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#1 |
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Kasper's Automated Slave
Join Date: Nov 1997
Posts: 6,151
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An $800 MacBook would be 'the height of folly' - report
Had Apple succumb to calls from industry watchers to release a new MacBook at or below the $800 price point, it would have amounted to "a value-destroying event of epic proportions," according to a newly published analysis.
In a report released Wednesday, Needham & Co's Conor Irvine and Charles Wolf, one of the more colorful analysts covering Apple today, commended Apple for avoiding the "folly in pricing for market share," and instead sticking to its roots as a value-driven organization that produces world class, differentiated products a cut above the rest of the industry. That differentiation has recently set Apple apart from the pack and kept Mac growth on a pace well above the industry average. But as the analysts noted, an "increasing choir of pundits" under-appreciate the company's fundamentals and have called for the Mac maker to introduce a notebook computer priced in the $600 to $800 range so it can hit the "sweet spot" of the market and keep its business growing through the looming recession. Apple has ignored that advice to instead pursue what it calls a "winning strategy." "There are some customers which we choose not to serve," CEO Steve Jobs stated in the company's earnings reports conference call yesterday. "We don't know how to make a $500 computer that's not a piece of junk, and our DNA will not let us ship that. But we can continue to deliver greater and greater value to those customers that we choose to serve. And there's a lot of them. "We've seen great success by focusing on certain segments of the market and not trying to be everything to everybody. So I think you can expect us to stick with that winning strategy and continue to try to add more and more value to those products in those customer bases we choose to serve." Demand elasticity in a tough economic environment The Needham report added, "The observers arguing for Mac price cuts point out that during a recession, users who might otherwise buy a Mac, may opt for an entry level Windows notebook instead. However, this argues against price cuts even more strongly because it implies that the price elasticity of demand between Macs and Windows PCs is lower and the value destruction is greater than we assumed in our analysis," pointing to its projection for sales at both $800 and $900 low end targets. Demand elasticity relates to the willingness of buyers to stretch their options and switch vendors, in this case based entirely on price. Many analysts compare Macs with similarly equipped generic PCs as if both were equal commodity products, just as HP and Dell compete primarily on price in selling wholly interchangeable, generic PC products. That isn't how Apple views the situation. Jobs indicated that his company views its Mac, iPhone, iPod, and software products as unique, insisting that "none of our competitors can deliver products in this class." Speaking of customers on a budget due to lean economic conditions, including education buyers, Jobs said, "while they might postpone purchases, they are more likely to delay than switch." Apple's Mac sales figures bear that out. The company has consistently outpaced the sales growth of generic PC makers in every quarter over the last four years apart from the first quarter of 2006, at the height of Apple's Intel transition. Over the last two years, Apple's sales growth has ranged between 30% to 50% every quarter, compared to less than 20% growth among generic PCs in general. Needham's analysts point out that Apple's unique circumstances of having products that are clearly differentiated from generic Windows PCs gives the company the opportunity to sell to markets Dell and HP can't compete in, and that misguided efforts to become a generic PC vendor, something many pundits have long insisted Apple do, would only erode the company's profits as well as its image and allure. "In short," the Needham analysts reported, "Apple has demonstrated that there are a significant percentage of Windows users who recognize the value of a Mac and are willing to pay more for comparable configurations of Macs and Windows PCs. This argues that Apple should focus its resources on making the Mac even more unique as it did with the recent introduction of the MacBook, which features an all-in-one design and a versatile, multi-function track pad that no Windows competitor will be able to emulate for the foreseeable future." Chasing Apple's runaway success Microsoft has recently scrambled to deride Apple's added value approach to building desirable, distinguished computers that people are willing to pay a premium for; the company's $300 million ad campaign has sought to insist that generic PCs are not actually suffering from the problems related to the latest version of Windows Vista, which Apple has dubbed the "V-word" in its own ads, while also presenting a series of users who appear happy using generic PCs that are not made by Apple. Microsoft has also tried to shed the negative connotation of the "Windows tax," which refers to the added cost Microsoft contributes to the price of generic PCs as allowed by its position of monopoly control over the generic PC operating system, and attach the "tax" idea to Apple instead, complaining that customers of Apple's premium hardware and lower priced software would be better suited to buying cheaper, generic PCs running Microsoft's more expensive software instead. At the same time, Apple is also under assault from PC maker Psystar, which insists that Apple's Mac OS X software is so much better than Microsoft's Windows or open source Linux that the Mac OS must legally be viewed as a separate market, and has demanded that the courts force Apple to license its software to Psystar so it can benefit from Apple's software technology without spending the efforts to develop its own operating software. Apple has insisted that Psystar already competes against the company's Macintosh systems with both Windows and Linux PCs, and insists it has the legal right to decide for itself who it chooses to do business with, including the licensing of its operating system software. Outside of the relatively minor Psystar, Microsoft's top PC makers have all been influenced by Apple's industry leading growth to investigate the use of alternative operating systems, with Dell and Acer shipping new Linux-based PCs, and both HP and Sony rumored to be working on operating systems of their own. |
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#2 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 626
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Really?
"...both HP and Sony rumored to be working on operating systems of their own."
Dear Lord I certainly hope those rumors are wrong. That would be a complete disaster for both of them. On a separate note I'm glad to see someone defending the point that SJ always likes to point out - people want value for the dollar and that doesn't always mean buying the cheapest product... |
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#3 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 308
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#4 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 626
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Quote:
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#5 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,218
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Quote:
So all this guy is saying is: Apple is unique, and PCs are not really an alternative, so its its demand is price-inelastic. Ergo, there is really no need for Apple to cut its prices and lower its margins. Jobs essentially said the same thing much better, and in one sentence, when he implied that he has little interest in price-sensitive customers. (Now, that might be a tad arrogant, but he stated it far more simply than the highly contrived and convoluted logic of this analyst.) |
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#6 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,437
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#7 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 48
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Business 101 and who you care to cater to
I LOVE IT!!
As a business owner selling Pizza, I can not agree with Apple more. I ONLY want to cater to those customers that are willing to pay $4.50 a slice and up!! I feel there is significant value in my Pizza, and business has never been better. Customers are 5 deep to pay for our value-added Pizza. Those that want the $1.25 slice, can choose to go right down the road, because as Steve says "There are some customers which we chose not to serve." GO APPLE And everyone else, go get a $399.00 eee pc, or whatever! |
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#8 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 8
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Quote:
For one thing, that means that Apple's core values are secondary to them--and why should Apple spend much effort marketing to people who aren't primarily interested in what Apple has to sell? For another, people who make decisions based on price above all else are fickle and don't have brand loyalty. They're the type of people who buy generic products at the market like no-name "Beer" and "Cola" and "Potato Chips." The ONLY way to keep those people as customers is to ALWAYS have the lowest price products. That's a road Apple will never, ever go down. Apple's doing just fine without trying to slug it out in the bottom of the barrel market. |
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#9 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 258
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This isn't 15-20 years ago, when it was all about the platform. Today it's all about the content, most of which is based on open standards supported by many different platforms and partners. It doesn't matter whether the platform is closed, open, or open sourced, all that matters is compatibility with open standards. Hopefully, in the near future, proprietary "standards" will all die a wonderfully horrible death. |
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#10 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Bay Area, California
Posts: 311
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Whether people like it or not, Apple's words are backed by the numbers.
“The true measure of a man is how he treats someone that can do him absolutely no good.”
—Samuel Johnson |
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#11 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,395
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I hate to say it, but apple DOES ship an $800 laptop.
They just overcharge for it by several hundred dollars. |
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#12 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 137
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Hmmmm. Could it be the reason the Mac mini isn't getting the attention/revisions it deserves?
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#13 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 357
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I once overheard the owner of a very successful multimillion dollar food company in Ann Arbor tell an employee who was relaying to the owner how a customer was complaining about the price to an item one of his stores sold. The owner's answer was to raise the price because the price must have been too low if the customer felt it was warranted to complain about the price.
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#14 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 163
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For the nth time, Macbook pricing is perfectly in line with it's competition (yes, there are other 13" notebooks that cost as much or more). Just because you can get some 15" Compaq for $400 does not mean that the Macbook is overpriced.
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#15 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 147
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Ive always thought they needed more entry level laptops to capture that share of the market
_____________________ ![]() ![]()
iPhone, iPod
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#16 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 6,115
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That wasn't a new notebook by any means but merely a clearance sale on an old notebook.
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#17 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 634
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Black Friday may see the low-end MacBook drop to $899. That would be awesome, but I'm sure Apple will avoid the low-end.
Tory Hagen
Break the Wedge! |
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#18 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 754
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Quote:
Apple now sells the updated last gen MacBook as a sub-$1000 laptop to students ($950 to be exact) and they've been selling the Mac mini to students for $580 since as long as I can remember. |
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#19 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 3
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Quote:
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#20 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Western Washington
Posts: 27
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What do you get from Apple? A really nice computer that actually works, that looks really slick and does what most buyers of Apple computers want it do, WORK. It has it own operating system that does not get infected by junk from the web, it is not loaded with additional junk from the hardware supplier that will never be used or wanted.
I for one will pay more for something that works and does what I want it to do. When I bought my iMac, I was totally shocked that it only took 15 minutes from removing the computer from the box to the computer doing what a computer is suppose to do. This was really a surprise after 20 years of having to deal with the junk that Windows has become For me a computer can be priced at whatever price point the company desires as long as it works and Apple computers work well. If you remember not long ago a computer set folks back $1500 for a cheap computer all the way up to the sky for a more expensive ones. The first computer I bought back in 1980 cost me over $4400 that had MS DOS and now we consider computers as appliances. |
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#21 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 5,249
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#22 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 240
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Quote:
Price-elastic demand means your total sales revenue goes up when you reduce the price. For practically all products, lowering the price will increase the quantitiy demanded. That is not price elasticity. Price elasticity means when you decrease the price of a product, the increase in units sold more than makes up for the decrease in price so that your total sales revenue (Price X Quantity) goes up even though you decreased the price. Price-inelastic products face a decrease in total revenue when you lower the sale price. i.e. the increase in quantity sold does not make up for the decrease in price. Or put the other way around, total sales revenue for price-inelastic products go up even with a price increase. The increase in price more than makes up for the decrease in quantity sold. Perfectly inelastic products are things like cigarettes, alcohol and other addictive substances. Think about it. |
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#23 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Toronto
Posts: 3,850
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The MacBook price is fine, provided they don't cut features. So where's Firewire?
The evil that we fight is but the shadow of the evil that we do.
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#24 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 310
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No point in trying to convince the "cheapskates", or getting them to understand that Apple is more than just a bunch of common-PC components in a pretty package.
If certain people can honestly say with a straight face that Apple should get into the same market as the eeewPC line, then they have issues that a quality-focused company like Apple could not (and should not) help with. The entire user experience from the hardware to the software is what makes Apple stand out in an arena of generic PC's. It's too bad price is your #1 priority. I for one pay for having a better machine, OS, etc than having to deal with the instabilities of a non-OSX machine. You want cheap? Stick with Dell and the other low-cost providers. I can see why Apple does not want to "serve" you. Your crowd belongs to that group of high-maintenance folks that can never be satisfied no matter what one does. If Apple really tried to be everything to everyone, they would have been out of business years ago. |
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#25 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: tokyo
Posts: 30
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Quote:
Computers, cars, and houses have traditionally not been these kinds of cheap commodities. But I guess it's changing, with the popularity of netbooks and "the race to the bottom" as Sony put it computers might be becoming just another cheap appliance. Consumers already seem to think so. People often compare Apple to luxury cars, it's the ferrari of computers, the products are definitely a better quality, and apple customers pay a higher price than PC users. But with the iPhone and Macbooks now targeting a wider range of consumers it seems they are enticing consumers who think of, and expect all apple products to be cheap commodities. I wouldn't mind if they were cheaper as long as the quality doesn't drop. |
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#26 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 165
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i disagree
usually i like apple's strategy, but in this case i disagree. if apple doesn't know how to make a computer that's not a piece of junk and is priced at $800, i can point steve to a number of companies that can.
the fact is that there are a few PC companies who make fantastic quality value priced PCs with better specs and reliability than many apple models. steve's quote definately falls under the reality distortion field category. there's no reason why apple can't ship an $800 laptop of reasonable quality that satisfies even apple's profit margins and standards of quality, fashion, and elegance. why doesn't apple make a celeron machine? or maybe an amd machine (apple doesn't need intel's exclusivity perks anymore and intel seems to care less about apple these days as well) it wouldn't lower the quality of the machine or significantly reduce performance for home users. the general idea of not catering to all customers is absolutely true. apple is a premium computer outlet. but steve is wrong, a premium machine can be built and sold for $800. |
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#27 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 310
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Quote:
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#28 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Clovis, California
Posts: 322
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Quote:
In all reality, what they would likely do, is make a customized Linux distro (my guess is Debian-based, as that has a lot of momentum because of Ubuntu), and make it for opportunities a user wants a basic OS to quick boot into (< 30 secs). |
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#29 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 970
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Quote:
"Solipsism: In philosophy, a view that maintains that the self is the only thing that can be known to exist. It is an extreme form of skepticism. The solipsist sees himself or herself as the only individual in existence...."
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#30 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 17
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Quote:
Apple doesn't make a celeron machine because the company chooses not to serve the market where products than run them operates. As a small business owner, I can see his perspective on this. A premium product loses its perceived value if it is sold too cheaply. |
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#31 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Paradise
Posts: 399
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The gap is between a netbook style computer and a cheaper laptop. Lowering the price of a Macbook to $800 wouldn't do anything for Apple, but producing a bridge computer in a netbook form factor could be a great thing for Apple long term.
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#32 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: WA state
Posts: 110
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Cheap Products
Jobs also remarked once that Apple only makes products they themselves would be proud of to own and use. So forget about the $500 underwhelming notebook.
It's funny that many from the PC side don't understand Apple's DNA. If we apply this cheap logic to cars, we would demand that Lexus makes a Lexus for $9,999. It's not going to happen. And if it did, it certainly wouldn't be a Lexus. I'm glad Jobs verbalized that there are markets Apple doesn't want to serve. Stop moaning about Apple's premium products that are awesome values and work on the other side of the equation. Make a little more money (or save) and join the club when you want to step up. |
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#33 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 14
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Quote:
What you said is correct though, but is not the definition of price elasticity. Total Revenue is affected by price elasticity. |
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#34 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 7
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Quote:
Of course, lately the iPhone also drew people into OS X, so I wouldn't be surprised if Apple axed the mini and a cheap MacBook. |
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#35 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: California -- New York
Posts: 189
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Quote:
1) of course a "premium" machine can be built and sold for $800. but there would probably be only marginal profits that would be completely wiped out by R&D. 2) most of these $800 machines piggyback on someone else's crap OS. When you buy a mac, you are paying for the privilege of OSX. That's the so-called "mac tax". You're paying for a better OS and a better UI. If all you care about is hardware, go somewhere else... apple isn't catering to you. |
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#36 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: California -- New York
Posts: 189
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#37 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: The Ansible
Posts: 11,779
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Quote:
Do your part to clean up AppleInsider forums: User CP » Edit Ignore List » Teckstud
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#38 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 122
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A Cut Above the Rest
I'll way in on the Lexus analogy of @bugsnw.
I agree totally. Apple's perceived brand value would suffer. It isn't in their DNA and the company would lose more than it gained. Remember John Scully? Someone above said Apple is a software company. That's not why they started making their own software. Apple sells "an experience." They make software to make that experience unique and pleasurable. They are the Lexus of computers and I hope they stay that way. If you want to play, you've got to pay. Brand loyalty proves Apple is smarter than the cheapos. |
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#39 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2004
Location: florida
Posts: 212
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RE: the exchanges on price elasticity...
It's reassuring to me that there are folks like all of you--anantksundaram, tundraboy, Maynardjames--who have knowledge in special fields and are willing to share it. Your contributions (and others who contribute in different areas of expertise) are what make this forum so valuable. Thanks. Last edited by rtdunham; 10-23-2008 at 12:40 PM.. |
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#40 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2004
Location: florida
Posts: 212
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Quote:
But there's a difference between entering a product market, and a price market: IMHO, there is a market for several Apple products--designed and priced as only Apple would price them--between the iPhone and Macbook. The "bigger iPhone" for want of a better name, would be an example of apple creating a new market. The apple netbook would be an example of apple entering a market that is no longer nascent (see Amazon's top 25 seller list) , as it did with mp3 players and cellphones. Last edited by rtdunham; 10-23-2008 at 12:41 PM.. |
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