Originally Posted by Firefly7475
It was actually much slower. It's only in the past 3 or 4 years that we've got what looks like a true cross-browser internet.
But it was only in the last 3-4 years we got a credible rival to IE. Firefox was launched in 2004 and really picked up steam a couple of years later.
As soon as 10% of users were using Firefox - we saw IE-only websites start to get fixed. Most of this changeover happened between 2006-2008. It was pretty quick! Even though that meant re-writing entire sites.
Content providers have been coping with a Flashless internet for a while. The iPhone has been a force in encouraging providers to move to an alternative delivery method for video and advertising. So the process is already underway.
Adobe's blogger, Lee Brimelow made this post - arguing that the reference sites would not work without flash.http://theflashblog.com/?p=1703
But already most of these sites offer alternative iPhone friendly versions.
Flash was a useful intermediate technology which allowed the web to push content, when the underlying web technologies had not caught up. And I am sure Flash will be around for many years to come.
But Flash is a terrible technology for mobile devices. It was never designed with mobile devices in mind. Nothing scales, nothing renders in hardware. It's a dog.
So Flash-only content is a bad idea for most content providers. Because most content providers want to reach the largest possible audience and that includes mobile devices. In a year's time, I think it will be difficult to find a major site that does not offer a Flash-free alternative method for accessing its content.