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#1 |
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Kasper's Automated Slave
Join Date: Nov 1997
Posts: 6,162
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Gartner: Apple to claim over 12% of US PC market by 2011
Apple Inc. will see its share of the US personal computer market increase twofold over the next three years from 6.1 percent to over 12 percent, according Gartner.
The market research firm made the assumption as part of a report issued Thursday titled "Key Predictions for IT Organisations and Users in 2008 and Beyond." It similarly predicts that Apple will also double its share in Western Europe. "Apple's gains in computer market share reflect as much on the failures of the rest of the industry as on Apple's success," Gartner said in the report. "Apple is challenging its competitors with software integration that provides ease of use and flexibility; continuous and more frequent innovation in hardware and software; and an ecosystem that focuses on interoperability across multiple devices (such as iPod and iMac cross-selling)." Some of the other predictions outlined in the firm's report include: By 2012, 50 per cent of traveling workers will leave their notebooks at home in favour of other devices.By 2012, 80 per cent of all commercial software will include elements of open-source technology.By 2012, at least one-third of business application software spending will be as service subscription instead of as product license.By 2011, early technology adopters will forgo capital expenditures and instead purchase 40 per cent of their IT infrastructure as a service.By 2009, more than one third of IT organizations will have one or more environmental criteria in their top six buying criteria for IT-related goods.By 2010, 75 per cent of organisations will use full life cycle energy and CO2 footprint as mandatory PC hardware buying criteria.By 2011, suppliers to large global enterprises will need to prove their green credentials via an audited process to retain preferred supplier status.By 2010, end-user preferences will decide as much as half of all software, hardware and services acquisitions made by IT.Through 2011, the number of 3-D printers in homes and businesses will grow 100-fold over 2006 levels. |
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#2 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 264
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Can somebody say switchers
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#3 |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 10,465
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What's Apple's product quadrant going to look like then?
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#4 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 240
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I certainly believe it, it sounds fair, however I honestly think they might have more market share by then. MS screwed up big-time with Vista, people also constantly grumble about the shortcomings and idiosyncrasies of PCs. The Mac maker will return to having majority market share, unless something crazy happens like Ubuntu takes off.
Apple understands the market, but most important of all, it really gets its customers. Thats where the difference lies. For example, Sony envies the artistic + extremely functional aspects of the Macbook, so what do they do? They tack on so-called "artsy" designs to the backs of their already existing lines of notebooks and thing that people will dump their MBs and MBPs and flock because all of a sudden "Sony gets it!". Thats not getting it, thats a desperate attempt at imitation. Bottom line is, consumers aren't stupid these days like they once were. They are well informed and they will not let certain companies force their products onto them. Consumers like options, not too many, but stable options. Case in point, people don't "buy" Vista or XP, it is forced onto them when they purchase a Dell or and HP. On the other hand, people who buy Macs buy them because they truly want a Mac! |
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#5 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The Ansible
Posts: 11,865
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Customers like to have the option of options but tend to be confused by them. Most people rely on computers but still know nothing about them. It's still too common to here the harddrvie, CPU, motherboard, and RAM easily interchanged when something is actually talking about the harddrive, CPU, motherboard or RAM.
![]() Using Dells website for ordering is a daunting task compared to the ease of use to Apple's Online Store. But there will always be a divide between those who want the perception of control and those who want simplicity. I'm glad we live in a society that allows all aspects to be represented. |
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#6 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 471
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A hypercube! You'll have to start studying String Theory in order to grasp all of the dimensions. There will be the following axes:
I can't wait to see Apple get into the 12% marketshare, because I think that is getting pretty close to Mac's optimal figure. Wouldn't you think that the optimal marketshare is 100%? I think it is a lot less because Apple engages in all kinds of anti-competitive and monopolistic practices, but with such a small market share, complainers are told that they do have a choice: the majority OS. Now, we long-time Mac users actually buy into the Apple monopoly because we like the integration of hardware, software and OS. Practically speaking, it makes using a Mac much nicer and smoother to use. If Apple starts to gain really big market share numbers, anti-trust regulators might start giving them some trouble. Look at how many problems they've had, especially in Europe, with the highly successful iPod/iTunes combo. My totally subjective optimal marketshare for the Mac is in the 15-20% range. That's big enough that no developer or peripheral maker can ignore our platform, yet we avoid to regulatory hassles that might make us as mediocre as the Microsoft world. And, by the way, that claim about 3D printers is whack. I talked to a local print shop that has one and they are having a hard time keeping it busy enough to justify its on-going existence. I worked for one engineering company who gave theirs away for lack of use, but I worked for another where it got used pretty regularly. My view is that people are going to be pretty disappointed by the quality of their printed parts to gain that kind of widespread appeal. I wish it were true, but I don't see the 100-fold increase happening. |
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#7 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Berlin
Posts: 84
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I believe that Apple will double its market share by the end of 2009 or, at the latest, mid 2010.
The writing's on the wall.
Charko
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#8 |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 240
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Wow, I just looked up 3D printing... sick stuff! I didn't know the final products were FULLY FUNCTIONAL!
I watched this video and was amazed! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4qiU...eature=related Also these two (the second video made me a believer!): ww.youtube.com/watch?v=S7noXI530RU&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwSxU...eature=related |
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#9 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 728
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Quote:
See you at the bank... me depositing. |
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#10 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 120
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Unless Apple introduces a headless desktop that fits between the Mac Mini and the Mac Pro, this is not happening. Apple needs a $500 headless desktop with full feature set to win any significant share of enterprise business...
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#11 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 728
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Quote:
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#12 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 666
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I was going to link to the youtube Mac switch ad of "switcher" Ellen Fleiss and then I thought, "Huh". People would post nasty comments that would have to be "beep, beep, beep ,beep" censored out.
![]() So, I decided not to add my warp sense of humor to my reply to this post and not link to Ellen and to give it a rest! ![]() See, I do have a heart! ![]() |
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#13 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The Ansible
Posts: 11,865
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Quote:
What's the del with Ellen Fleiss? |
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#14 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 95
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3D printing is amazing technology, but its for modeling, it's NOT fully functional yet... "Earl grey tea, hot." "Mr. Data, are you fully functional?"
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#15 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 728
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#16 | |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 240
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Quote:
But honestly, who needs a headless mac, either buy a Pro, or buy a Mac Mini. Mac Mini is small enough where you can connect all sorts of cool stuff under it and its still smaller than any PC footprint. Maybe someone should make some sort of Mac Mini Expansion Dock, where you can plug in all the PCI slots you want. And why does enterprise need a headless desktop? Most of them only use word processing, spreadsheets and some other apps. Mac Mini is more than enough for that. All the more hardcore stuff calls for Mac Pro. I think Apple has it covered. I am planning on opening an office soon and I will be exclusively using Mac Minis, and they will be far better than the Dell & HP crap boxes at my current workplace. Also, our office will be elegant and will just work right, instead of constant calls to IT support for all sorts of messes. Simplicity. Ockam's Razor. It always wins. Simple, yet powerful. Simple, yet elegant. Apple. ![]() |
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#17 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 54
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Quote:
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#18 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Jersey (new)
Posts: 1,003
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Quote:
Did I pay less for the computer I bought? Probably. Was the actual end result a waste of money? Definately.
Progress is a comfortable disease
--e.e.c. |
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#19 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 72
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How about 30 percent by 2011?
Did you check out NetApplications market share trends? Mac share is skyrocketing. Did you check out ChangeWave surveys? They say that the number of consumers (not businesses tho) wanting to buy Macs is going up fast, and it already exceeded 30%. That number is going to keep going up, and it a couple years, I can expect the market for mac to match 30%, especially if Microsoft leaves consumers with Vista until then.
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#20 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 728
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Quote:
Enjoy! The point is that Apple isn't 'restricting' anyone's choices. A small small subset of users want to Tim Allen their computers, and for them, enjoy that great big Windows, Linux etc world. Plenty of choices abound. But quit griping that a company that has a specific (and enormous) target audience is somehow 'forcing' something on you. |
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#21 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Olympia, WA
Posts: 169
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3D Printer
Quote:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_prototyping $5000 to $1000 in 4 years http://www.engadget.com/2007/05/08/d...5k-3d-printer/ Last edited by lantzn; 01-31-2008 at 04:02 PM.. |
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#22 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2002
Location: 0aktown
Posts: 9,242
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I wish there were a market survey that could accurately gauge consumer (home, small office) use.
My impression is that the Mac is making headway in this space much faster than aggregate PC sales suggests, which is heavily skewed by large scale corporate purchasing of cheap, relatively low powered boxes. Not that that's not for real market share, just that it would be extremely significant if Apple were capturing, say 15% or 20% of the home market at some point, even as all over sales remained under 10%. By extremely significant, I mean that it would have a huge effect on developers and service and content providers and give us a better picture of the health and growth potential of Apple's ecosystem-- the iMac/Apple TV/iPod/iTMS/wireless media strategy. If I knew that double digit significant numbers of my target market were using Macs, I would think long and hard about taking my sweet time in rolling out services for the platform, or porting or updating my app for the Mac. I have no idea if Apple is making huge strides in this area, of course, but I would be willing to bet their numbers are way better if you factor out corporate purchasing.
party's over
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#23 | |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 240
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Quote:
With Macs its different. You can buy the Mac and Run OSX, its default system, but you have the flexibility to run Windows too. People aren't "locked out" of the option to use Windows when they buy a Mac, which is a genius idea within itself! There are so many people that buy PCs and have windows "forced" onto them unknowingly, many of them never knowing about other options. An example, my uncle, 50 years old, does not have the slightest clue about computers: He purchased a HP laptop, had no clue what windows was and never really heard of OSX until he came to my house to ask me some questions and asked me why my "Vista" looked to nice when he saw my iMac, lol. It was cute actually, he thought my OSX was a windows product. Thats where the problem lies, there are so many people around the world that have had Windows forced onto them for so long that they believe its some kind of "standard", like there is no other choice. My uncle, example, had no clue there were other things out there, he thought all computers run windows, that it was some kind of standard or something. Another example, my cousin from Europe. He had heard of iPods, and in Europe they are of iconic status, but he really didn't know Apple makes computers or their own OS! He was bedazzled by my iMac and actually saved up money to buy a Macbook Pro after his experience. He was literally "taught" that Windows is the end-all, be-all, and that there are no other option. Keep in mind thought, that Windows and Windows apps are heavily pirated around the world. This explains the huge market share, because alot of Win stuff is available for free or cheap (though it pirated), even Windows itself! Half the people I know who run windows run a pirated version or just borrowed a install disc from a friend. I think the market is beginning to respond to this, thus the HUGE SURGE in Mac market share! People are beginning to know there is something better out there! And about Mac having "limited options", they don't. They just get rid of excess useless option to simplify the buying process. Sure, you can taylor a cheapo Dell with the bare minumum and $$$ave but you are getting what you paid for: A bare minimum machine that is not worth the pricetag and will be completely obsolete in a year or so. If you price out a Mac and a competitor accordingly with same options, you will see the Mac is the better value, as it 90% of the time comes out cheaper, plus you have to factor in that Apple included really great software with iLife for free. Your sister's purchase is like comparing a Kia and a Lexus, if you wanna do a correct comparison, compare a Benz to a Lexus: Grab a high end Dell XPS and compare it to a Mac product, or spec out a dell. Maybe you should have got your sister a Mac Mini with a copy of parallels. Last edited by mdotdubz; 01-31-2008 at 03:49 PM.. |
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#24 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Olympia, WA
Posts: 169
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Quote:
http://www.cc.utah.edu/~asn8200/rapid.html One of the coolest concepts is that one day we would have a 3D printer that could actually self-replicate its own parts. Last edited by lantzn; 01-31-2008 at 04:08 PM.. |
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#25 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Ireland
Posts: 8,561
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Though products could be named differently, I'd like to take a guess:
Collecting my SSD iMac Fry-die. :D
Last edited by Ireland; 01-31-2008 at 03:57 PM.. |
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#26 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 319
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PC Market share is not totally relevant to Apple
Being that the vast majority of PC sales go to businesses that buy as cheap as they can and need only to conform to the Windows business interconnectivity that their IT groups have established, Apple has been shut out (to date) of the "total PC market-share" game. That is probably changing...
Consumers used to buy Windows PCs as a matter of course, sometimes due to their growing familiarity with their first PC operating system, but often because they could pirate software from work easily rather than buy it. Now they can even get by with internet applications for tasks that used to require Office-esque software suites. The proliferation of corporate laptops took a bite out of consumer sales numbers, but companies got hosed over and over by users taking them home and loading AOL, Quicken and games on them, frequently messing up stock business configurations and lowering productivity. Now companies have much stricter admin control on IT assets. Software and updates are pushed over the company network to computers, and in some cases, users can't even change their screen saver configurations or desktop wallpaper, let alone borrow installation disks or CDs. As home users need to maintain their own PCs (many of them discount, low-end models) OS health and application support, the intricacies of PC management starts to become overwhelming to the basic home user, and even more advanced ones. The halo effect of iTunes and the iPod starts making people look at Apple computers differently. Maybe the IT support specialist used to refer to them as "toy computers" a while back, but now he/she is more likely to admit they got one for Mom and Dad, or even themselves. Companies no longer take the CIOs MS-dictated "stay the course" plan as inevitable. Many companies embrace Six Sigma and Kaizen principles and practices at all levels of business, and they no longer blindly accept that the corporate IT department is doing all it can to make personal computing and information management better. Microsoft's overly complex Windows licensing hasn't endeared them to the very people who were their strongest proponents. I expect that Apple's overall PC market-share will go as high as they want it to. I'm not at all convinced it has ever been their goal to dominate the total PC market. It's similar to why Bentley, Bugatti and Ferrari don't make a car to compete with Toyotas. It's not in their best interest, and they simply don't have to in order to succeed. |
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#27 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 980
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Quote:
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#28 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 728
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Quote:
Apple sells quality of experience, and the fact that OSX and Apple hardware are joined at the hip is what is responsible for that. |
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#29 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 980
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Of course! But the post to which I replied implied that somehow Apples were superior because they gave you choices that PC makers didn't, when in fact it's Apple that forces that situation.
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#30 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 471
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Quote:
I seriously doubt that any individual will be able to keep a 3D printer busy. The next logical step is pretty obvious to me: people will send their STL files to the local print shop and pay them to have it done. Here in Houston, I was quoted a rate of $30-35 per cubic inch of model material used (the support material in this process is reclaimed and we customers don't pay for it explicitly.) I have something that is basically a six-inch diameter disk that, when hollowed, came out to about 4 cu. in. or about the $120-150 range. Unless I need to build lots of them, I don't think I could justify buying a machine instead of paying my local print shop. Given the outrageous price of dumb ol' 2D printer ink, I can't see the sellers of 3D printer consumables being any less greedy. Notice that all of the drug stores, photo stores and big-box retailers are still doing a lot of business printing your color photos for you, even though the technology to print them at home has been affordable for at least a decade (the printing machines, that is, it's the cost of the paper and ink that keep the stores in business.) Individuals won't be owning these things for a long time, but I sure would be happy to see more and more services pop up that could provide more options to those of use who would like to use them. Last edited by macFanDave; 01-31-2008 at 04:48 PM.. Reason: used wrong word accidentally |
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#31 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 728
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#32 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 34
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Yet another example of the "pump and dump" strategy at work. This time predicting the future.
My prediction is that the number of foolish people will increase by 5%, that 10% of those will write reports predicting the future, another 30% will be working in web 2.0 start-ups that net out a return to their sweat equity at $2.35 an hour, less than a days page on an Indonesian assembly line, and another 10% will develop an allergy to math. There will be a corresponding migration of laptops to commuter trains, but when the market collapses there will be 40% more elbow room, allowing 15" screens to become the norm instead of 13". Apple is already planning to get ready to take advantage of this unprecedented opportunity by ordering shipping containers. This will have a negative effect on the corrugated container market resulting in depressed sales and high prices. As a result, Apple will build a manufacturing plant is the USA, staff it with unemployed Americans, and export all their laptops to China where there are jobs and trains. Apple stock will go through the roof, but it will all be owned by three sheiks in Saudi Arabia. Dell will then come out with a $200 laptop, and Apple will collapse. |
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#33 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 24
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Quote:
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#34 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: England
Posts: 557
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where are all the people that said " ha ha ha 10% could never happen"?
Who's laughing now told ya so told ya so ![]() |
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#35 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South West Florida
Posts: 1,588
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Quote:
I suspect 12% is way too low of a prediction. I see friends and businesses everywhere switching. A business contact, who is about to switch on my advice, told me today that even his PC tech support guy admited he'd switched already! |
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#36 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 109
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The last studies that I saw reported Apple's market share to be from 7.3 to 8%. But this article states it is 6.1%? Well one thing is for certain, it will eventually reach double digits.
Switching From Windows on Nov. 30th 2007
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#37 | |
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Banned
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 240
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Quote:
Apple experimented once with Open-Architecture, we saw how that went. The PC world is Open-Architecture, and that platform is flooded with problems. I knew someone was gonig to try to throw that one back at me. So, to answer your question, it is in fact the PC's inability, due to the load of crapola low-end Tim Allen configured crap boxes floating around, that OSX does not run on PCs. That reason is because a good majority of low-end Dells and eMachines could not handle OSX properly. ![]() |
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#38 | ||
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: .US
Posts: 9,127
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Quote:
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#39 |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: .US
Posts: 9,127
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#40 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,700
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Quote:
Think of the savings in transport and manufacturing. Energy, cost, etc. Now imagine all the "junk" you don't need, you put it back into the same machine, recycles it automatically for your next "3D print". This is what I hope for by 2050. "3D printing" will become an anachronism just like "virtual reality" by 2035. |
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