Originally Posted by grking
If this is so common name me 3 companies that announced a product to ship in the next 3-5 months for which absolutely nothing for the product exists at the time of the annoncement. Mind you Dick Applebaum claims that nothing about the product currently exists, hence his claim that it will be a year before it ships. Btw at the launch event, the president of QNX claimed they had been working on the os for about a year.
Why are you browbeating him for something I posted?
The post in question is at:http://forums.appleinsider.com/showp...&postcount=216
and is quoted:
Originally Posted by Dick Applebaum
Based on your comments, I went back and reviewed the video -- with lots of pauses and replays.
The screen aspect ratio (simulated) is all over the place -- using things like manilla folders for masks. The impression is that there is a lot more information on the screen than is practical."Oh, you look much taller on TV!"
They showed no apps running or being interfaced -- only simulations some of which looked as if they were run on the iPad simulator. The "multitasking" demo showed a WebOs CoverFlow of cards and a single row of app icons. You see more than that on the iPhone screen at 1/4 the area.
-- they haven't defined the UI
-- there is no OS
-- there is no SDK or Simulator
Apple pulled OS X experts to work on finalizing the first iOs from a running system (demoed).
It took trained experts 3 months to finalize iOS 1.
There is no way in hell that this will be ready for release before 3Q 2011!
Based on what I saw in the video I drew some conclusions.
From the announcement material I read, I understood, that there was going to be::
-- a QNX designed UI for the PlayBook Tablet (different from the UI for RIM phones)
-- a QNX OS for the PlayBook Tablet
-- a QNX SDK and simulator for PlayBook Tablet
-- among other things, the RIM-supplied web browser would support sites using Flash
Overnight, additional material was made available by RIM (or posted here) that indicated:
-- The UI was already [somewhat] defined - Flash would be used for the UI and presentation Services
-- The OS was to be a QNX/Flash hybrid or a skin of one on the other
-- The SDK Simulator would, likely be mainly Flash
OK... that brings us up to date.
AFAIKT, outside of RIM:
-- no one has seen the UI on paper or in operation or simulaated
-- no one has seen the OS on paper or in operation
-- no one has seen the SDK or simulator
-- no one has seen the device in operation.
-- it may be possible to define (or solidify) a UI based on the way Flash works currently on iphone devices or with QNX implementations such as the Cars demo...
-- I don't know if enough of what QNX has done with Flash applies to a generalized Tablet UI
-- If they (RIM/Adobe) can get enough of the UI defined, and they can flesh this out in Flash
-- then they could, just maybe, deliver a beginner SDK and Simulator to their "partners" in the next 33 days or so
-- you don't need the OS to use the SDK or the Simulator as these, apparently, will be existing Flash tools fleshed out for the purpose
-- That would provide some breathing room to: refine the UI; add function to the SDK and Simulator; finish implementing the hybrid OS
-- meanwhile they could build some operational prototype tablets
If they can make this happen, they could start showing controlled demos by the end of, say, Nov or Dec - when nobody will be paying attention.
Then, progress allowing, they could show some live demos in, say Jan-Feb 2011.
Then ship pre-production units to developers/partners in April-May 2011.
Finally with initial shipments beginning June 30, 2011 -- meeting their commitment for early 2011 delivery.
That to me is the critical path -- and it mainly revolves around the software.
There ar lots of potential hardware issues:
-- will they be able to resolve the battery issue
-- will display components be available
-- will dual core A9s be available
-- will production lines be available
Will any of this matter?
Yes, using the above conclusions and scenario I can see them meeting each of their comitted deadlines mas o menos.
Here's my original quote:There is no way in hell that this will be ready for release before 3Q 2011!
Let me wind it back a little:There is no way in hell that this will be available in any significant quantity before 3Q 2011!