AppleInsider AppleInsider Forums


Go Back   AppleInsider > General Discussion
Register Members List New Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 01-22-2008, 08:31 PM   #1
AppleInsider
Kasper's Automated Slave
 
Join Date: Nov 1997
Posts: 6,153
Apple shares tumble in after-hours on disappointing outlook

Shares of Apple Inc. were further battered and bruised on Tuesday evening, shedding over 11 percent of their value after the company guided considerably below Wall Street's expectations for its fiscal second quarter of the year.

The Cupertino-based Mac maker said it expects to earn $0.94 per share on sales of approximately $6.8 billion for the three-month period ending March, compared to Street consensus estimates of about $1.09 per share on nearly $7 billion in revenues.

The guidance sent shares tumbling to their lowest point in over four months -- down $17.35 or some 11.15 percent to $138.29 -- as investors feared that even a company with Apple's momentum may have trouble weathering a possible recession and sluggish global economy.

Shares had already closed down $5.72 or 3.54 percent to $155.64 earlier in the day.

During a conference call with analysts and members of the media, Apple chief executive Peter Oppenheimer defended his second-quarter estimates, calling it "very strong" guidance. "We are very confident we will achieve it," he said.

Also weighing on investor sentiment was word that iPod sales remained relatively flat in the US on a yearly basis, suggesting that the digital media player market -- which accounts for more than 40 percent of the company's revenues -- is quickly approaching its saturation point.

Apple executives immediately discounted the notion, however, noting that iPod revenues grew 17 percent year-over-year, a figure they maintain is "uncharacteristic of a saturated market."

Company officials further countered concerns by explaining that Apple hopes to transition the iPod touch -- the primary driver behind the iPod's 17 percent revenue growth -- beyond an advanced music player and into the first "mainstream Wi-Fi mobile platform" capable of running "all kinds of mobile applications."

Though executives failed to expand on this vision, the company is known to be working at least two initiatives that will help set it is handheld business apart from the pack even further. The first, due to arrive next month, is a software developers kit (SDK) that will enabled third parties to author a plethora of new applications for both the iPhone and iPod touch.

The second, as AppleInsider reported in September, is a slightly larger and much enhanced iPod touch-like device mostly reminiscent of a modern day incarnation of a Newton MessagePad -- the Apple handheld device that gave birth to the PDA market back in the 90's.
AppleInsider is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:01 PM   #2
nagromme
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: No GPS signal.
Posts: 1,169
It seems to me that a saturated market would see a big DECREASE in sales, not flat (a.k.a. as strong as ever) sales. Flat sales still means that thousands more people own iPods each month than the month before. The number of iPod users is growing rapidly--about as fast as it ever has--it's just growing at a forever-accelerating rate.

Saturation would mean everyone who wants one already has one (and is not ready to replace it). It would mean sales slowdown, not maintaining the same high sales.


nagromme is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:03 PM   #3
TBaggins
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
Apple's now down into the 137s in after hours trading. How much Apple market cap got wiped out in the past month? $40 billion?

C'mon Steve-o... 3G iPhone, STAT!!!. And some more aggressive notebook pricing.

The 'Wi-Fi platform' talk for the iPod Touch is encouraging, however. And at least they're doing a 'Take 2' on AppleTV, instead of just throwing a fit and killing it, as has sometimes been Steve's way when things don't sell.

.


The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY
To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol
Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =]
TBaggins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:06 PM   #4
teckstud
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 6,132
Too bad we didn't get a new more affordable Newton Pad rather than the MacBook Elite at MacWorld- maybe a broader appealing device would have given more confidence.


Last edited by teckstud; 01-22-2008 at 09:33 PM..
teckstud is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:14 PM   #5
kresh
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: in a strange land, waiting on my King to come and establish His Kingdom!
Posts: 259
Quote:
Originally Posted by AppleInsider View Post

The Cupertino-based Mac maker said it expects to earn $0.94 per share on sales of approximately $6.8 billion for the three-month period ending March, compared to Street consensus estimates of about $1.09 per share on nearly $7 billion in revenues.
This $0.94 per share is an increase of 29% over same time last year. Here's the fun part. The average of what Wall Streets analyst were guessing was $1.09 per share.

So Apple says that they are going to do 29% better than last year yet they get slammed because it doesn't match what so called "analysts" were guessing. This is guessing about the future I might add.

This just fundamentally proves that the stock market is legalized gambling and not investing. How this form of gambling became a hallmark of our nation's financial health is a travesty!


edit: I propose new Federal legislation. Market Analysts must advertise themselves as "Handicappers" and Stock Brokers must advertise themselves as "Bookies"!


Please click here to help add native TrueCrypt encryption to Pathfinder by voting for this feature in CocoaTech's Feature Suggestion Voting System, No registration required. Spread the word!


Last edited by kresh; 01-22-2008 at 09:22 PM.. Reason: Added last thought on the subject.
kresh is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:19 PM   #6
TenoBell
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,256
Quote:
Too bad we didn't get the new Newton Pad rather than the MacBook Elite at MacWorld- maybe a broader appealing device would have given more confidence.
Customer reaction to the MacBook Air has been great, with "very strong orders" so far.
TenoBell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:20 PM   #7
TenoBell
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,256
Quote:
This just fundamentally proves that the stock market is legalized gambling and not investing. How this form of gambling became a hallmark of our nation's financial health is a travesty!
The stock market was started by men who were essentially robber barons. So I suppose you can say its nothing new.
TenoBell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:26 PM   #8
TBaggins
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
Quote:
Originally Posted by TenoBell View Post
Customer reaction to the MacBook Air has been great, with "very strong orders" so far.

Isn't that true of pretty much any new Apple product these days (Euro iPhone aside)? Steve could announce his laundry list and it'd sell well... at launch, anyway.

The real test isn't initial orders to the hardcore Apple faithful, but how well sales hold up long-term. But I am rooting for the MBAir, even though it isn't a true subnotebook. Its just so durn 'sexay'.

.


The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY
To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol
Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =]
TBaggins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:47 PM   #9
GregoryNP
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 8
These Market players kill me. Merrill Lynch writes off 10 Billion. Apple makes Billions. Merrill goes up, Apple tanks.
GregoryNP is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 09:53 PM   #10
dmz
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Earth
Posts: 5,678
Relax guys, Apple is continuing to add more and revenue streams, all the while virtualization is greasing the rails towards doubling their market share. And all they need is another year or two of 30%ish growth to do that.

Call me in 18 mos.


In our desire to impose form on the world and our lives we have lost the capacity to see the form that is there;
and in that lies not liberation but alienation, the cutting off from things as they really are. -- Colin Gunton
dmz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:09 PM   #11
jammiedodger
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 8
Quote:
Originally Posted by kresh View Post
So Apple says that they are going to do 29% better than last year yet they get slammed because it doesn't match what so called "analysts" were guessing.
Most analysts don't guess, they predict based on a wide range of sources, like meteorologists (who have gotten things wrong in the past). Of course there are some good analysts and bad analysts but for the most part, across the market, what you call "guesses" aren't that far off.

The market had of course factored in the analyst's estimates into the stock price, so it is only logical that we see a drop based on Apple being unlikely to meet those estimates, after all if we didn't then the market value would be "wrong" and the stock overvalued (of course it might still be overvalued or undervalued in what is an inefficient market). Bear in mind that if we look at the P/E ratio AAPL is a growth stock, so movement is not going to be based on the company merely doing better year on year.

So, what you're saying is that because for the most part the value of a stock is based on what the market considers to be the most likely future for the company which determines the supply and demand for the shares, investing in the market is merely gambling? Now, I'm not going to disagree with that but you have to draw a line between what is gambling and what isn't, after all which investments don't carry risk? Even putting money in a bank could be considered gambling.

But most importantly, your reasoning for it being gambling seems to be that because the analysts were "guessing" it's down to luck? That would of course deny the reality that there are a large number of consistently successful players in the market, showing that in this zero sum game it is possible to be more adept than the competition.
jammiedodger is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:16 PM   #12
potterhead4
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 58
Anyone see the Forbes article about Apple's quarter? I think they might have hit a new low.
potterhead4 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:18 PM   #13
Proximityeffect
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 47
Time to buy 
Proximityeffect is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:19 PM   #14
TenoBell
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,256
Quote:
The real test isn't initial orders to the hardcore Apple faithful, but how well sales hold up long-term. But I am rooting for the MBAir, even though it isn't a true subnotebook. Its just so durn 'sexay'
I've never really seen Apple call it a subnotebook. Steve billed it as the worlds thinnest.

The Air is not at all a replacement for any other computer. Its more a lightweight companion to your workhorse. It won't sell as much as the MB or MBP. But it will sell.
TenoBell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:25 PM   #15
TBaggins
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
Quote:
Originally Posted by TenoBell View Post
I've never really seen Apple call it a subnotebook. Steve billed it as the worlds thinnest.

The Air is not at all a replacement for any other computer. Its more a lightweight companion to your workhorse. It won't sell as much as the MB or MBP. But it will sell.

Agreed. It's not a subnotebook or ultraportable (since the footprint's no smaller than a regular MacBook), rather, its a sexy, lightweight, ultrathin MB. Period.

Will that lead to great sales, at $1800? Initially, sure. Long-term, maybe not so much. I see it as being more of a 'solid' seller than a big hit. But we'll see.


.


The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY
To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol
Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =]
TBaggins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:32 PM   #16
fm008
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 2
Quote:
Originally Posted by potterhead4 View Post
Anyone see the Forbes article about Apple's quarter? I think they might have hit a new low.
I stopped taking them seriously when they bashed Tyco years ago when it was a single digit stock. Good thing I didn't listen and rode the recovery on that stock. Here's my favorite quote from their article on Apple:

"The company blamed the weak economy for its lowered guidance".

If you listened to the conference call, there was no such thing. The CFO's comments were along the lines that we leave the prediction of where the economy goes to others, we are just concentrating on running the business. A totally blatant lie by Forbes.
fm008 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:37 PM   #17
stevetim
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 87
you have to admit that there were no really big innovations to start the year ... compared to last year ... however it appears there are strong financials and the company is well run.
stevetim is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:44 PM   #18
anantksundaram
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,221
Quote:
Originally Posted by fm008 View Post
I stopped taking them seriously when they bashed Tyco years ago when it was a single digit stock. Good thing I didn't listen and rode the recovery on that stock. Here's my favorite quote from their article on Apple:

"The company blamed the weak economy for its lowered guidance".

If you listened to the conference call, there was no such thing. The CFO's comments were along the lines that we leave the prediction of where the economy goes to others, we are just concentrating on running the business. A totally blatant lie by Forbes.
Excellent observation.

Unfortunately, this kind of shoddy/sloppy reporting is par for the course. Notice our own AI's headline above: "disappointing outlook," it says, as though Apple may have indicated "disappointment."

The accurate and fair headline would have been, "....outlook that the market - after-hours - interpreted as disappointing."
anantksundaram is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:45 PM   #19
TenoBell
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,256
Quote:
Agreed. It's not a subnotebook or ultraportable (since the footprint's no smaller than a regular MacBook), rather, its a sexy, lightweight, ultrathin MB. Period.
It definitely is competing in the ultraportable market. The balance though is a computer that is so small its difficult to use for work defeats the purpose of having the computer in the first place.

From Anand:

"The problem with my Picturebook and every other ultra-portable I've owned (including the sub-2lbs Sony X505) was that I'd get to a point where my productivity suffered too much and I'd switch to a larger, but more usable notebook. The keyboards were too small, the performance too low or the screen resolution insufficient; there would always be a reason and I'd end up abandoning my sexy little notebook for something more practical."
TenoBell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 10:52 PM   #20
TBaggins
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
Quote:
Originally Posted by TenoBell View Post
It definitely is competing in the ultraportable market.

Its not an ultraportable, but it is trying to woo people away from ultraportables. How well that'll work, remains to be seen.

It's just so very Steve. Let's not give people what they say they want, but rather something that I think is better. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't. But you gotta give him props for the massive juevos.

.


The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY
To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol
Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =]
TBaggins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 11:17 PM   #21
thebigapple
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 16
Apple is not an island

I love Apple, their innovations, the eco-conscious efforts that they are now putting into place, and the progressive mindset that has made them one of the most inspiring corporations in the world. Regardless of what one might believe about the stock market and gambling, analyst predictions, or the day-to-day activity of this stock, this is a company that has fundamentally changed the way people live because of the tools they have created and the ideas they have put forth. A 12-year old kid can get a mac laptop that not only comes with an arsenal of tools for creating music, pictures, and essentially expressing whatever he or she wants to express (essential to teenage survival), but in some cases, actually helps organize thoughts and all the crap we are supposed to deal with each day.

When I look at the trends they have set and the direction of other tech companies, I have to say there is no comparison. We are moving towards an Apple world. They are on fire. Screw the numbers, the analysts, and everyone else who is trying to squeeze a buck out of this company for a short term gain. Pay attention to what they are doing. They have moved from a computer company to being a LIFESTYLE company. We're talking about generations of people growing up with buying an iPod as quickly as buying a CD player back in the day. If you want music, you're getting an iPod, period. And let's not forget movie rentals, which not only will have higher profit margins than Netflix, but will also contribute significantly to less waste (no paper, DVD, or postage required).

I guess what I am saying is that in the same way Mac users really don't want to take the time to convince PC fanatics why Apple products and ideas are just better, a real investor in this company does not need to explain this to analysts or anyone else. The company is guiding conservatively and being punished for this. Ridiculous. Corporate greed is angry with the hippies at Apple - how dare Apple guide conservatively! These investors don't give a crap about Apple. They just want to make as much money as possible, as quickly as possible.

I believe in this company and have continued holding and buying on dips since 2003, beating out every other pick I've ever followed. Read the balance sheets, crunch the numbers, whatever - at the end of the day, you are investing in the future and the people shorting and yelling at Apple when they can't produce what they want will not live long into the future because they wind up dying of the stress trying to make a killing, instead of being a real investor.

Of course, we cannot just be blindly in love with Apple and kiss the butt of Mr. Jobs. We must also realize that Apple is not an island - what affects the broader market will always affect Apple. In a perfect world, all companies would be run as well as Apple, but they are not, and now the pathetic lots that lost a lot on other bets need to prostitute their shares of Apple.

What we can do is quit bitching and complaining about the stock every week. Look at the mindset - look at the things they have released and the patents they apply for. Look at how their products affect society and generations, not just bottom lines.

I do try to make predictions because at some point, you need to decide how long you want to stay in any company. The phone was certainly the easiest one - I'm sure lots of people figured they would go that route as soon as the iPod came out.

My next prediction is that in the not-to-distant future, they will be designing ways to help companies who require insane amounts of server streaming (youtube and facebook).

Perhaps it will be something with final cut pro and Mac servers, perhaps it will be new compression formats for video - whatever. The actual prediction is not as important as the fact that this is a company that inspires me and millions of other investors to brainstorm and try to predict what they will come up with next. No other company does that. We can't say for certain what the next ideas will be, which is part of the excitement of Apple, but I guarantee you, it will once again confound the minds of everyone stuck on their island, thinking about the present, instead of the future...
thebigapple is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 11:31 PM   #22
scottiB
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Near Antietam Creek
Posts: 367
Quote:
Originally Posted by potterhead4 View Post
Anyone see the Forbes article about Apple's quarter? I think they might have hit a new low.
Forbes is the People of financial rags, trying to spike readership with their top 50 wealthiest whatever lists. It's losing hits/sales to both the sassier blogs, that do the nouveau-irreverence much better, and the more traditional serious pubs (Economist, WSJ, even Fortune).
scottiB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 11:38 PM   #23
Splinemodel
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Silicon Valley
Posts: 7,036
Quote:
Originally Posted by dmz View Post
Relax guys, Apple is continuing to add more and revenue streams, all the while virtualization is greasing the rails towards doubling their market share. And all they need is another year or two of 30%ish growth to do that.

Call me in 18 mos.
The problem is that Wall Street is still pessimistic by default in regard to Apple: this is not so for the other big players in the same industries. You think they'd glance at their iPhones for a second and think it over. Apple is the only stock I own that can post great numbers and still drop 11 percent.


Cat: the other white meat
Splinemodel is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 11:40 PM   #24
suhail
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 190
Apple can tumble itself right back up if it had introduced something like the darn xMac. This is so retarded, there is such a large market for such a device.
suhail is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-22-2008, 11:57 PM   #25
ebrunn
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 75
Quote:
Originally Posted by Proximityeffect View Post
Time to buy 
Exactly.
ebrunn is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 12:05 AM   #26
halhiker
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: La Quinta, CA (near Palm Springs)
Posts: 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by jammiedodger View Post
Most analysts don't guess, they predict based on a wide range of sources, like meteorologists (who have gotten things wrong in the past). Of course there are some good analysts and bad analysts but for the most part, across the market, what you call "guesses" aren't that far off.

The market had of course factored in the analyst's estimates into the stock price, so it is only logical that we see a drop based on Apple being unlikely to meet those estimates, after all if we didn't then the market value would be "wrong" and the stock overvalued (of course it might still be overvalued or undervalued in what is an inefficient market). Bear in mind that if we look at the P/E ratio AAPL is a growth stock, so movement is not going to be based on the company merely doing better year on year.

So, what you're saying is that because for the most part the value of a stock is based on what the market considers to be the most likely future for the company which determines the supply and demand for the shares, investing in the market is merely gambling? Now, I'm not going to disagree with that but you have to draw a line between what is gambling and what isn't, after all which investments don't carry risk? Even putting money in a bank could be considered gambling.

But most importantly, your reasoning for it being gambling seems to be that because the analysts were "guessing" it's down to luck? That would of course deny the reality that there are a large number of consistently successful players in the market, showing that in this zero sum game it is possible to be more adept than the competition.
Gamblers consider factors from a variety of sources and make predictions based on track records, history and future odds. There is very little difference in what most analysts are doing than in what a bookmaker does in Las Vegas. They are setting odds on what a company will do AND like the bookmaker, the "analyst" makes money one way or the other. I've seen aapl completely blow expectations out of the water again and again and have seen it subsequently drop a number of those times. I'm sure a number of analcysts--I mean, analysts-- shorted aapl on large sales and pushed it down in after-hours in small lots. Apple could have doubled it's sales and it still would've dropped. The house always wins.
halhiker is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 12:06 AM   #27
TenoBell
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,256
Quote:
Its not an ultraportable, but it is trying to woo people away from ultraportables. How well that'll work, remains to be seen.
Hmm,I suppose you have the official definition of what an ultraportable is. Any deviation from said definition disqualifies the "official" ultraportable title.

Quote:
It's just so very Steve. Let's not give people what they say they want, but rather something that I think is better. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't. But you gotta give him props for the massive juevos.
That's a clearly negative way to look at it. Who made the rule that things can only be done one way. Or just because everyone else does something a certain way means that their is no other way to do it? How would innovation have come about for anything if people thought this way?

In developing a product Apple's way of thinking is to solve the problem with a different solution than others have devised. Inspite of the fact that everytime Apple introduces a new product pundits claim it won't work because of this or that. But over the past few years it has worked more than not.
TenoBell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 01:38 AM   #28
TBaggins
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
Quote:
Originally Posted by TenoBell View Post
Hmm,I suppose you have the official definition of what an ultraportable is. Any deviation from said definition disqualifies the "official" ultraportable title.
Teno, the footprint for the MBAir is the same as it is for a regular MacBook. Just because it's light and thin doesn't make it 'ultraportable'. You still have to worry about these pesky quantities known as "width" and "depth".

You know, two out of the three physical dimensions.

Don't get butthurt about it, it is still a very nice notebook. And it may lure a few folks away from true ultraportables.


Quote:
That's a clearly negative way to look at it. .
Not really, unless you're implying that a realistic assessment of Steve and Apple is inherently negative. I don't believe it is.

Fact is, Steve sometimes doesn't give people what they want, sometimes Steve gives people what Steve thinks they should want. And yes, sometimes it works out great (iPod), and other times, not so well (G4 Cube, Apple TV).

Noting this is neither positive or negative. It is simply what Apple does. On the whole, I'm happy they do it, but it is at times a risky strategy, because you can't always get people to want what you think they should want.


.


The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY
To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol
Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =]
TBaggins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 01:41 AM   #29
echosonic
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Los Angeles, Kahleefornyah
Posts: 226
Quote:
Originally Posted by dmz View Post
Relax guys, Apple is continuing to add more and revenue streams, all the while virtualization is greasing the rails towards doubling their market share. And all they need is another year or two of 30%ish growth to do that.

Call me in 18 mos.
You are correct, sir, 100%. These fucking whores on Wall Street are in this for the short term only. The faster they vacate Apple trading the better. The worst part is that these "experts" (read: fucking nitwits) have yet to recognize that apple stopped being a technology company in 2005 and started being a consumer electronics company instead.

They're still being lumped in with Intel and MSFT, instead of Sony and Panasonic. If fucking Sony had shown 1/2 this kind of growth their stock would quadruple.

Wall Street Whores. Need I say more?
echosonic is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 02:45 AM   #30
TenoBell
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,256
Quote:
Teno, the footprint for the MBAir is the same as it is for a regular MacBook. Just because it's light and thin doesn't make it 'ultraportable'. You still have to worry about these pesky quantities known as "width" and "depth".
The foot print is larger to incorporate a larger screen and keyboard. People would value less weight in portability more than a inch less in length or width.

Quote:
Fact is, Steve sometimes doesn't give people what they want, sometimes Steve gives people what Steve thinks they should want. And yes, sometimes it works out great (iPod), and other times, not so well (G4 Cube, Apple TV).
The works out great column is larger than only the iPod. Is the Cube forever your subsequent whipping boy to pull out as the example of Apple's fallibility?

Is their no realization that the Cube was seven years ago. No Mac has been in that position since.
TenoBell is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 03:09 AM   #31
TBaggins
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
Quote:
Originally Posted by TenoBell View Post
The foot print is larger to incorporate a larger screen and keyboard.
Well, duh. But at the same time, that footprint makes it not a true ultraportable. It's engineering... you don't get something for nothing.

Not the big deal you seem worried it may be, considering that Apple thinks its solution is 'better' than an ultraportable. For some ppl, it may be. We'll see.


Quote:
The works out great column is larger than only the iPod. Is the Cube forever your subsequent whipping boy to pull out as the example of Apple's fallibility?

Is their no realization that the Cube was seven years ago.

Sigh. Teno, there's no other way to say this except as follows:






.


The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY
To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol
Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =]


Last edited by TBaggins; 01-23-2008 at 03:30 AM..
TBaggins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 03:19 AM   #32
Splinemodel
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Silicon Valley
Posts: 7,036
How the hell did the Air enter the discussion? From what I've been told, the first manuf run is already booked, and the flash variant is more popular than expected. A real failure it is ...


Cat: the other white meat
Splinemodel is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 03:27 AM   #33
TBaggins
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
Quote:
Originally Posted by Splinemodel View Post
How the hell did the Air enter the discussion? From what I've been told, the first manuf run is already booked, and the flash variant is more popular than expected. A real failure it is ...

Oh, Teno's just upset because I pointed out that the MBAir isn't a true ultraportable. Whatev. Nothing can be all things to all ppl, much as we might hope otherwise.

I do hope it sells well, even beyond launch. I'd like to see my shares go back up, asap.


.


The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY
To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol
Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =]
TBaggins is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 03:37 AM   #34
monstrosity
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: England
Posts: 557
asia markets are rebounding, fingers crossed this may not be as bad as some think.
monstrosity is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 03:38 AM   #35
SurfRat
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Surf City
Posts: 338
Quote:
Originally Posted by echosonic View Post
You are correct, sir, 100%. These fucking whores on Wall Street are in this for the short term only. The faster they vacate Apple trading the better. The worst part is that these "experts" (read: fucking nitwits) have yet to recognize that apple stopped being a technology company in 2005 and started being a consumer electronics company instead.

They're still being lumped in with Intel and MSFT, instead of Sony and Panasonic. If fucking Sony had shown 1/2 this kind of growth their stock would quadruple.

Wall Street Whores. Need I say more?
Thank you, thank you, and THANK you!

My thoughts exactly.


Sent from my iPhone
SurfRat is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 03:42 AM   #36
Zenga
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: oblivion
Posts: 256
I remember...

Quote:
Originally Posted by thebigapple View Post
I love Apple, their innovations, the eco-conscious efforts that they are now putting into place, and the progressive mindset that has made them one of the most inspiring corporations in the world. Regardless of what one might believe about the stock market and gambling, analyst predictions, or the day-to-day activity of this stock, this is a company that has fundamentally changed the way people live because of the tools they have created and the ideas they have put forth. A 12-year old kid can get a mac laptop that not only comes with an arsenal of tools for creating music, pictures, and essentially expressing whatever he or she wants to express (essential to teenage survival), but in some cases, actually helps organize thoughts and all the crap we are supposed to deal with each day.

When I look at the trends they have set and the direction of other tech companies, I have to say there is no comparison. We are moving towards an Apple world. They are on fire. Screw the numbers, the analysts, and everyone else who is trying to squeeze a buck out of this company for a short term gain. Pay attention to what they are doing. They have moved from a computer company to being a LIFESTYLE company. We're talking about generations of people growing up with buying an iPod as quickly as buying a CD player back in the day. If you want music, you're getting an iPod, period. And let's not forget movie rentals, which not only will have higher profit margins than Netflix, but will also contribute significantly to less waste (no paper, DVD, or postage required).

I guess what I am saying is that in the same way Mac users really don't want to take the time to convince PC fanatics why Apple products and ideas are just better, a real investor in this company does not need to explain this to analysts or anyone else. The company is guiding conservatively and being punished for this. Ridiculous. Corporate greed is angry with the hippies at Apple - how dare Apple guide conservatively! These investors don't give a crap about Apple. They just want to make as much money as possible, as quickly as possible.

I believe in this company and have continued holding and buying on dips since 2003, beating out every other pick I've ever followed. Read the balance sheets, crunch the numbers, whatever - at the end of the day, you are investing in the future and the people shorting and yelling at Apple when they can't produce what they want will not live long into the future because they wind up dying of the stress trying to make a killing, instead of being a real investor.

Of course, we cannot just be blindly in love with Apple and kiss the butt of Mr. Jobs. We must also realize that Apple is not an island - what affects the broader market will always affect Apple. In a perfect world, all companies would be run as well as Apple, but they are not, and now the pathetic lots that lost a lot on other bets need to prostitute their shares of Apple.

What we can do is quit bitching and complaining about the stock every week. Look at the mindset - look at the things they have released and the patents they apply for. Look at how their products affect society and generations, not just bottom lines.

I do try to make predictions because at some point, you need to decide how long you want to stay in any company. The phone was certainly the easiest one - I'm sure lots of people figured they would go that route as soon as the iPod came out.

My next prediction is that in the not-to-distant future, they will be designing ways to help companies who require insane amounts of server streaming (youtube and facebook).

Perhaps it will be something with final cut pro and Mac servers, perhaps it will be new compression formats for video - whatever. The actual prediction is not as important as the fact that this is a company that inspires me and millions of other investors to brainstorm and try to predict what they will come up with next. No other company does that. We can't say for certain what the next ideas will be, which is part of the excitement of Apple, but I guarantee you, it will once again confound the minds of everyone stuck on their island, thinking about the present, instead of the future...
I remember just before Steve cam back to APPLE in 97' the stock was around $14, i was 23 yrs old, I thought that if i had to buy shares APPL would be my choice.. Big guns like Al Walid bought an enormous chunk of Apple stock, i can only imagine today +10 yrs later in how much they are sitting, it's rare to find people like you "bigapple" who just gets what apple is, i'm thinking you're one of those investors that deposit your confidance on a company and let the people on it do the magic, for the last 10 yrs or so has been Steve Jobs..

IMO i think we're back on 1997' the time is perfect to buy "once again" some serious appl stock, despite not having that much more money that i had then, i'm gonna go ahead and buy me some of this electronic sugar and sit on it for 10 more years and see what will be the outcome, steve may not be at the helm of Apple by that time, but i'm sure that his legacy will live on.



zenga


Last edited by Zenga; 01-23-2008 at 03:43 AM.. Reason: spelling
Zenga is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 03:58 AM   #37
macFanDave
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 471
Quote:
Originally Posted by kresh View Post
This just fundamentally proves that the stock market is legalized gambling. . .
And I'll up your "gambling" to "taxpayer-subsidized gambling" -- FTW!

That's right. When you lose, you deduct it straight off your income, and your winnings (aka capital gains) are taxed at a ridiculously low rate, far below that of income earned my performing useful work.

And anytime the government passes on collecting taxes to encourage certain activities like donating to the poor (or any charities for that matter), buying a home or losing money on Wall Street, it shifts the burden of financing our government to everyone else.

The 15% "flat tax" on all capital gains is blatantly unfair to those of us who realize either a tiny fraction of our income that way compared to the amount we earn by the sweat of our brow, and to those who have none at all. I would hope some good Democrat would start talking up the notion of adding some progressivity to the rates at which capital gains are taxed. It's only fair.
macFanDave is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 03:59 AM   #38
superkaratemonkeydeathcar
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: NYC Area
Posts: 52
In a sketchy market, anything with a luxury shine is going to go down first. If you miss even this consensus silliness in a sketchy market, the stock will get Hammered!

Good Stocks in Bad Markets make for fantastic buying opportunities, ala Proximityeffect.

Apple still has the story. This drop is procyclical traders and people getting shaken out on volatility.

Nobody ever made money by panicking.


-but Jimmy has fear? A thousand times no. I never doubted myself for a minute for I knew that my monkey strong bowels were girded with strength like the loins of a dragon ribboned with fat and the opulence of buffalo... dung.
superkaratemonkeydeathcar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 05:02 AM   #39
smokeonit
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: europe
Posts: 258
Quote:
Originally Posted by TBaggins View Post
Isn't that true of pretty much any new Apple product these days (Euro iPhone aside)? Steve could announce his laundry list and it'd sell well... at launch, anyway.

The real test isn't initial orders to the hardcore Apple faithful, but how well sales hold up long-term. But I am rooting for the MBAir, even though it isn't a true subnotebook. Its just so durn 'sexay'.

.
but the difference with the euro iphone is that, unlike in the US, the iphone can't be bought @ apple directly! thus making it impossible to give it as a gift! one has to give a coupon or something like that... an iphone in a box is not an option as a present!!! i think o2, t-mobile and orange underestimated the adverse effect of that shortsighted policy! the iphone can olny be activated via itunes anyway... to try to keep sales within the GSM provider stores is capping their sales by @ least 20%!


vista = virus inside switch to apple
smokeonit is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-23-2008, 05:03 AM   #40
smokeonit
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: europe
Posts: 258
Quote:
Originally Posted by SurfRat View Post
Thank you, thank you, and THANK you!

My thoughts exactly.
i agree on the most part!


vista = virus inside switch to apple
smokeonit is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:57 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2009, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.