorbed into the last two quarters. The company is confident it will hit the target of selling 10 million iPhones by the end of 2008. Apple still plans to enter Asia in 2008, plus additional European countries. There was no mention of a Canadian release. A "significant" number of iPhone buyers likely bought it with the intent to unlock the device for another carrier, but Apple can't quantify this and has no precise estimates. Apple has already sold 300,000 iPhones in January as of Macworld San Francisco and estimates a daily sales rate of 20,000 iPhones per day. Apple's iPod and iTunes businesses Over 22,121,000 million iPods were sold this quarter. iPod channel inventory remains on track at 4-6 weeks of inventory. According to NPD, the iPod's share of digital media players was consistent with the year-ago quarter in the US, but grew in nearly all European countries. The iPod touch led much of the growth in the iPod line and has the potential to define a new "mainstream Wi-Fi mobile platform" running "all kinds of mobile applications." Apple may have traded unit volume in the short term but believes it made the right decision. The success of the iPod touch came despite being priced about $50 higher than iPods have reached for some time, Apple says. The average selling price of an iPod was $181 and helped drive revenue. The objective of the iTunes Store remains to run the store at just above break-even to help drive iPhone and iPod sales. Apple isn't projecting Apple TV volumes but believes it has "a great product." Apple's Retail business Apple's retail stores combined to sell 504,000 Mac units and generate $1.701B in revenues during Apple's fourth fiscal quarter, representing yearly growth of 64 percent in units and 53 percent in revenue. Sequentially, the retail segment produced a 7 percent rise in units and a 36 percent increase in revenue. Retail stores generated $405 million in segment margins compared to 259 million in the year-ago quarter. Seven stores opened during the quarter, providing Apple with a total 204 stores. With an average 201 stores open over the period, an average store's revenue was $8.5 million compared to $6.5 million a year ago. There were 38.4 million visitors total to all of Apple's stores, which breaks down to about 14,700 visitors per store, per week. Traffic in retail stores grew by over 10 million customers year-over-year. Stores delivered over 300,000 personal training sessions during the quarter. Gross margins increased primarily due to stronger software sales, a weaker US dollar, and higher revenues. Apple ended calendar 2007 with 286 store-within-a-store Best Buy locations that have "added to Mac momentum." The plan should extend to about 600 Best Buy stores within the next six months. The company is "very happy" with its Best Buy relationship. Apple expects to open between 35 and 40 stores in fiscal 2008. The company plans to open more international stores in 2008 than it did last year, including its first stores in China. There are 9,500 Mac distribution points, up from 7,700 a year ago. Apple is expanding this because of the momentum in its Mac business. In Europe, there are 2,500 storefronts selling the iPhone between France, Germany, and the UK. There are 2,100 in the US. Apple is considering enhancing the Apple TV displays at its stores and third parties to highlight the revamped software, but there is nothing to announce today. The financial side of Q4 Operating margin for the quarter was 22.1 percent, and was better than expected due to higher gross margins. The tax rate was 32 percent. Apple added $3 billion in cash, ending the quarter with $18.4 billion. This is being increased to give Apple flexibility to make strategic acquisitions. Stock buyback programs and other forms of returning cash have been discussed wit hteh board from time time to time, but as of now the company is focusing on a strong balance sheet. Direct sales accounted for 46 percent of all sales, compared to 44 percent the year before. Apple's next (Q108) fiscal quarter Apple expects revenue of about $6.8 billion and earnings per diluted share of about 94 cents. Gross margins should be lower at 32 percent due to a gradual slowdown in Mac OS X Leopard, iLife, and iWork sales, plus typical post-holiday seasonal declines. Operating expenses are predicted to be $1.12 billion for the period. Apple has already sold 300,000 iPhones in January as of Macworld San Francisco. For the current quarter, the expectation is that RAM and NAND flash memory prices will remain flat. Hard drive, LCD, and optical drives will be close to meeting a supply/demand balance, which should improve pricing. All other commodities should improve as well. Quotes from the conference call "We believe one of the iPod's future directions is to become the first mainstream Wi-Fi mobile platform, running all kinds of mobile applications." "We think the MacBook Air will appeal to travelers, professors, all kinds of people who want to access a computer wherever they are." The company believes the Air has a very competitive price, especially given its size, weight, and features. When one caller mentions her firm has ordered two MacBook Air models: "orders are very strong for the MacBook Air. We hope you have a good spot in the [order] queue." On Apple TV: "we think we have it right this time. We'll see on Apple TV." |
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#2 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The Ansible
Posts: 11,779
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.........
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#3 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 594
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94 cents?
How does 94 cents compare with Apple's year-ago guidance?
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#4 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Paradise
Posts: 399
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Ouch... AAPL down to 137 after hours... 11% drop, 16% for the day!
94 Cents is a 8% growth rate from last year. Consensus was $1.09, or a fairly conservative 25% growth. Great quarter, but now everybody will be spooked about the overall economy killing them. |
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#5 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Crap. My stock's gettin' positively killed.
![]() This sucks. Stevie, 3G iPhone, STAT!!! .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#6 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Australia
Posts: 969
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All sounds like excellent stuff.
Forgetting forecasts etc - Apple's revenues , profits, market share are all growing great. As for forecasts, for the last few years Apple aims low, analysts aim medium, and performance exceeds both. So Apple forecasting lower than analysts for next quarter doesn't come as a surprise. Am I missing anything? (ps. Come on Apple, time to make the rest of the world a 1st class Apple citizen ![]() [edit: sorry, not to make light of stock drops, but I figure that's part of the larger market, not Apple] |
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#7 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Panther City, TX
Posts: 54
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CNN was saying this years lack luster Macworld '08 is partly to blame for the dramatic fall. I don't get it, are they not counting other world markets? FYI to you stockholders, don't panic & sell off your stock. It will be back up very soon.
You are coming to a sad realization, cancel or allow?
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#8 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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Quote:
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#9 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The Ansible
Posts: 11,779
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The market is down, but today's after-hours landslide is because of the quarterly earnings... somehow
Last edited by solipsism; 01-22-2008 at 06:02 PM.. |
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#10 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: England UK
Posts: 200
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International Sales
Nice to see international sales accounting for almost half the revenue. With Europe in particular looking good for Apple the message is clearly getting through.
![]() Let's hope Apple push forward the iTunes Movie Rentals for the UK sooner rather than later. When Jobs say's it's coming later in the year, i hope he doesn't mean Xmas. I've always felt the content on the UK iTunes store is lagging too far behind what's available in the US. When you think of the close relationship, the common language and the huge amount of US television here in the UK, i think it's a pretty poor effort. ![]() Of course it isn't all down to Apple but that's my two-pence worth. ![]() |
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#11 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 849
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MacWorld disappoints explains last weeks drop. Apple dropped throughout the day with the rest of the tech sector, but this after-hours drop is because of the call. Lower growth forecast for this quarter is likely what killed them.
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#12 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 12
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Forgive my ignorance in this matter, but it sounds to me that the conference call was rather positive, wasn't it? Why do you think it triggered that fall?
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#13 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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#14 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Been here since 1998
Posts: 326
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AAPL is a consumer-spending-dependent company. All signs point to recession, including decreased consumer spending. If it affects Apple, and Apple includes it in the guidance, you know that the near term is not good news for Apple, hence the AAPL sell off.
you wish
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#15 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Southern Paradise
Posts: 4,647
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Quote:
There is also the lovely situation when analysts predict a company will do XYZ and when the company doesn't do that they are criticized for not meeting expectations (of people who don't work for the company) and stocks are punished, despite possibly having a banner year (from the perspective of those in the company). The analysts obviously know more about a company than the company does. The whole thing is very childish to me; sadly, the world revolves around this idiotic game of selfishness and greed all based on chance. Can anybody tell I didn't get enough sleep last night? ![]()
Teacher: "What state do you live in?"
Calvin: "Denial." |
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#16 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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#17 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Been here since 1998
Posts: 326
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Quote:
Stock prices aren't a scoreboard, it's a supply and demand market. When a share in a company is not worth the price it's at, you don't buy it, and if people really want to sell, they have to reduce the price even further. In this case, the stock will probably not be worth very much next quarter, so people are trying to get rid of their shares.
you wish
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#18 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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Quote:
The market also has a heard mentality. Once you scare a couple you have an over reaction of many to follow. |
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#19 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Ireland
Posts: 8,558
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Quote:
![]()
Collecting my SSD iMac Fry-die. :D
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#20 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,395
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Quote:
People are spooked about the markets overall, and they're going to use any minor negative detail in an announcement as an excuse to sell, regardless of how positive it is overall. So if you really think AAPL's stock price is going to "not very much", you shorted it, right? |
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#21 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Southern Paradise
Posts: 4,647
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The fate of the world rests in the hands of people who get spooked easily and overreact. That is reassuring.
Teacher: "What state do you live in?"
Calvin: "Denial." |
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#22 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: North America
Posts: 859
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Quote:
Buying opportunity for AAPL! Remember, Daedelus said $600 by Dec 2008. Get out there people! |
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#23 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
Dream on. While the Dow Jones as a whole is down 16 percent from its peak (and the NASDAQ is 20 percent off of a 5-year high), in after-hours trading Apple is down nearly 32 percent from where it was just a few weeks ago. Much worse than the market as a whole, and not good by any stretch. ![]() So it's more than just the economy (though it sure ain't helpin'). And yep, a 3G iPhone would help, as that would goose Euro sales, as even you yourself have admitted. Though Apple also has to work on pricing issues over there as well. ![]() .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] Last edited by TBaggins; 01-22-2008 at 07:41 PM.. |
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#24 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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Quote:
Baggins you are beyond comical with this 3G fetish. What evidence is their that a 3G iPhone would make any difference? |
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#25 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
![]() Good lord man, sit down, shut up, and have a drink. Its that kind of day. .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#26 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The Ansible
Posts: 11,779
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Quote:
2) Your sig is way to big. |
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#27 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 404
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Wow. I feel _REALLY_ stupid now for buying some shares just before MacWorld ($178ish). Apple has always been a very volatile, crazy stock. It seems to "overcorrect" a lot. I wouldn't be surprised to see it up $10 tomorrow - not that I think it will be, I just wouldn't be surprised.
Oh well, I bought most of my few shares back in the 90s when it was around $30. Selling a few helped with a down payment on my first house. I'd just like to get back in the acquiring mode. This might be a good opportunity. - Jasen. |
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#28 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
Quote:
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The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#29 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
I feel your pain. I seriously though about selling at $200 in late December, but I thought, "There should be some good announcements at MacWorld. And if not, the earnings call should be stellar enough to set everything right." Ugh. ![]() .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#30 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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Quote:
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#31 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
![]() Quote:
Apparently AI undid whatever they were doing, 'cuz alluva sudden, my sig became big. So I had to go back and adjust again. I think its good now. Its the same size as I remember it being before the weirdness. .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] Last edited by TBaggins; 01-22-2008 at 08:13 PM.. |
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#32 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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Quote:
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#33 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
If Apple gave very conservative and somewhat dismal future guidance (and it appears that it has): Apple forecast profit in the second fiscal quarter of 94 cents per share, far short of the $1.09 per share that analysts were expecting. Revenue is also expected to be lower, coming in around $6.8 billion, compared with the $6.99 billion forecast by analysts. ...then it appears those doubts go well beyond 'perception'. Apple knows its in for a bumpy ride, and its trying to get the bad news out early. Guess I'm gonna have to hold my stock a good long while before I see $200 again. Bummer. ![]() .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#34 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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Quote:
Also the economy may not slowdown as much as feared and Apple may beat these estimates. |
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#35 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
Quote:
Apple can't control the economy, but they can control their product portfolio and pricing. Let's hope for some adroit moves on both fronts. .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#36 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 8,453
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The market is typically emotional, seldom rational. For example, I would guess that the biggest buyers of iTunes and iPod products are young people, who typically spend the most on impulse items... in this case, downloads. The market is just laying a goose egg right now. If it starts to look like an Obama or Clinton presidency is in the offing later in the year, expect the market to really take a dump.
"The natural progress of things is for liberty to yield, and government to gain ground."
—Thomas Jefferson Proud AAPL stock owner. |
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#37 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 634
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AppleTV should have a good year...
Mainly due to movie rental content arriving in Europe this year. Europe hasn't had much content to use on the AppleTV so hopefully that will change real soon this year as Jobs stated it would.
The movie rental bit makes the AppleTV more appealing but the barrier to entry is still steep. Even though Apple dropped its price $229 is still a leap above $50 for a DVD player. Though it is quite a bit cheaper than a HD player. I don't have an HD TV yet so the value proposition isn't there for me yet. I believe just $30 cheaper would have pushed the AppleTV to the hot item list. $199 is a magical price point. I'll hold out hope that fall will see the AppleTV prices drop to that level then I'll put that on my Christmas wish list. With over $18 billion in cash Apple could well afford to buy EyeTV and incorporate into a new model AppleTV. Why doesn't Apple make the AppleTV in a black model? I pay a bit extra for that color. ![]()
Tory Hagen
Break the Wedge! |
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#38 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: England
Posts: 557
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Quote:
Annoying, but I'm gonna treat this as a lesson and as a buying opportunity, I have just doubled my stake in Apple. I have great confidence the company will be back up there before long. |
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#39 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
Quote:
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The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#40 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
Why? The economy was a lot better under Hil's husband than it ever was under Dubya. ![]() .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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