Originally Posted by Povilas
They have nothing to show yes, but maybe they learned it from Apple don't you think? Maybe it's better to take timer and make it right than just spit crap every other day?
You could be right, and I really did only summarize the presence. I have nothing against the WebOS, just the opposite, it is the most attractive competitor to the iOS by far. I am just not entirely convinced (or, in other words highly skeptical), that HP can make a merger like that successful. Why?
1. They are a "design by committee" company, the late Palm under Rubinstein was not, Apple is not. I do not see such a company producing anything that sticks out from the sea of commodity items. The stampede of former Palm employees (relevant ones) leaving HP almost immediately after the merger may be an indication that this cultural gap does not only exist in my imagination (it is no real proof either, I admit).
2. HP is tied up neck-deep with MS. They will never (not within a foreseeable future) drop Windows, and nothing else will get undivided attention.
3. Rubinstein was extremely cautious during last week's interview. His message was the 180 degrees opposite of last year's appearance with McNamara. The only message was "we are not dead just yet"; he could not even say, if HP will keep the Palm brand alive at all. What reputation, other than the terrible iPaq, does HP have in that segment?
4. Any company would normally try to make a strong statement, if they have a clear vision and strategy. The "Pre 2", the only product released after the acquisition, is no strong statement at all. It is a minor hardware upgrade to a flawed product (hardware wise) and ignores absolutely everything the majority of WebOS fans has been asking for: bigger screen, different design...
Even if I am wrong about all of that, if HP wants to release a WebOS tablet, it will need developer support to be anywhere competitive. If we assume an announcement during CES 2011 and at least 3 months of preparations after shipping a SDK (which is the bare minimum), we talk about a viable product in late summer / early autumn 2011. By then the landscape will at least have iPad II, Playbook, and a truckload of Android 3 devices... Sure, a lot of people will say: "This is a new market, there is room for many players", but I do not really see that. No competitor could dethrone the iPod, the entire growth in the smartphone segment revolves around two players (Apple and Google) and I do not see, how tablets are that much different in this regard.