Originally Posted by al_bundy
and everyone else is getting into the game. Sony hardware has made a lot of cool unreleased in the US devices. Reason is that their media people scream piracy and there is a huge boardroom fight and the media people win.
Sony is aiming for a 2011 release of the PSP/cell phone. Pre is maturing nicely.
Cell phone insides remind me of PC's back in the 1990's with cards everywhere. every year these get integrated on the same piece of silicon and there is less and less parts which also erodes apple's competative advantage in having only 2 models. This is what happened with Dell's direct vs HP's retail model. as everything became integrated HP's retail model saw costs plummet and Dell's direct model price advantage was eroded.
and the longer the iphone is out, the less competative it becomes. we already see this as almost every game is written for 1st gen devices due to the installed base. a good product from a big company with the resources to pay off the devs can release a new phone with games that support the new hardware and it will look better than the iphone because the Apple developers will still be writing code for 3 year old hardware. The Pre already has the exact same CPU/graphics as the iphone so it's not a big deal for Sony to release a phone in 2011 with hardware more powerful than Apple's that year.
and the biggest advantage is that the apps are cheap. if there is a better phone in 2011 when my iphone contract ends then it's no big deal for me to jump and "lose" $100 worth of apps. not like i have to buy all of them.
You're trying to prove a case with incorrect suppositions and a lack of facts. It won't work.
Can you point us to a link that has Sony making a statement about a PSP based cellphone for 2011, or is this just another guess or rumor? and even if it somehow were true, what makes you think it would be a success? The PSP hasn't been doing that well.
The Pre sales stink. They are well below what both Palm and Sprint obviously wanted and need. With estimates of sales between 23,000 and 25,000 a week, and possibly dropping from that level over time, the product hasn't been a bang up success. not close to what they had been hyping about before its release. Estimates are that in order to break even, Palm would have to sell about 3 million a year.
Another assumption your part is about the lack of competitiveness of the iPhone moving forward. Have you any proof of that either? You don't, do you? Just some wishful thinking.
Estimates are that Apple could sell 75 million of these a year in a few years as smartphone sales continue to rise quickly. That's even if they don't increase their marketshare by much.
Are you expecting Apple to cease coming out with new models? The 3GS sales confounded people as they thought the release would sell far less than the 3G a year ago. But, here we are, in the middle of the bad recession, and it did very well indeed.
I would imagine that you aren't a business person, or that you haven't actually looked at the software market.
Apple is selling more of the new models every day. As the new 3Gs replaces the older models over time for the larger part of the market, and it will happen very soon, developers will move to the newer machines. Also, just like games for the PC, there is no reason why users of advanced games can't use them on slower devices with some of the more cpu/gpu consuming cycles turned down, or off. This is a pretty well known and tested concept going back many years.
It's also interesting that the Pre is so much slower than the 3Gs in so many areas. And, by the way, the Pre GPU is slower than the one in the 3GS.
Yeah, I'm sure "lots" of people will follow you.