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Originally Posted by
solipsism 
It's quite true. Companies still using XP with IE6 are going to be the minority and there is no reason to limit your sales revenue and spend more money just to support these devices. Flash will be the fall back setup. How you can argue that HTML5 won't happen because of their lingering presence makes no sense. You go where the money is, and an decade old OS and browser is not where the money is.
Your whole argument is a giant fallacy. You assume a whole lot of stuff with little to no proof.
How are they going to be the minority if IE6+IE7 is still the majority? And even if falls down quite a bit more, a 30% minority, for example, is still a significant number. Websites will cater to that, like it or not. Just like IE's lingering presence made most of the web IE6 compatible for over 6 years.
That article just mentioned the motorola droid and the nexus one. That's the majority of android phones right there.
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Smartphones are machines that access the web, too. You aren't seeing what I'm getting at because you aren't seeing these devices as sources of revenue. Each one of them is a potential avenue for profit yet you think that supporting IE6 on WinXP in some ragamuffin corporate setup or aging granny's PC is more important to advertisers and sites than someone willing to spend $500 for a phone a $60+/month for service? DOES NOT COMPUTE.
Yes, they are machines and they also are a very very very very small percentage of the web. And most of those people using smartphones have computers that will be using flash as it is supposed to be used. You try to ridicule my examples, as if they are the only case, but I'll tell you one more. I own quite a few gadgets. My university uses firefox 2.x and IE6 as their browsers. If I use their computers I'm stuck with what they give me, since my account doesn't give me permissions or space enough to install anything. Don't I matter to your advertiser? Doesn't 30% of the web matter more than a (random number - quite sure it is less than that) 1% that bought a smartphone and uses it to browse the web?
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Yes, it's been a long battle but it's finally coming to an end. IE6 support is dropped by many site sites for various reasons. Without even adding in the number of smartphone devices in use or their growth, you can take IE7, IE8, Firefox, Opera and WebKit-based browsers IE6 is down to 18%. That leaves two main categories: IE7+ and standards-based browsers. Sure, there are variances in all the browsers and their versions, but the for most part you have over 80% of the browser market following two basic paths and IE is becoming more standards based. We won! But this IE6 issue has nothing to do with Flash and HTML5 so I'm not sure why you are bringing it up.
Simple, it's an example on how lingering technologies will influence web development for years to come. Flash won't die, just like IE6/7 don't seem to be dying, and especially since, unlike IE6 that even microsoft wants you to update, some big companies (for example, chrome brings flash inbued) are supporting flash.
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It's not about iPhone OS v. Flash or Apple v. Flash. It's about efficiency v. inefficiency. Flash still has plenty of areas that it's more efficient for devs to code for on the desktop because HTML5, CSS3 and these JS frameworks and browsers are so new. But that won't last forever. Now that much of this is in place they can start building tools that will chip away at Flash's backend dominance. "All of this has happened before and all of it will happen again.". On the mobile platform Adobe has sank their own battleship, so to speak. They failed to make Flash viable for mobiles. They failed to have Flash ready for touch devices. Now we have HTML5 alive and well in every major mobile OS browser and we have streaming video (their battleship) without the use of Flash.
There you go again saying X and Y are true and will happen without a single shred of proof. Adobe hasn't failed at anything yet (flash isn't out, so you have no idea how well it'll work), you have no idea if it isn't viable, you have no idea if it works well or not with touch devices.
And even inefficient, if a large chunk of the market can run flash and can't use html5, it'll stick. It won't last forever, but it'll stay for a long long time. And "streaming video is the flagship of flash". Interactive content is also another part of flash. And again, you can see videos on youtube, but some websites still aren't using html5 - some big websites, like hulu.
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Welcome to the wonderful world of Linux. I can play HTML5 video on my iPhone just fine. Granted, Flash doesn't crash my iPhone but that's because it doesn't exist. Check your resource usage between Flash and HTML5 on YouTube. You can even use the HW accelerated version (you'll need Windows or Mac OS for that) and HTML5 still uses considerably less than native code. How is Adobe going to get past that.
I'm saying chrome's stability watching html5 video was compromised. And just did your test - if there is a large overhead, I'm not seeing it. Chrome had 6-9% CPU usage on both cases - but I did miss the video anotations and close captions on the html5 version. And was limited to the 380p version of the video.