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Apple seen moving 2M iPads in 2010 before sales 'catalyst' emerges - Page 4

post #121 of 163
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I saw this on another thread... it should be required reading for computer 101 circa 2010!

http://stevenf.tumblr.com/post/35922...uters-ive-been

*
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- Michael Lille -
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post #122 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by nkhm View Post

My dad has an iPhone, he does not have a computer. Go figure.

How does he update it without a computer? Maybe somewhere down the line this device will be standalone, but if it's anything like the iPhone it won't be. The thing is tethered to iTunes. Your dad can't add photos, music or videos without either connecting via a computer or buying from the store.

2 million seems a bit conservative though. I just hope that second update (with iSight) comes quickly enough!
post #123 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by TEKSTUD View Post

No we get it. That's the problem. It not for anything but basically being entertained or viewing information. Yawn.

Yeah, and NOOOOOBODY wants to "view information" or be "entertained".

I mean, what the hell is "information" is only stuff that you may want or need to know and it can only come in a variety of forms such as text, pictures, video, spoken word or music. Sheesh - who needs "information"? I mean, why should my mother, living in Portugal, who doesn't know how to operate a full OS want "information" about her family that can't be transmitted over the phone (like video or pictures).

And no-one really needs to be entertained, do they? No one wants it, no one needs it. Just because "entertainment" has been around since the dawn of civilization, doesn't mean it's going to stick anyway. I predict the demise of entertainment within the next five years (that's the analyst in me).

"Information". "Entertainment". Pathetic.
post #124 of 163
I won't need to get a Touch or a Macbook after this purchase.

Was going to get a Macbook for a 2nd computer for the family, but this iPad looks like it will do the job and cover a base we don't have covered by being an ebook reader and convenient browser etc. WE have an iMac for heavy duty work.

Thought about getting a Touch next-gen when they put a camera in one, but that desire will be much less after I get an iPad. True Touch is much more portable, and iPad doesn't have camera, but porting in the car or to Doctor's office etc. is enough portability for us.
post #125 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by rollerborges View Post

And that's the whole point of the simple, intuitive interface. It just makes sense - poke the message you want to read and if you really get lost, just press the one and only button and start again - poke the mail thingy, poke the message, swipe stuff up and down... easy.

Yes, and this is where the idea of not allowing multitasking makes sense. It is very hard to get confused for the people like my mom. The window you see is the only one running. How simple can it get. I'd like to be able to switch on multi tasking but i must say I don't suffer because I can't. Its a limitation but not a deal breaker. For MOST people it simplifies and thus makes the experience better.
post #126 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dick Applebaum View Post

*

I saw this on another thread... it should be required reading for computer 101 circa 2010!

http://stevenf.tumblr.com/post/35922...uters-ive-been

*

He makes some very good points (though he could have done in about half as many words).
Please don't be insane.
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Please don't be insane.
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post #127 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kendoka View Post

If Apple do not include an IR output in the iPad, third parties (Logitech?) will surely make a smallish, battery operated bluetooth/WiFi->IR device that you simply tape to the underside of your TV-table.

I've been waiting and waiting to use my iPhone as a TV remote with no joy. I used to use my Palm Treo as a TV remote, and my Sony Clie (an ancient PalmOS device) before that.

Why hasn't anybody done it yet for the iTouch/iPhone?
post #128 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by anonymouse View Post

It is a new paradigm in computing, but the apps that will become available for it will make it something much more than merely a device for media consumption.

What will they make it?
post #129 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by iGenius View Post

I've been waiting and waiting to use my iPhone as a TV remote with no joy. I used to use my Palm Treo as a TV remote, and my Sony Clie (an ancient PalmOS device) before that.

Why hasn't anybody done it yet for the iTouch/iPhone?

I use my iPhone as a remote for my Apple TV. I love it - much easier than the incessant clicking of the remote. As much maligned as the Apple TV is, we get great use out of it renting movies and streaming music, video & photos to the living room.
post #130 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by Doctor David View Post

Hopefully as you get older you will ditch the need to find a way to be right and instead simply shoot for a rational discussion.

Good luck hoping. My guess is, the guy is probably a cynical old person without much of a life.

And, if he wasn't, I'd say 'bite your tongue'! Can you not imagine the many years of suffering that AI will have to go through while he's on the path of self-discovery to become mature!? Perish the thought......
post #131 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by lopsided View Post

Even if the iPad eats into iPod touch sales, what's so bad about that?
iPad = $499+, touch = $199<. Sales increase, revenues increase, and as long as margins increase everybody should be happy!

Now, that's a sensible post!
post #132 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by hillstones View Post

You got that right. You might as well be wearing a sign, "Look at me! I am an iDouchebag!"

Quote:
Originally Posted by TEKSTUD View Post

Not to mention if you pull out an iPad on the NYC subway you might as well wear a sign on your forehead that reads "MUG ME".

Isn't it pretty much the same effects as using an Ipod or Iphone with blaring white headphones? NY subways are hardly that dangerous during normal business hours and you're no more likeley to get mugged for an Ipad than you are any other Apple product.

Quote:
Originally Posted by hillstones View Post

That's a nice dream you have. Doubtful it will be true. The most press the iPad has gotten has been the joke of the name that they gave it. The MadTV iPad parody has gotten more views than when it originally aired.

Guess you didn't watch the grammy's. FYI 25.8 million people did. You can't get better press than that and it's still early in the game.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MacTripper View Post

The iPad is a not a computer geek thing, it's not all that powerful or feature rich. Most have already heard that the iPad sports a camera, so they are going to wait for the better version to come out.

You're probably right about the "fanatics" won't be breaking down the doors. This product will sell well over time. The Apple stores are key for this product because it seems everyone has doubts untill they use it. I don't see how you can claim it's not powerful and feature rich. Obviously you miss the point, the software is what gives this sort of device it's power and many of it's features.

Quote:
Originally Posted by hillstones View Post

And since you don't live in the USA, you don't know how things work. People have to set up their own Wi-Fi networks with their own wireless routers in the USA.

Dude, you are completely exaggerating and making Americans seem like complete morons. I'm sure things aren't any different in the UK or anywhere else in the world. They still use the same protocols and hardware. Ignore this guy! Hillstones, do some research before you form an opinion. From what I can tell, nearly 227 million Americans (74% of the population) has broadband internet. Seems like Americans can hook up the "interwebs" just fine.

Quote:
Originally Posted by SpamSandwich View Post

I think the iPad could also become the ultimate TV remote controller.

Word. It would make a pretty good game controller for the ATV as well.

Quote:
Originally Posted by gmcalpin View Post

When you start seeing people carrying them around, you should grow some balls and tell that to them to their face.

Maybe he needs to grow some "Hillstones" instead. With my commute (90 miles north of NYC) I can get pretty testy on the train and would probably get arrested shortly after that line was delivered. (laughing as I say that of course)
turtles all the way up and turtles all the way down... infinite context means infinite possibility
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turtles all the way up and turtles all the way down... infinite context means infinite possibility
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post #133 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by nkhm View Post

OK, you mean I don't know how things work in the USA, not how things "work" - there is a world outside the US you know. And it's where Apple sell a majority of their products.

You need a computer to set up wi-fi? No. You simply need to access the routers CP via a browser. Why couldn't you access your routers control panel via the web browser on the 'pad? you confuse me.

Also, "if you want to put your "own" music and videos on it" - Well Apple want you to buy content on line. Of course this thing will have even MORE potential if hooked up to a computer, but it's not necessary in order to own the device. But look at your logic - if someone currently doesn't have a home computer, then they're not going to have their "own" digital media to transfer. If they do already have a computer then there's no issue.

I don't understand your logic. At all.


These are valid points! Just because that's the way we do it in the US, doesn't mean that it's the best way (not to mention the only way).

A Non-Apple router's CP should be accessible via a browser.

AFAIK, Apple router's CP is not accessible through a browser.

However Apple computers come with an Airport Utility that automatically finds nearby routers and provides configuration access.

No reason this utility can't be made to run on an iPad (even automatically, if no WiFi is defined).

To make it even easier, Apple could offer package deals with 3rd-party router mfgrs., Internet providers, modem manufacturers, etc. to offer preconfigured 1-step plug-and-play Internet access solutions.

Add to that a 3-month Introductory (free trial) subscription to MobileMe, along with online iTunes stores and you are good to go... no [other] computer required!

*
"...The calm is on the water and part of us would linger by the shore, For ships are safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for."
- Michael Lille -
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"...The calm is on the water and part of us would linger by the shore, For ships are safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for."
- Michael Lille -
Reply
post #134 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by BuffyzDead View Post

I am no genius but I'll bet my house that what you see in this video will NEVER EVER succeed "touch-wise"....EVER!! (http://www.engadget.com/2010/02/01/e...t-strictly-me/)

Wow that made me cringe and it should help people understand why the ipad is going to do just fine. Consumers are generally underestimated and I think Steve understands that people do know what works best for them.
turtles all the way up and turtles all the way down... infinite context means infinite possibility
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turtles all the way up and turtles all the way down... infinite context means infinite possibility
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post #135 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by MacTripper View Post

To securely set up a router, you do need physical access, a Ethernet port. Especially if your locked out somehow or need to update the firmware.


Also unless you want to suffer with even slower than now 3G speeds, your going to need wifi and a broadband connection, which set up properly, your going to need a computer.

Or you can pay someone to set up the router for you too.


The iPad is not a replacement for a computer, it's a learning device for the computer illiterate and those who can never learn a computer and need a lot of hand holding.

I doubt a lot of real power users will find a use for this iPad device for themselves.


Gee! I have had every model of Airport and Airport Extreme since they were introduced!

All networks were/are secure, software/firmware updated, debugged and maintained without ever using the Ethernet port.

Last week I installed the latest OS X update on an early 17" iMac Intel (Developer System) that sits beside my bed upstairs. After reboot the Mac didn't recognize the browser. I could have gone downstairs an rebooted the Airport... but being lazy, I just fired up the Airport Utility and rebooted it remotely (WiFi).

I guess, like the bumblebee, I just don't know any better (that I can't fly without an Ethernet port)!

BTW, as a user of Canvas, Photoshop, FC Studio, Silhouette, etc, along with being an iPhone Developer, Web Developer, and a user of computers since 1956 (my first assembler used Octal Absolute)-- I consider myself to be a Power user.

I see great potential in the iPad for people (professionals and laymen) who are interest in results rather than archaic process.

*
"...The calm is on the water and part of us would linger by the shore, For ships are safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for."
- Michael Lille -
Reply
"...The calm is on the water and part of us would linger by the shore, For ships are safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for."
- Michael Lille -
Reply
post #136 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by iGenius View Post

I've been waiting and waiting to use my iPhone as a TV remote with no joy. I used to use my Palm Treo as a TV remote, and my Sony Clie (an ancient PalmOS device) before that.

All of those devices had IR built in didn't they?. Either apple would have to add IR or we need hardware to translate wifi transmitted signals into IR extender port with some good software. I guess the "god remote" makers would rather sell you their remote. But that sounds silly since they could sell you and App and hardware instead.
turtles all the way up and turtles all the way down... infinite context means infinite possibility
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turtles all the way up and turtles all the way down... infinite context means infinite possibility
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post #137 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by dixonge View Post

I think most of the discussion so far has been regarding the super-sizing of existing iPhone apps. But Apple's entire suite of iWork apps should set the bar much higher. I wouldn't even try to speculate on sales figures, except that Apple's own targets will be exceeded and a few years from now the total number of iPads in the wild will exceed most numbers any pundit has thrown out there.

Couldn't agree more. For example, every salesman who makes sales calls and presentations should want one of these. Every company employing salesmen or field service people should want an App that can access their corporate database. Every realtor should want to take one of these along when they're showing houses or office space to a client.

It's the killer combination of a great display, ease of use, and ubiquitous connectivity at a much lower cost than we've seen previously.

The Internet has had a dramatic impact on our lives. One of the main reasons it became popular so quickly would be the early emergence of ISPs like Earthlink who offered very low cost access at a fixed rate with no metered usage charges. Customers loved that model and flocked to it. Phone companies lamented the fact that they hadn't acted quickly enough to get control of it and to get their toll booths on every Internet entry point and node. Now we have the coming together of cellular phone networks and the internet. The phone companies want those toll booths. The customers want those low fixed monthly rates. The pricing model for the iPad's 3G data plan is a breakthrough for customers.
post #138 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by Object-X View Post

I think they are grossly underestimating the impact of this device and it's entry level price point. I wouldn't be at all surprised if Apple sells close to 10 million in the first year. Nor do I think it will have a significant impact on iPod Touch sales either; those numbers will continue to increase. For the price of a MacBook Pro I'm going to be buying my family three right at the start. Even my 80 year old father is asking me about one.

10 million seems a bit high the first year since there'll only be 8 months, but I can definitely see 5 million since I feel that Apple can easily double iPad sales over the Amazon Kindle's supposedly 2 million units. I'm sure older people could definitely have a use for a simple internet device, but I think children are going to bug their parents to death to get one. I also agree on the point that it will become the must-have device of 2010 even if there isn't much use for it. Heck, it even makes a cool photo album display device in the living room.

I just hope my Apple fanboy and investor enthusiasm isn't getting the best of me. I'm certain I'm going to buy one at some point in time and use it in turn with all my other Apple devices. I'll bet Apple is going to drop prices on the iPod Touch and the Touch will quickly eat into PSP and DS device sales if the iPad doesn't. I can't wait to try out an iPad. I see on the Apple site there is a statement that they'll let people know when they can start ordering them. So I'm assuming Apple will likely have pre-orders for the iPad before they go on sale.
_____________________________________

Ever increasing media content for the iPad: http://www.businesswire.com/portal/s...00639&vnsId=41
post #139 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robodude View Post

How does he update it without a computer? Maybe somewhere down the line this device will be standalone, but if it's anything like the iPhone it won't be. The thing is tethered to iTunes. Your dad can't add photos, music or videos without either connecting via a computer or buying from the store.

2 million seems a bit conservative though. I just hope that second update (with iSight) comes quickly enough!

You're just wrong. He has photos that he's taken with the camera and people have emailed to him, he buys his music through iTunes. The phone works as well as it did day one and runs fine - he's happy.

There's a difference between something being an added bonus and something being a requirement.

The iPad is a stand alone device. It is an additional device. It can be either.
post #140 of 163
Has everyone forgot to take in account Apple's "Halo" effect?
post #141 of 163
For me, the simple truth is:

I want to be able to access specific content that I need or desire, at all times. And I need for that transaction to be fast and intuitive and cheap (ie. useful and/or enjoyable) so as to be part of my current dialog or stream of thought. If I have an emergent need, one for which I don't already have a solution, I need a way to get one.

To date, the iPhone has been the best solution for this. The iPad looks even better.
post #142 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by davesmall View Post

Couldn't agree more. For example, every salesman who makes sales calls and presentations should want one of these. Every company employing salesmen or field service people should want an App that can access their corporate database. Every realtor should want to take one of these along when they're showing houses or office space to a client.

It's the killer combination of a great display, ease of use, and ubiquitous connectivity at a much lower cost than we've seen previously.

The Internet has had a dramatic impact on our lives. One of the main reasons it became popular so quickly would be the early emergence of ISPs like Earthlink who offered very low cost access at a fixed rate with no metered usage charges. Customers loved that model and flocked to it. Phone companies lamented the fact that they hadn't acted quickly enough to get control of it and to get their toll booths on every Internet entry point and node. Now we have the coming together of cellular phone networks and the internet. The phone companies want those toll booths. The customers want those low fixed monthly rates. The pricing model for the iPad's 3G data plan is a breakthrough for customers.

+++ QFT

Very well said!

*
"...The calm is on the water and part of us would linger by the shore, For ships are safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for."
- Michael Lille -
Reply
"...The calm is on the water and part of us would linger by the shore, For ships are safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for."
- Michael Lille -
Reply
post #143 of 163
I think 2M iPads in 2010 is extremely conservative. The iPad will be released world wide, at least the WiFi version, at launch. My prediction would be Apple selling 2M iPad each quarter and if they release it in April I think we will see around 6 million in 2010.
post #144 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by hillstones View Post

Really? Are you sure about that? You cannot use an iPad without already owning a Mac or PC computer, and having a WiFi network at home (people are not going to buy the 3G model to use solely at home). How do you expect to get anything into it without having a computer, and knowing how to operate said computer? How is a computer illiterate going to be able to get on the internet if they are too stupid to know how to set up a WiFi network to make it work? They might be able to tap a few icons, but they won't be able to do anything with it. Nice try...

Perhaps you have provided a need searching for a solution - a business opportunity perhaps! \
Where are we on the curve? We'll know once it goes asymptotic!
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Where are we on the curve? We'll know once it goes asymptotic!
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post #145 of 163
I love the fact that the iPad will have over 140,000 iphone apps available for use from day one. One of my favorite apps is the remote scheduler from DirectTV. I can program anyone of my three DVRs from anywhere I may happen to be in the world. I tried to get my wife to use it but she resists because she would have to find her glasses to use it on my iphone. With the iPad, she could program her favorite shows with the app at the blown up iPad size. Because the app is so simple to use, she wont ask me for directions on how to use it. Then she will probably ask me what other apps are available. I'll show her the app store and let her go.

We just don't realize how big this is going to be for the app store. Just look at your apps now that you have on your iphone/ipod touch. Now imagine them with large buttons. Our moms and grandparents will be in heaven. They wont have to reach for their glasses to do anything. That alone will make it the "IT" device for anyone who needs glasses to read or do a task.

My prediction for first year sales is 1 million units a month. Apple has 284 stores. To sell a million units a month is 1 million divided by 30 days = 33,334 per day (rounded). The average store is open 10 hours a day. That leaves 3,334 units sold per hour. If we divide that by 284 stores, that leaves roughly 11 units per hour per store. Obviously bigger stores in high density areas like New York and San Francisco will sell more. If my math is correct, I believe they will meet that goal. They can count me in as one of the first to get a 3G, 32gig version.
post #146 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by digitalclips View Post

Hey what's with the 'even', you think 80 is passed it? lol. My 86 year old father is standing by to order his he tells me. He has a new 27" iMac i7 but feels the iPad will be great when sitting in an arm chair or going to bed early to read.

Quote:
Originally Posted by sandau View Post

This thing will sell better than the 3M Ergo Audrey Internet Appliance! Guaranteed!

I'm getting one. Perfect match for my 27" iMac. I sold my MBP last month knowing that (for me) having a notebook was no longer in my future with an iPad like device.

You're not digitalclips father by any chance? You know, just putting two and two together!
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Where are we on the curve? We'll know once it goes asymptotic!
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post #147 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by nkhm View Post

You're just wrong. He has photos that he's taken with the camera and people have emailed to him, he buys his music through iTunes. The phone works as well as it did day one and runs fine - he's happy.

There's a difference between something being an added bonus and something being a requirement.

The iPad is a stand alone device. It is an additional device. It can be either.

I disagree. Is syncing files an added bonus now? Cannot see where you are coming from, not that your position was that great to begin with. I can't speak for the iPad, because it isn't out yet, but if you want to manage your photos, music or videos you simply cannot do this on an iPhone without a computer. What if you run out of space? What if an application isn't working correctly? If you need to restore or update the software (you didn't address that one)? Just because it works for your dad doesn't make it standalone - I would get the iPad for my parents, but fully understand I may need to sync it with my Macbook if any problems were to occur (less so than with the phone though).

I do wonder if the USB connector for the iPad will work with the iPhone though. Maybe in 4.0...
post #148 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by steviet02 View Post

The 5 people I questioned all said they weren't going to buy an iPad. So I don't think Apple will sell any units in 2010.

Next time ask people who don't work for Steve Ballmer.
post #149 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by nkhm View Post

Yes, that's the whole point of the device.

It's not a replacement for anything, it's a new type of device.

Did you watch the keynote?

It's for people who don't need the 'full' computer experience - people who just want to browse the web, check their email (hotmail probably!) and listen to music while reading books.

So it is supposed to replace a computer for people who do not need full computer experience, but did not have any other choice so far..?
post #150 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by nkhm View Post

OK, you mean I don't know how things work in the USA, not how things "work" - there is a world outside the US you know. And it's where Apple sell a majority of their products.

You need a computer to set up wi-fi? No. You simply need to access the routers CP via a browser. Why couldn't you access your routers control panel via the web browser on the 'pad? you confuse me.

Also, "if you want to put your "own" music and videos on it" - Well Apple want you to buy content on line. Of course this thing will have even MORE potential if hooked up to a computer, but it's not necessary in order to own the device. But look at your logic - if someone currently doesn't have a home computer, then they're not going to have their "own" digital media to transfer. If they do already have a computer then there's no issue.

I don't understand your logic. At all.

Hm... I've seen some routers here in NZ that are shipped with wireless disabled by default, or not letting you access router's config through wireless. Basically you need to plug network cable to set it up.

But I think this part of the world is a bit different - our routers (at least consumer models) are all-in-one devices, integrating ADSL modem, router, 4-port switch and wireless access point in one box.
post #151 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by TEKSTUD View Post

No we get it. That's the problem. It not for anything but basically being entertained or viewing information. Yawn.

Well, in his defence, being entertained and viewing information is big part of home IT in general. If device manages to do that fine and differentiates from notebook, it should do fine.

Personally I don't see enough differentiation from ultra portable notebooks so far, but device is not out yet... so I'll definitely wait to see how it develops software wise, but as a ground rule, there is nothing wrong with it being limited to entertain and show various information.
post #152 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by mjtomlin View Post

Yep... faster even... the iPad boots up in 15 seconds and it uses the same bluetooth keyboard I use on my Mac. Not only that, when I no longer need the keyboard, I can put it away.

How fast does MacBook Pro boot anyway? 30 seconds? Less?
post #153 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpamSandwich View Post

I thought you were permanently banned. Looks like I'll have to update the ole "Ignore With A Vengeance" list.

Yet you reply to every post s/he makes.
post #154 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by nkhm View Post

I know - a device like that will never catch on.

Oh wait - the television, does anyone have one of those?

I love how tech-heads simply don't understand the normal consumer.

The "normal consumer" uses flash and this device doesn't- and your point is?
And furthermore my iPhone takes pictures and makes calls (most of the time lol) which this doesn't and does all the rest.
post #155 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dick Applebaum View Post

*

I saw this on another thread... it should be required reading for computer 101 circa 2010!

http://stevenf.tumblr.com/post/35922...uters-ive-been

*

Thanks for pointing out this article. It really is excellent. Think about it: when you see good future based science fiction, the characters are not sitting at a computer desk. They are using small task specific devices... (now where did I put my tricorder...?)

As for the fellow who suggested that the author used too many words... which of the words would he remove?
post #156 of 163
2M does seem conservative. I can only imagine how many college kids are going to weasel one out of Mommy & Daddy as a text book reader.
post #157 of 163
Thank you.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MacTripper View Post

Almost spot on, except the iPhone should be no brain and lots of money.

No. iPhone is excellent value for its price, even unsubsidized. And being subsidized it's dirt cheap.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MacTripper View Post

A Blackberry should go where the brains and money are.

The only problem is BB isn't an Apple's product.

We mean Apple no harm.

People are lovers, basically. -- Engadget livebloggers at the iPad mini event.

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We mean Apple no harm.

People are lovers, basically. -- Engadget livebloggers at the iPad mini event.

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post #158 of 163
Look, there's nothing complicated about this, ok?
Let's say real sales begin on 1 April. Yes, I know, but don't say it cos it's just a dumb cliché, ok?
I think sales will go as follows:

500,000+ - April - i.e. my wife and daughter and all the other fans, the early adopters, the idle rich etc.
750,000+ - May - still US only, but the positive feedback starts kicking in
1,000,000 - June - ditto, ball starts rolling
1,500,000 - July - world sales roll out begins, higher spec 3G models, me and other hold-outs
5,000,000 - August/Sep/Oct/Nov worldwide sales
3,000,000 - December sales

11,250,000 - Total 2010 sales

Reasons?
Low price - starts at the same price as the first 2001 iPod for Zeus' sake! Such a deal!
The running start on Apps.
Books!!! The way they were meant to be e-njoyed. No constraints on colour or multimedia content.
The dream toy for kids.
Familiar functionality.
The perfect device for everyone who never 'got' computers.
The 'must-have' intimate computer.
Stunning, multi, multi, multi-purpose device.
Initial failure rate may be high as too many customers just want to lick it to death.

Not long to wait. Sell the car! I am buying more AAPL.
post #159 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by chano View Post

Look, there's nothing complicated about this, ok?
Let's say real sales begin on 1 April. Yes, I know, but don't say it cos it's just a dumb cliché, ok?
I think sales will go as follows:

500,000+ - April - i.e. my wife and daughter and all the other fans, the early adopters, the idle rich etc.
750,000+ - May - still US only, but the positive feedback starts kicking in
1,000,000 - June - ditto, ball starts rolling
1,500,000 - July - world sales roll out begins, higher spec 3G models, me and other hold-outs
5,000,000 - August/Sep/Oct/Nov worldwide sales
3,000,000 - December sales

11,250,000 - Total 2010 sales

Reasons?
Low price - starts at the same price as the first 2001 iPod for Zeus' sake! Such a deal!
The running start on Apps.
Books!!! The way they were meant to be e-njoyed. No constraints on colour or multimedia content.
The dream toy for kids.
Familiar functionality.
The perfect device for everyone who never 'got' computers.
The 'must-have' intimate computer.
Stunning, multi, multi, multi-purpose device.
Initial failure rate may be high as too many customers just want to lick it to death.

Not long to wait. Sell the car! I am buying more AAPL.

"Low price - starts at the same price as the first 2001 iPod for Zeus' sake! Such a deal!"

Actually costs less than a 2001 iPod if you figure the value of 2001 $ vs the value of 2010 $.

*
"...The calm is on the water and part of us would linger by the shore, For ships are safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for."
- Michael Lille -
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"...The calm is on the water and part of us would linger by the shore, For ships are safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for."
- Michael Lille -
Reply
post #160 of 163
Quote:
Originally Posted by steviet02 View Post

Yet you reply to every post s/he makes.

Care to review my posting history, stevie?

Proud AAPL stock owner.

 

GOA

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Proud AAPL stock owner.

 

GOA

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