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#1 |
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Kasper's Automated Slave
Join Date: Nov 1997
Posts: 6,151
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Apple well-positioned to race forward while Jobs sidelined
Customers won't stop buying products from fundamentally sound Apple just because its luminary is taking a breather on the sidelines, investment bank Piper Jaffray argues in a new report issued Wednesday evening.
"We believe that during Jobs' absence, Apple's sales will be unaffected," analyst Gene Munster told clients in a memo reacting to this afternoon's announcement that Jobs has elected to take a medical leave of absence from his day-to-day leadership role at the Cupertino-based company through June. "More importantly, we believe the pace of innovation will remain solid, driven by key product-minded executives," he continued.* "From an operational perspective, we expect [chief operating officer Tim] Cook to maintain the same standard of excellence that he demands as COO." Tim Cook*was hired away from Compaq by Steve Jobs in March 1998.* For one month, Cook filled in as CEO in 2004 while Apple co-founder Jobs underwent surgery for pancreatic cancer. *As chief operating officer, Cook is responsible for Apple's worldwide sales and operations, including supply chain management as well as service and support. *In this YouTube clip, Cook can be seen talking about the Mac product lineup at last October's notebook*event. Munster believes that, regardless of Steve Jobs' health, investors should start thinking about what Apple would look like under the "capable" Cook. "While the iconic leadership of Steve Jobs cannot be fully replaced, we believe his core attributes as a CEO, operationally and with products, can be replicated," Munster wrote.* "Cook provides the operational expertise for the company, which would serve him well as Apple's CEO." Apple industrial design chief Jonathan Ive*and several software developers have played a "key role" in designing the "innovative technology" that has been driving Apple sales recently, Munster noted.* "Together, we believe that Cook and the other leaders at Apple can effectively replicate the elements of Steve Jobs' leadership that have been critical to his success as CEO." The face of Apple COO and interim CEO Tim Cook According to Munster, Jobs himself has put a lot of thought into building a talented*executive team*capable of leading the company forward. "The company is led largely by [Cook], chief financial officer*Peter Oppenheimer, and ten Senior Vice Presidents who share a collective track record of consistently outpacing their competitors in terms of hardware and software innovation coupled with robust product marketing and financial discipline," he wrote. Munster maintains both his Buy rating on shares of AAPL and his price target of $235. |
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#2 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Seattle, WA USA
Posts: 105
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Wishing you and your family the best. Get well soon.
While there is someone the run the company financially and can follow through on what Steve Jobs has put into place...
While there is someone who can do the industrial design... While there is someone that can do the keynotes... Who is there to tell them what products to produce? That is where Steve Jobs came in and made sure they did their jobs. Hopefully I don't have to worry about it for a long time. |
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#3 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 264
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From a NY Times article titled Apple’s Chief Taking a Medical Leave:
Two people who are familiar with Mr. Jobs’s current medical treatment said he was not suffering from a recurrence of cancer, but a condition that was preventing his body from absorbing food. Doctors have also advised him to cut down on stress, which may be making the problem worse, these people said. |
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#4 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 182
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I'd be more weary about Apple's long term prospects, dipping into markets they really shouldn't. Even though such products would sell well in the beginning, too many investments will spread the companies brand too thin, and it only takes one bad product to be forgotten.
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#5 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 22
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This has nothing to do with the article but it freaked me out that there are Pystar google ads on Appleinsider...
![]() ![]() Anyone else? |
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#6 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 585
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Obviously, but what they will be missing is someone who can make big calls that go against the grain with keen judgement and someone who can negotiate with authority. No-one else can do these things.
The keynotes are totally unimportant (except for fanboys). The industrial design is mostly Jon Ives and his team. And so on for most other things. |
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#7 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 585
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#8 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: England
Posts: 557
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Well, lets hope he is a better leader than he is a looker.
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#9 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 193
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Now maybe analysts can ponder whether customers will stop buying products because Apple doesn't update them. I mean, 18 months. There isn't a bigger story happening right now. |
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#10 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: England
Posts: 557
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I feel like I'm being stalked by him, my favorite website has his face plastered all over it, its a little weird. |
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#11 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,700
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Well, the big story is that the analysts are scrambling like crazy to prevent the stock from bombing even more this year.
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#12 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1
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We feel the same way here at SkratchBoard.com. In the short-term, nothing will change. The larger question will be around who will be the next person to lead Apple to its next revolutionary product.
iPods, iTunes, iMacs and iPhones are nothing short of revolutionary. We wish Steve the best. - SkratchBoard.com |
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#13 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 640
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#14 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 640
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#15 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 791
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I don't see how they are well positioned. Their computer hardware designs are starting to look stale, Microsoft is starting to make a comeback from Vista, Palm is making a comeback with the Pre. They have possibly missed the boat on Netbooks.
I am not saying things are bad for Apple, they clearly are not, but they are more "under seige" than they have been for quite some time. |
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#16 |
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 8,453
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Everyone knows that Steve is the face of Apple, when you get down to it and his presence has been responsible for the incredible growth of the company in recent years. There have only been a few such people in business... Walt Disney, Steve's hero... Steven Spielberg... you get the point. There are no other such faces at Apple at this time without Jobs. He broke the mold (and recycled the aluminum).
"The natural progress of things is for liberty to yield, and government to gain ground."
—Thomas Jefferson Proud AAPL stock owner. |
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#17 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 222
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Microsoft is never coming back. They are retreating further and further with each passing year. They just gave up on the Zune. Windows Mobile is completely dead, now that Palm will stop making Treos. Office is not nearly as significant a product as it used to be, and will continue to decline as better alternatives continue to be noticed by companies. Windows 7 is Vista with slightly less crap in it. Microsoft is the one that is not well-positioned. It has no apparent product to make up for the loss in Windows and Office sales over the next few years. Every other venture the company has tried is losing money. (Yes, that includes the X-Box.) Palm shot itself in the foot a long time ago by taking so long to get the new OS out the door. They had to start selling Windows Mobile devices to survive, for crying out loud. Now, they finally produce a decent-looking OS, but it will fail. First, Palm no longer has many loyal customers. Second, the Pre copies the iPhone a great deal, but will cost more. Why pay more for a copycat when you can get the genuine article for less? Third, the iPhone has a giant consumer base already, and thousands of apps already selling. It's an ecosystem. Palm is jumping back into a race it started two years too late. Maybe, maybe they can kill Android, since the G1 is obviously getting no love. But Blackberry and the iPhone are ruling that market for a long time. iPod still has no competition. iTunes has no competition. Amazon had plenty of time with no DRM to catch iTunes, and failed miserably. Now that iTunes has no DRM, Amazon stands almost no chance of taking market share from Apple. The only place where Apple could screw up at this point is the Mac, but even Mac sales are doing better than ever. And let's not forget the billions in cash Apple is sitting on, spending on R&D at a time when everyone else is struggling to keep profitable. I don't know many companies that are better positioned than Apple at this point. |
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#18 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 6
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#19 | |||
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 17
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I downloaded the beta and I use it a good deal now. Aside from the daily BSOD, it's a very well-done OS and I actually think the bastard love-child of Dock and Taskbar (Dockbar?) works better than the OS X Dock for serious multitaskers. I'm a life-long Apple user, but Windows 7 is the first Windows that I feel is "good enough." Given the growing price differences between Macs and PCs, I won't be able to recommend Macs to people with the same enthusiasm I used to. And if current price trends continue (unless Apple does something great with 10.6 or 10.7), my next computer down the line may very well be a VAIO or a ThinkPad.
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Hey I love Apple. I was an Apple Campus Rep in college, and an Apple summer intern. I'm typing this on a nice new unibody MacBook and I have the 2G and 3G iPhones. I'm not a hater. I'm criticizing Apple because I want them to do well, I need them to do well so they can keep making new products and features, attracting new developers into the Apple ecosystem, expanding the market and improving my digital life. Heck to a large extent I even love the ridiculous "screw you I'm awesome" showmanship of His Steveness. But lately--I don't know why--Apple has gone too far. I certainly HOPE they have something great cooking in their labs, because right now their corporate intransigence has grown just as the gap between their products and their competitors has shrank (iPhone vs WinMo is a no-brainer, but iPhone vs Pre changes things. And OS X vs XP+Vista is another no-brainer, but Windows 7 has effectively closed the gap as far as most would-be Windows deserters are concerned). If this is the fault of Steve Jobs, then it is time for him to go anyway. Maybe get someone whose computer usage habits are a bit more 21st century, who would (for just one example) realize that a smartphone shipping without an IM app included is ludicrous. |
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#20 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Gatineau (Quebec)
Posts: 308
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Unrealistic $235 price target
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It is unrealistic to predict a $235 price target for the shares of Apple within the next 12 months because Apple is a company with a falling market share that failed to realize that price and features matter when buyers decide to buy a computer. Tim Cook is a good choice for an acting CEO, but he needs the freedom from the Apple Board of directors to rectify the problems that keep Apple from offering computers with competitive features at a reasonable, competitive price. Unless and until Apple can offer its computers for a lower, competitive price, with a competitive microprocessor like the Core i7, it will disappear from the market. The Intel Core i7 quad-core desktop microprocessor was officially introduced on November 17, 2008. See: Intel unleashes Core i7, beats itself @ http://www.tgdaily.com/content/view/40213/135/ Core i7 PCs launch with prices from $1250 to $13,000 @ http://www.tgdaily.com/content/view/40227/135/ ![]() ![]() ![]() Last edited by ouragan; 01-15-2009 at 02:52 AM.. |
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#21 | ||
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 330
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![]() Rule one of being an analyst: Either paint a picture of Apple being doomed or Apple being blessed by God himself. No-one will read your report is you say that they're doing kinda OK. |
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#22 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 76
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This is why we are in the situation we are in.
People are concerned more about the health of company more than the health of people. Steve Job's life may be at stake and all that's news worthy is .. how is Apple going to make it. This is exactly why are society fails.. it's too greedy and only interested in money.
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#23 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Upstate NY
Posts: 220
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This coming from a person who probably hasn't even downloaded the beta.
Granted, I haven't downloaded the beta, but unless you can sucinctly state what it is about Windows 7 that makes it "Vista with slightly less crap," other than some appearance similarities, you only make youself look like a fanboy blowhard. That, and the Win7 beta has only been out a week. Give MS some benefit of the doubt.Its hard to say where Apple will go after Steve. History is rife with examples of companies that, after their great CEOs wane or leave, wander off course, their products become less innovative, and their goals more diluted. In fact, I believe Apple was once one such company, until the return of the Steve. Apple is in a good position with many resources and great products, but it is up to them how they manage and leverage those advantages. |
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#24 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: New England
Posts: 480
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And heaven forbid, but has Steve and crew got something up their sleeve?
Will there be a BIG announcement on some New and Exciting products, while Steve is gone, and more when he's gone. Will this be how they convince folks there is life at Apple after Steve is gone? It would kind-of suck, but would surely relax folks (stock holders). If there is going to be "another" SJ's, then this would be great way to bring him / her into the world and public eye. Quote: (from Skip) "No one is irreplaceable, but some will be missed more then others"! S |
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#25 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1
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Hi all
I like Apple, from the MBP to the iPhone etc. I buy all the new cool stuffs
![]() butt.... Apple disappoints me since last december I lost almost 50% of my assets put into Apple. It seams that most of the news are bad news & I start to get tired of it. It is time to get some value back to the shareholders soon... ![]() ![]() ![]() |
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#26 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 57
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Apple just has a problem with the truth
I used to be an investor in Apple, but I got out awhile ago and sold my stock for two reasons. One was that I didn't like the fact that the stock could surge or sink based on the health of one man. Secondly, Apple has a problem telling the truth.
Now true, sometimes Apple lies for misdirection, as in "We have no interest to add video to the iPod" or "We have no interest in make a phone." But this whole thing with Steve's health just takes the cake. First he appears gaunt and sickly, but the official word is that he's fine. The press sticks to it and says that he looked really bad, and Apple says that he had a common bug. Then it comes out that he had surgery again, but he's fine. Then he skips Macworld, but it has nothing to do with Steve's health. Then Steve says that it was his health and it's a hormone imbalance and the cure is rather easy. Now it's more serious than that and the cure isn't that easy. They have been deceitful at every turn. It's ridiculous. And the analysts seem to eat it up. Gene "Fanboy" Munster is always saying that it's a time to buy Apple. I love Apple products, but I fear where this company has been heading the last couple of years. I just hope Steve can take some time off and finally recover. Maybe the company will be a little more truthful after this is all over. |
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#27 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: England
Posts: 557
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Quote:
oh for god sake, lets not make a mountain out of a mole hill. Apple dropped a percentage point due to the popularity of the low margin netbook for one quarter. Whoopty doo. Lets not forget that the iphone should be considered a computer (as that is where the future of persoal computing lies), which case they are significantly UP. Also, do you really think Apple are sat on their collective asses doing nothing? Right now they are going through a transitional period with new chips and various other technologies on the way, I'm fairly certain they will release a netbook, and when they do it will blow everything out the water and rocket past the 10% barrier. There is no point in releasing an 'and me' netbook or any other product just because a few armchair analysts say so, otherwise they would have wasted resources developing a computer which will be refreshed within 10 months forsaking the 'wow' factor that an out-of-the-blue superior product would bring. Last edited by monstrosity; 01-15-2009 at 08:55 AM.. |
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#28 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 733
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#29 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 733
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#30 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 199
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#31 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,437
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If they want to race forward, they need to replace all of their obsolete desktop computers and expand into more of the market.
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#32 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 92
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Akamai proved everyone wrong too...
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The predictions and doubts about his successors by ignorant loud mouth tech press idiots was just as bad. Well Akamai surged and still reigns, as will Apple. Steve jobs may be sick and smartly is reducing stress by getting out of the front lines, but he stilll has a brain vision and say in what Apple will focus on and develop and Apple still has that + a team of like minded pros that can each outperform any peer in the industry. |
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#33 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,395
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While I agree that Jobs's health probably isn't going to make a difference in how much product the company sells and how much money it makes, with several products way overdue for updates, and apple doing such a poor job of addressing the lower end of their product lines (particularly considering the current economy), I don't see them as particularly well positioned right now.
But that is something that can and should be fixed, and it's necessary they do it ASAP. |
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#34 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,395
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#35 |
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will burn in the Fiery Pit of Hell.
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,317
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Not really, they are doing their best to sink the stock with crazy low earnings estimates.
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#36 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 20
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As a (v.minor) share holder I'm not worried at all.
In fact Apple shares are the only ones I'm happy to hold long-term right now. |
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#37 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 163
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From Financial Times:
"Asked if Microsoft would counter with a “Zune Phone”, Mr Ballmer said: “You should not anticipate that.” He added that the company would stick to its strategy of developing software to support a range of mobile devices. That suggests that, if there is a future for Zune, it lies in planting the software and online service linked to the player in other devices." |
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#38 | |
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,437
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#39 | |||||||||||
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 5,043
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From an OS perspective, it's Windows vs Unix. At the core unix is better, it's just a pain in the ass to use. Until now. From an application perspective, the OSX apps are more elegant and typically have better workflow. Quote:
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#40 |
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will burn in the Fiery Pit of Hell.
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Colorado
Posts: 5,317
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"if there is a future for the zune" - it was an answer to a question about Balmer throwing in the towel on the Zune (and not just as a phone), which he has.
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