Originally Posted by digitalclips
It will be very interesting to see what this quarter shows. If this is a trend or an anomaly. The FUD over phone reception may cause a false dip for Apple so we may have to wait a few quarters to see a true trend. My guess is MS is five years away from irrelevancy.
I'd love that to be the case...but...are you suggesting 90% of computers, particularly for work, will be running MacOS or Linux in 5 years? I'd bet Mac gains a few percent, Linux maybe 1%. Windows will still have 85% (vs. ~90-95% now) and also IE will still have the majority for browser share. It'd probably take 15 years for Mac OS X to beat Windows. Also, I just can't see Apple controlling everyone's computers, at least under Steve Jobs. The guy is a control freak. Businesses don't have time for "You're holding it wrong", the Apple Way or the Highway attitude. Sure Windows has more bugs. Apple used to allow users to customize their machines. No longer. The lockdown on iOS and iPhone will send iPhones to the minority, maybe 10% of phones, in a year or two, with Android being the new Windows for phones. OS X allows for more customization, but I just don't see Apple scaling up to replace WinTel. Apple has a real problem working with other companies. (Receives "Needs Improvement" in the "Works Well with Others" section of report card!)
People will still be using Office on Windows (Mac Office will never match it), AutoCAD for PC (I assume Mac AutoCAD will similarly not be as full-featured or supported as on PC), ArcGIS on PCs, Oracle, MS SQL, SPSS, SAS, ERDAS, Siebel, Internet Explorer, etc. All the big-time software that alas is Windows-only. I can't see any of those programs being better on Mac or Linux for another decade or two. I'm just throwing this out there...I hope I'm totally wrong and you are right on!!