Originally Posted by JeffDM
Did you consciously leave out the Touch? iPods get updated about every September, give or take a month, it has been a pattern from before the iPhone. Almost every iPod gets a refresh then, once a year.
Yeah, I was too lazy to research it-- but thanks for the info! So now we have (for smart mobile devices):
--iPod Touch* Sep-Oct [No announce/ship difference] (FY Q4)
--iPad: Jan/Feb (FY Q2)
--iPhone May/Jul (FY Q4)
I was also too lazy to research regular iPods, Laptops, iMacs, Mac Pros. But, I suspect you can predict that:
-- some laptops are targeted to back-to-school, probably Aug-Sep [No announce/ship difference] (FY Q3)
-- regular iPods* are targeted for the holidays Oct-Nov [No announce/ship difference] (FY Q1)
* iPod Touches tend to echo the features of the most recent iPhone-- and, as such, are proven technology. With regular iPods, there seems to be a pattern that uses back-to-school promos to clear out existing iPod inventory before a refresh-- Buy a Laptop, get a free (regular) iPod. Then, the regular iPod line is refreshed for the holidays.
The others products are less sensitive to the calendar, but tend to have semi-regular refresh cycles.
I suspect that iLife, iWork and MobileMe will tend to have complimentary releases/refreshes on Mac and Mobile in the future-- e.g. A release of Mobile iMovie will be tied to an update to iLife iMovie on the Mac.
I suspect that the iPad and iPhone will continue with separate announce/ship dates because of:
-- FCC Approval Lead Time
-- Secrecy advantage in a very competitive environment
-- New hardware innovations
-- iOS update closely tied to new hardware
-- Developer lead time to update apps
Anyway, my original objective was to determine if there were going to be predictable, annual, technology breakthroughs centered around Mobile. If I were a betting Man, I would look for iPads in January and iPhones in July. This tends to level resources, manufacturing, supply chain, profits, etc. around these 2 major products.
The analysts and pundits, now, seem to be predicting 10 million iPads and 10 Million iPhones for CY 2010... interesting!
The big question: What about 2011?