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#1 |
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Kasper's Automated Slave
Join Date: Nov 1997
Posts: 6,151
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Apple bucking the trend of declining PC prices
Apple's capacity to maintain (and even raise) the average selling price of its personal computer systems in a market rife with yearly declines is just one of the reasons analysts at JMP Securities remain bullish the company's shares.
In a research report Friday, analyst Ingrid Ebeling noted that of the top 25 computers on Amazon.com’s best-seller list for the category of computers, Apple desktops and portables command 10 of the 25 spots, with an average selling price (ASP) of $1,482, compared with an ASP of $579 for the remaining 15. Similarly, for fiscal year 2005, the ASP for Macs was $1,442, compared with $1,384 for fiscal 2005 in an industry characterized by declining ASPs, which fell from $1,042 to $957 over the same time frame, according to market research firm IDC. "Although economic uncertainty in the US looms overseveral names in our sector, including Apple, we believe the overall PC industry market in 2008 will continue to be fueled by consumer demand for digital media, increased adoption of portable computers, and growth in emerging markets," Ebeling said. "The adoption of portable computers has been a contributing factor to growth, with units up 34 percent in 2007, a trend that has helped Apple given the response to the MacBook line." However, she added that Apple’s desktop sales have also been very robust following the release of the new iMac, which drove year-over-year unit growth to 53 percent in the December quarter. "Over the past two years, we estimate Apple’s worldwide market share has risen from 2.3 percent of 207 million units sold to 3.0 percent of 262 million sold, or from 4.7 million Macs sold in 2005 to 7.9 million Macs in 2007, representing a 2-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 29 percent, compared to a 12 percent CAGR for the PC industry," she wrote. "In the US, we estimate that Apple’s share has increased from 4.5 percent to almost 7 percent, and that itsshare in the laptop market now exceeds 15 percent." In respect to iPods, the analyst acknowledged recently disappointing results, but said she's still forecasting revenue growth of 17 percent and 14 percent in fiscal 2008 and 2009 based on unit growth of 5 percent and 13 percent, which assumes that the iPod touch -- with price tags of $299, $399,or $499 -- will help boost the product line’s ASP. Over time, she expects the product should gain momentum as not just an iPod but also an Internet device. "It is considered one of the best WiFi mobile platforms and has a powerful interface to run Web applications," she said. " As Apple continues to add content to its iTunes store,such as movie rentals, consumers could be compelled to upgrade to the more expensive devices." The JPM analyst reiterated her Market Outperform rating and $200 price target on shares of the Cupertino-based company. |
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#2 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 16
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Quote:
Great for shareholders, but not so great for potential Switchers. |
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#3 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Jersey (new)
Posts: 1,001
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Quote:
(Not that I don't want less expensive Macs, I just don't want cheep ones.)
Progress is a comfortable disease
--e.e.c. |
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#4 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 271
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There is a great deal of junk PCs on the market at least Apple is the not the manufacturer of any of them; if Apple turns the profit into designing and manufacturing a still better PC then more power to Apple.
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#5 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 261
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Good grief, the nay-sayers have gotten cut off at the knees again. First came the news that the iPhone has increased Google searches exponentially, indicating massive popularity of the device. Then came the report that cellphone pundits can't figure out why the iPhone is so popular but, by god, they are going to try and copy it. Now comes the news that Apple can and does charge more for their hardware and sales are heading up, up, up, along with market share.
What's a "Apple needs a low end, headless desktop priced at $5.00 in order to survive" clueless expert to do these days? All their theories are crumbling before their eyes but, never fear, they'll find yet another reason to question Apple's marketing decisions. Well I'm not questioning Steve's competence these days. Are you? |
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#6 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 646
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And this is good for shareholders, not so good for customers. I passionately dislike when a company strives to hard to please shareholders at the expense of their customers.
A company can survive without shareholders but cannot survive without customers. Quote:
So, no, they aren't spending more on "quality" hardware, they're just designing better, programming better and taking bigger profits. Even after all is said and done, they are taking profits of 60% in some cases on their computers. This is more than twice that of other PC manufacturers. I understand charging more for a better product, but 60% profit is pretty ridiculous. Apple should make more of an attempt to befriend their customers because sooner or later people will start to realize they're getting robbed. If only OS X ran reliably on X86 hardware... -Clive |
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#7 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 16
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Quote:
Those who know me, know that I bought my first Mac in High School (1986) and that I've never bought a PC and never will. But that puts me in the vast minority of computer users, then and now. I originally posted simply to make the point that Apple needs to compete at the low end, and has since the very beginning. This "study" of declining PC prices is just a reminder that Apple still needs a sub-$500 Mac. I'm not alone in this opinion, and the Mac mini doesn't count as a viable remedy; I'm talking about a complete computer for $500. |
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#8 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 364
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If you want a product where a lot of effort has been put into R&D, and the final finish, then you have you accept that there will a higher price-tag to go with it. Apple is considered a luxury product and that is part of the reason people put their money down. Build something that looks like, and feels like, cr@p and people will not want to put down the same amount of cash.
Whatever has to be said about the MacBook Air, I think its limitations will encourage people to innovate to work around its limitations. This happened for the orginal iMac, and I believe it will be the same here. |
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#9 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 8
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Quote:
We love Macs first and foremost because of their code. No other PC maker is developing their OS and nearly every one of the most popular applications on that platform. So, Apple has designed a pricing structure where profits from their hardware sales can provide supplement financial support for good software design too, which no one else needs to do. In addition, they do revolutionary design. Where do you think Apple got money to spend on developing things like the iPhone, Apple TV and iPods? They experiment with a bunch of stuff we never see. Your basic computer companies aren't nearly as into redesign and risk taking with revolutionary devices. So, yeah, 60% is ridiculous for a company that just assembles parts, loads someone else's software and puts a sticker on it. 60% profit on a Mac if you are basing your profit numbers on hardware alone is much more acceptable. |
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#10 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 646
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Quote:
Quote:
Hey, I've got an idea, maybe you could use that high-powered USB port to attach a wormhole that sinks all your spare cash straight into Apple's coffers. -Clive Last edited by Clive At Five; 02-15-2008 at 02:00 PM.. |
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#11 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 208
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60%? Can you cite your sources? If it's iSuppli, then don't worry about posting that link... as iSuppli numbers are ridiculous. Apple's gross margins are usually in the 25-36% range. Now Apple's profit margins have been known to grow 60+% but not be 60%.
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#12 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 646
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Quote:
Quote:
If you add in the "OEM" price of software you won't change much. -Clive Last edited by Clive At Five; 02-15-2008 at 01:43 PM.. |
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#13 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: MA
Posts: 315
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Quote:
![]() (BTW - what percentage does MS make on Windows?)
-JD
-- "If Apple wasn't so greedy, they would build G6's and give them away!" |
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#14 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Bay Area, California
Posts: 311
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Quote:
Apple is making a profit, yes, but there is a very good reason why their products are so amazing. Edit: This is the difference between a company that created the iPhone, and a company which has made a late-to-market poorly designed clone of the iPhone. One is copying the innovation of another, one spent years developing and creating the product. You can see the clear difference in the final result. A person who does not want to pay for that innovation and remarkable consistency of design has plenty of other options outside Apple. There they can save money.
“The true measure of a man is how he treats someone that can do him absolutely no good.”
—Samuel Johnson |
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#15 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: USA
Posts: 1,066
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I built my last Windows PC back in 2002 hoping that I can get high quality parts and high-end performance for less money. Well, I ended up paying more that what I paid for my current iMac. The CPU alone was more than $1200 plus 15" LCD monitor, Wireless mouse and keyboard, and speakers totaling almost $1900. A year after that, my PC became obsolete. I switched to Mac in 2006 and I have to admit that I never regret spending $1800 on my iMac. Almost 2 years without going obsolete. Thats the beauty of Mac.
Nasser
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#16 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,066
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Quote:
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#17 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Paradise
Posts: 399
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I would love for the mini to get a refresh and price drop, but they aren't too far off in their value proposition today. The fact that it is an 8-month old spec is what kills it more than anything. All of the other computers give pretty good value relative to the competition, from the bottom-end iMac to the XServe, if you count the OS upgrade as having about a $200 value for desktop and $1,000 for a server.
But, Apple stands to make more money convincing me to buy a 24" iMac from them rather than a 24" monitor from someone else and a mini from them. It's a logical business decision... to a point. |
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#18 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 2
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Macs are too expensive
Although I love working on MacOSX and with Apple hardware, I have problems justifying to my boss me getting a new one.
A little more than three years ago I got the biggest Mac-laptop (after hefty negotiations). One of my arguments where that it would last one to two years longer than a PC. It has been repaired once (the LCD screen). Now, after expired warranty, there is a new error with the screen (I'm not the only one with this error, but Apple has chosen to ignore our frustrations). With Macs at 30 to 50 percent higher prices than PCs I could feel comfortable, but here in Norway they are sold at prices between 100 and 200 percent more! Last edited by lundy; 02-18-2008 at 05:37 AM.. |
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#19 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 646
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Quote:
Would you sell a computer with an 80GB HDD, Combo Drive, and 1.8GHz CPU for $600? My 6-year old iMac has a Superdrive and 60GB HDD! Even to the sanest of minds, buy a computer with those specs at that price doesn't even make sense, even if it does have the best software and stability available. BTW... I have fans? Pretty sure all I ever do here is argue with people who can't tollerate a mild dose of reason. -Clive |
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#20 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 16
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Quote:
As such, I said that Apple's price points are great for shareholders but not for customers. Now the issue: there is a large contingent of us out there that have no problem paying for Macs. We understand fully the value proposition. Apple has little or no work in this category. But there exists a vast majority of consumers that, despite all of the "studies" or head-to-head comparisons that CLEARLY DEMONSTRATE that Macs are really no more expensive in the mid-range than their PC counterpart, WILL NEVER consider paying more for a COMPLETE Mac than they will for a COMPLETE low-end PC. It's this truly mammoth number of consumers that I, and others, believe Apple continues to miss out on. To Apple's credit, they've taken a different path to Switching since the iPod became what could be considered a mature product. At that point they, I believe, understood the "halo" effect, and just now (with the Touch and the iPhone) are realizing increased Mac sales from otherwise-PC buyers. This increased Mac customer base is good, just not as good as it might otherwise be with a complete Mac available through Apple Retail Stores, etc for $500. If you're not convinced, and you think it's impossible for Apple to sell a $500 Mac due to all of the incredible things Apple puts into creating a Mac that PC makers don't, ask yourself why Apple discontinues Macs with older technology rather than ride that configuration down to the point where it competes with low-end PCs. Take the eMac for example. Sure, CRTs suck, but I can name a few PC users that have no problem with CRTs that might jump at a $400 20-inch eMac. The reason for this, IMO, is that Apple has LONG held price points to maintain, and sub $1k machines kills this strategy. Just look at Apple's price points over the years and you'll see the following trend +/-: Consumer laptops: $1100-1500 on average. Consumer desktops: $1200-1500 on average. Pro laptops: $2500-3500 on average. Pro desktops: $2500-3500 on average. There are examples in each category the drop below and exceed these levels, but off hand I would argue that these price points have been consistently maintained for at least 20 years. Circling back to the original argument, Apple continues to buck the plummeting PC price trend as outlined in the original article. It's working for them. No argument there. But I really have a hard time reconciling with the fact that Apple could not sell more Macs with a Mac that directly compete with low-end $500-600 PCs. End of rant, and time to do real work ;-) |
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#21 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 122
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This is almost comical in light of current events. Yahoo is a company with no shortage of customers - #1 portal, #1 in email, essentially tied for #1 in IM, #2 in search and advertising and also a huge player in social networks (Flickr and del.icio.us) and yet its very existence as a separate company is threatened because its shareholders are unhappy.
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#22 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,066
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Quote:
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#23 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 659
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Are there added costs that Apple has to pay for selling in Norway, required by Norway, that Apple passes along to the consumer? Is that before any taxes are applied? If not and Apple is just being super greedy, are there not laws in Norway regarding price gouging? |
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#24 |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 10,457
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Apple sells premium product.
Regardless of whether you like the pay the price or not companies that thrive on premium products have to deliver adequate performance and enough style and class to warrant the premium. Let's face it ..if Vista wasn't a boring as hell over candified OS with a plethora of annoyances Apple wouldn't exist. If PC manufacturers differentiated themselves by deliver more than ubuquitious rectangular boxes with cheap components Apple wouldn't exist. Don't believe the hype if someone tells you Apple doesn't pay more for their hardware. When Macbooks have powered 6 and 9 pin Firewire and the rest of the PC industry cheaps out with nonpowered 4 pin you see the difference. When Apple standardizes on DVI ports while the kitsch PC industry standardizes on silly card readers you see the difference. When Apple's keyboards are backlight or they deliver buttons that don't buckle or pop off as easy. You see the difference. When you look at a Mac Pro's internals and can't see nary a cable and drives sleds that work, you see the difference. When you see more expensive slot loaders (but arguably safer) optical drives in laptops you see the difference. I've been supporting Apple for over a decade. No one is going to sit here and tell me Apple doesn't spend more on their componentry without generating a look of incredulity or at least a laugh. I've built PCs and they don't look like Macs do for the most part. |
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#25 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Olympia, WA
Posts: 169
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Certain people are willing to pay for a better product. Macs happen to be such a beast. This is regardless if it is the software or hardware. If we are paying for better programming then so be it, end of story. Personally I also prefer the way Apple designs their hardware. The internal components are not all there is to that equation.
If you don't like it, then stay with your Windows OS. |
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#26 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 646
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No no no. In the G3 & G4 days, the PowerMac was in the $1700 - $2500 range, and it only got that high with outrageous BTOs.
The price for Apple's pro desktop has been steadily rising, and is most certainly not a set price-point or even range. As for the 60% margins, that is based on today's margins, not margins at the time of release. This can be verified yourself by building a computer using identical components as those in the high-end MacMini at RETAIL PRICES (not bulk, like Apple orders) for around $500 while Apple sells it for $800. Quote:
-Clive |
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#27 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: No GPS signal.
Posts: 1,169
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1. Raising prices. (Apple has not done this--pricing info is no secret. In fact they have lowered some prices relative to specs--look at the current iMac compared to the previous gen. One of their best selling lines.) 2. Customers opting more often for higher-end systems compared to low-end systems. If people are CHOOSING more high-end machines, it's not at their "expense." Maybe more people are going for the 24" iMac than last year. Maybe more people are getting Mac Pros. Maybe people are skipping the Mac Mini and getting Apple TVs. Who knows? What we don't know is that Apple is raising prices and screwing people. A higher average selling price doesn't necesarily say ANYTHING about the price of a Mac vs. the price of a PC with similar specs. Instead, it could be telling us that people buy bottom-end PCs more than they buy bottom-end Macs. Which makes sense, since really Apple offers no stripped-down bottom-end models at all. They start at the low mid-range in features--and are priced fairly accordingly. Look at ALL the specs and compare a Mac to a PC (note I mentioned ALL, so you may have to add a few things to both models unless you can find a close match). The Mac is often cheaper than a Dell or HP or Sony. Sometimes by a lot. But basically in the same ballpark as name-brand (not Acers with cheap parts) PCs.
nagromme
Would you like a treatment? Last edited by nagromme; 02-15-2008 at 03:06 PM.. |
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#28 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,066
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Quote:
Oh. forget R&D. I think that it would be a waste of money on your part. Hmmm. Looks so easy. Wonder why somebody hasn't done it before? |
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#29 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Fangorn forest
Posts: 281
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I find it rather amazing that Apple has managed to increase their ASP in the last two years. While that looks good for shareholders there is a serious risk lurking just under the surface: the hackintosh.
Look at how successful the cracking community has been getting and keeping the iPhone unlocked. Estimates say 20-25% of all iPhones are unlocked. If the same level of effort was made to make it easy for Joe Consumer to run Leopard on his $500 PC, Apple would have a huge problem on its hands. Imagine if 25% of Mac customers replaced their machines with Acer hardware running Leopard. Like the iTunes store works to reduce file sharing by making it easy to find and buy music online, Apple needs to make Macs affordable enough that most customers don't go looking for cheaper alternatives. Prescription: 1) continue to innovate with cooling systems to allow the MacBook Pro to carry top of the line components in an even lighter package. 2) having confirmed the MacBook Pro as a true high-end notebook at a premium price, introduce a 15" MacBook to grab a chunk of the market that currently sees nothing for them in the Mac lineup. There's no need to make this unit ultra light because the competition is often a full pound (or more) heavier than a Mac. 3) accept that the desktop market still exists and that very successful hackintosh units already exist in this space. accept that most consumer (as opposed to corporate) desktop buyers play games. Respond with a small tower packing commodity desktop components and PCI express video. 4) use the aforementioned small tower, a more aggressively priced entry-level iMac and the AppleTV to completely replace the Mac Mini. Net result: Apple continues to sell 3 desktop models and expands selection in the growing notebook and home electronics markets. |
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#30 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
Yup. In fact, didn't Apple used to sell G4 towers for $1,499? And now the Mac Pro is $2,799(!)... wow. ![]() .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#31 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 646
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Quote:
I too have been a Apple support for well-over 10 years, but that certainly doesn't mean they don't have flaws in my eyes. And I've also home-built PCs. Sure, they're nothing like Macs but in my experience that's because you don't get the benefits of OS X, not because I had to put my CD in a tray instead of slot-loading it, because the insides had wires, or because I couldn't see the keys in a dark room. Sure the extra touches are nice, but surely not necessities (save for the DVI port). When I slot-load a CD into my iMac, I don't say, "ahh, I'm using a Mac. How much of a pain in the ass would it be if I had to put this in a tray?" -Clive |
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#32 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Olympia, WA
Posts: 169
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#33 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Olympia, WA
Posts: 169
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#34 | |||
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 646
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Quote:
Oh, yeah, and I already mentioned R&D a few posts up. Quote:
Quote:
-Clive |
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#35 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
Maybe, but it didn't seem like a transitional or temporary thing... I seem to remember Apple selling towers at the $1,499 price point for quite a long time, i.e. a few years. In fact, I believe they even had a $1,299 tower out for awhile, but that was a transitional/temporary thing. .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#36 | |
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Global Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 10,457
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Quote:
My Honda gets me from A to B but I can't help but salivate at the style and panache than an Audi A6 would deliver. I'm in no no hurry for Audi to deliver Honda quality. |
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#37 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 437
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Quote:
The $1499 days are gone. The choice is, if you want a truly upgradeable (not talking about processor) tower and a separate monitor, then you have have a choice of a Mac Pro with OS X or a PC made by a good number of other computer makers and run the system you want, but not OS X. |
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#38 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: From Parts Unknown
Posts: 2,282
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Quote:
Meh. Things are only gone until they aren't, anymore. ![]() .
The iPhone 3GS-
Cut-copy-paste, MMS, landscape keyboard, video-recording, voice-calling, and more... FINALLY To the 'We Didn't Need It' Crowd/Apple Apologista Squad™ : Wrong again, lol Thanks for listening to your users, Apple. =] |
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#39 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Phoenix, AZ
Posts: 52
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Quote:
Almost 2.5 years ago I built my own computer and spent about $900 - $1,000 bucks and it's STILL faster than probably 50% of new computers on the market. I can't wait for mine to become "obsolete" so I can finally get a Mac! ![]() |
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#40 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 646
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Quote:
This is all besides the point. This is about your Honda. Yes, we'd all love to replace our "Hondas" with "Audis" (my "Honda" is a hail-damaged 1999 Mercury Mystique and my "Audi" is an Opel GT (or it's US counterpart, the Saturn Sky Redline)) and of course we'd love to buy our "Audis" at the price of a Honda.......... .... but who said ANYTHING about quality |
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