I just can't understand why people want to kill Flash.
It's a great tool, and even if it does seem a bit expensive, at least it works.
It's likely because of 2 things (the 2nd more probable):
1) SJ says so, so all Apple lovers agree immediately
2) Mac users have a grudge against Adobe because of the sluggish plugin
I love HTML5. I think it will GRADUALLY
replace Flash. However, if you want it to
have any major place in the internet, JS+CSS (DHTML) must be sped up.
Also, the HTML5 video codec must be free from patents (and free in terms of money).
H.264 does beat OGG in lots of ways, but does that mean we use it as a standard?
MPEGLA is infamous for charging extreme licensing fees for even the simplist of their products.
All they are trying to do is to secure their place in standards, and then when the majority has
joined, change the licensing fee to a significantly high price. Then, the Internet will halt, because Apple/Microsoft/Mozilla will have to charge for their browsers.
(And I'm using Ubuntu 9.10 as I type this. Macs are way too slow for my general use, as well as Windows...
So how do we fix the HTML5 <video problem?
It's all on a line. Recently, Google bought On2, which has a very nice codec AND
The question is this: will they change the rules and make it FOSS and free of patents? Or will they take it for themselves, and charge licensing fees for it? Only time will tell.
If the codec does become FOSS, Flash is guaranteed an accelerated death. Adobe is scared already by the <canvas element. As a full time web developer, I really see the potential for that element. It really becomes the Flash killer. There are kinks here and there which really should be fixed before HTML5 becomes official, but otherwise, it's almost ready!
Please, DON'T think Apple can kill Flash. SJ is just a whiner who sees and tries to kill competition.
Flash will wither with time, and at the same time, HTML5 will grow.