Originally Posted by Robin Huber
A suggestion to all: gratuitous correcting of each others' grammar or spelling says more about you than the person being corrected. And what it says is not necessarily flattering. Focusing comments on the substance, not the form, of the argument elevates the level of discourse here. I admire and respect the rules of English as much as anyone, but this is a forum, not a literary magazine.
Touchy, touchy. "Methinks thou dost protest too much." The length of your response betrayed more than a little insecurity.
I make typos and misspellings, too. My aim was instructive, not to embarrass you. And funereal is a great choice of words.
But you assume that that was all I focused on and didn't give due consideration to your well-thought-through remarks in that post.
It's just that we simply don't see eye-to-eye on 100% of things.
A lot of posters who have basically "flamed" me in their replies, I believe, are engaged in some "Wishful Thinking."
Believe me, I'd love it if I was able to delude myself into thinking that Steve Jobs won't gradually drain the Apple personal computer well until he has a convincing and data-backed argument for the Board of Directors, large shareholders, institutional investors, The Street and large Apple personal computer customers (who buy Apple personal computers in the thousands, and Apple gives them careful "care and feeding") for discontinuing Apple's personal computer line.
I've read so much about Jobs that I have a handle on some of his less-positive habits, actions and beliefs.
It took me a loooooooong time to finally (and reluctantly) conclude that Steve Jobs will slowly, almost unnoticeably, drain Apple's personal computer line until a consensus exists that it should be discontinued from Apple's product lines.
I gave him the benefit of the doubt for a long time until it became impossible to do so any longer.
The evidence just kept adding up, and it would be foolish to ignore it, or plug your ears and whistle your favorite tune.
• This year, 2010, Apple's annual Worldwide Developers Conference which always gives out ADA awards (Apple Design Awards) in key categories, will have no categories for the Mac or OS X apps. All ADA awards will be given to iPhone OS apps only. Plus, the apps eligible will have to be Apple-approved and for sale on the App Store. (I don't remember ever seeing a Mac app on Apple's App Store.)
• The focus on Apple mobile devices, software and development tools will come at the expense of the Mac and its OS. If the Mac were on the "marquee," it would detract attention from Apple's intended focus on mobile devices running iPhone OS, and Apple doesn't want to do that. (Detain the Mac at the entrance because his ID badge looks faked.)
• At the iPad introduction keynote, Steve Jobs said, "Apple is now the largest mobile device company in the world." So that's what Apple is now. They changed their name from "Apple Computer, Inc." to "Apple, Inc." and is now a mobile device company.
• At a Goldman Sachs technology conference address, Apple's Chief Operating Officer, Tim Cook (you know, the guy who did such a stellar job running Apple during Steve Jobs' leave of absence) said, "Apple is a mobile device company now."
• Steve Jobs wrote in an email (that he probably didn't want spread all over the Internet) the following: "traditional PC folks feel like their world is slipping away. It is."
Does this tell you anything? Does it offer even a scintilla of support for what I'm saying?
• The most recent figures show that Apple is selling 200,000 iPads a week -- about twice as many Macs it sells per week. Further, Apple sells about 246,000 iPhone 3GS's a week. So Apple sells about 4 1/2 x as many iPads and iPhones as Macs -- oh, and then there's the iPod.
• Apple makes money on the sale of a Mac at the time the transaction takes place, and that's about the extent of it. Some Mac buyers do buy a few Apple-made Mac software apps. But long after the product purchase transaction, iPod owners send a steady stream of revenue
to Apple as they buy songs, TV shows, movies, apps, games and other content off the iTunes Store.
Long after the product purchase transaction, iPhone owners send a steady stream of revenues to Apple in shared telephone plan fees with AT&T, apps from the App store, and media content on the iTunes Store. In similar fashion, iPod touch users send a steady stream of revenue to Apple. And now iPad owners send a continuous revenue stream to Apple as they buy apps on the App Store, music, video and other content from the iTunes Store, etc.
Unless a Mac buyer faithfully subscribes to MobileMe, buys every new milestone release of Mac OS X, every new release of iLife, iWork and maybe even a prosumer app like Final Cut Express, what steady, infinite revenue stream travels from the Mac to Apple's bank account after the point-of-purchase?
If there was a Mac App Store, there would be such a revenue stream, but that would necessarily involve Steve Jobs supporting the Mac! Heaven forbid!
• In Apple's just completed 2Q 2010 earnings call, someone from Apple (possibly Tim Cook or Peter Oppenheimer) obliquely referred to a "future product transition." But when pressed by analysts participating, this person wold not elaborate. I have my suspicions as to what that enigmatic "future product transition" will be.
• In the same article, the author noted, "Not much was said about the Mac."
• In previous Apple quarterly earnings conference calls, Apple participants have made it no secret that high-end Mac models and high-priced Apple Pro apps are disappointing in their sales.
One Apple rep said Apple's high-end (as described above) remains "economically challenging" for Apple. This has to displease them.
• Apple has laid off 40 people from its Final Cut Studio team, and has announced that the software will be repurposed from the creative pro market to the prosumer market.
• Mac sales break down into about 80% notebooks and 20% desktops. Which form do you think would be more likely to be killed?
• It is the worst kept secret that Apple "gutted" the Mac OS X team of key talent and reassigned them to iPhone OS. Email someone on the Mac OS X team; they aren't even diplomatic and cautious as they don't go out of their way in their responses to disguise implications of bitterness at the fact that their all-star team has been poached of its MVPs. They feel dissed. (Though they do exercise some
caution in writing; Steve Jobs is always "sniffing" everyone's emails for signs of sedition.)
• The Mac OS X team is severely deficient right now. Don't expect 10.7 for another 2 to 2 1/2 years. You need brilliant, talented, breathing engineers with fingers on keyboards to create a new milestone release of OS X. Their chairs are empty now because they're over at the iPhone OS department.
• If this is evidence that an effort is underway to derail the Mac project, by one method, poaching its best talent, it is backed up by the fact that Apple has $40 billion of cash in the bank. They certainly have the means to attract and hire the best engineering talent in the world for the iPhone OS team. Poaching the Mac OS X team was not their only option -- though they acted like it was. It seems more oriented toward weakening the Mac project than simply putting key talent on iPhone OS.
• Lastly, I buy a new top-of-the-line tower Mac every time a new model is released (which has for years been every year). It's been a year-and-three-months and counting, and no new Mac Pro.
I had foolishly hoped a new Mac Pro would be unleashed at WWDC, but now, recognizing that Apple wants to do nothing to distract the focus from iPhone OS, mobile iDevices and the new iPhone HD, I won't see my next Mac Pro between June 7-11th like I'd hoped. That's IF Apple doesn't cease further development of the Mac Pro line, but continues to market existing models until demand dries up.
• The visionary Steve Jobs sees the personal computing era drawing to a close. If he's right, he should just let it happen naturally -- hands-off. But proactively undercutting Apple's personal computer offerings in an effort to hasten or catalyze the process is indefensible.
• If Apple one day decides to cease selling the Mac, they should at least license Mac OS X to any clone makers who want to take a crack at selling personal computers running Mac OS X.
P.S. To gain the best insight, read a biography of Steve Jobs, then you'll understand.
P.P.S. Feel free to correct any grammar or spelling mistakes. Learning is a lifelong process.
P.P.P.S. Don't be too disappointed when the "Get a Mac" TV ad campaign is not succeeded by another Mac TV ad campaign. There will be no Mac TV advertising.