Lets analyze what you wrote and this truthiness
you think youve predicted.
But first, a ProTip: Notice that for each thread there is a consecutive numeric value attributed with each post. This number is a hyperlink to that post so there is no reason to write in the post number when posting the link. Makes things easier.
So lets begin You wrote that "The iPhone will fail the same way the original Macs did because of the tight hardware/software control.
Where has it failed? The iPhone sold about 9M units in a quarter people mostly waited for a new iPhone. Its also the MOST PROFITABLE handset on the market, almost besting all other vendors combined.
Now, I know from rereading that thread that you dont understand the concept of business and how companies try to make money or that Apple has chosen not to license iOS because its entire desire to create iOS is to sell its hardware, the same way Motorolas desire to use the free Android OS to make money on HW sales. But its a reality that you need to accept and realize that Apple is not only far from failing but also the MOST PROFITABLE handset vendor on the planet, and that wont be ending anytime soon.
People will stop looking at their cell phones as "phones" and see them for what they are... mini computers. Once people get a feel for a 'mini computer cell phone' that they can customize any way they like only having to pay for the data/voice plan. This market will be flipped on its head.
YOu start off posting the obvious, but I mention it because you fail to see it was Apple that flipped the market on its head with the iPhone. It was lackadaisical, at best, before the iPhone and every smartphone user should thank Apple for revitalizing that market segment.
There is nothing there at no one didnt already know before you. Most seem to know it prior to 2007 with the idea and concept of a phone by Apple.
Apple is once again starting this tech revolution, but there game plan looks to be the same to me. They did lose the PC war you know.
They lost the PC war yet they are they are the most profitable PC maker in the world, and by a wide margin. Again, you are focusing on unit sales of an OS, which makes absolutely no sense until you reach the event horizon of such low sales that you dont have apps to support your platform. Apple does and the open standard they and others pushed from ports to protocols to browser engines have pushed those goal posts further back so that an OS can have even less marketshare than Apple had in the 90s and still have a viable platform.
You seem to think Apple needs to win some marketshare of their OS to be successful, but consider following unrealistic scenario. Apple gets the worldwide marketshare of HP with about 22%. That means 22% of the worlds PCs ship with Mac OS X. That also means about 77% of the worlds PC ship with Windows. You still call that a fail for Apple, yet they are now making about 80% of all PC profits worldwide yet they have ¼ of the OS marketshare of Windows. Do you not see how your foolish focus on comparing a freely licensed OS to a vendor owned OS makes you look like and idiot and why no one agreed with you then or now?
As far as Android is concerned, anyone with two braincells to rub together expected it to eventually be top dog in the number of units shipped on smartphones compared to any of the vendor owned OSes because its free and can be used by a much larger pool of vendors. One vendor v. potentially infinite number of vendors. Its pretty fraking simple.
To conclude, youve prognosticated nothing. All youve done is bring up a thread that shows not only the long time members, but also the newer ones, that your ability to think critically is severely hindered.