Originally Posted by Boogerman2000
Not releasing a non hardware keyboard 3.5" - 4" phone to compete with the iPhone and any number of Android and wp7 devices is the single most idiotic move by HP period.
Might as well be one sacrificial goat here who wishes Apple would release a model WITH a physical keyboard. They have their advantages which have been pointed out countless times, so won't rehash that.
My point is that it might only be the preference of 20-30%, but given the volumes of iDevices expected, that's still millions of units of potential sales Apple might be leaving to others.
Originally Posted by hasanahmad
Then Gates stole the interface, made the PC and Apple was temporarily forgotten. Who will be the Bill Gates of this generation.
Not so sure the smartphone and tablet wars will play out at all the same way as the PC OS wars did for lots of reasons.
Then: PC's were new and there was no real infrastructure for personal computing. IBM's backing made MS the winner. To the market at the time Jobs and Woz were two kids from a garage, and IBM owned 80%+ of the ENTIRE world computing market. People bet on the big boy. Commodore, TI and other wannabes wilted away and Apple survived its near death experience partly to help MS avoid anti-trust issues that might have caused them to have been broken up.
Now: The OS isn't really the entire battlefield this time. Because there is already a huge and established infrastructure for digital life - full of protocols and standards - for both companies and ordinary people, and because the Web is the ultimate OS, and more and more, the function of the device OS
is measured in terms of how it gets users and data to and from there.
I'm hardly the first to point out that many of today's "apps" are merely conduits to the web that do something from irrelevant to fairly interesting with that connection, and that most of these are much more easily portable to multiple platforms than "programs" ever were (or are) between Macs and Windows machines.
So fewer opportunities for "killer apps" - because the internet IS where most of the important parts of the killer apps (like facebook, YouTube, gmail/hotmail, Windows Live/Google Docs and of course AppleInsider) are going to do most of their work already.
And everybody's tablets and smart phones (over the next few years) will become pretty proficient at the range of tasks most users want to accomplish and their interface quirks will improve. So a greater number of players can stick around this time.
Sun had it right in their vision, but well too far ahead of the reality for them: "The Net(work) Is the Computer."
And this time, on the device end - and the OS end - there are LOTS of big, well-captialized, long-standing companies (and partners of those and partners of those) in the fray.
Apple's well positioned to remain the market leader for the near term (as a single company - not necessarily arrayed against the entire world-wide Android industrial complex, e.g.) - and to remain the trend setter and premium experience provider for longer than that.
However, their long-term future depends on factors other than the fine interface and spec points we love to debate here.
First, they have to keep inventing entirely new device and interface classes that create new industries - they can never rest on being only in markets where all these competitors are. I have no idea what these will be, but I'll bet there's plenty of skunk works going on at Apple. They can do this because so far, everyone else is simply concentrating on getting into the markets Apple's already created, while they're free and have the resources to keep innovating. That is, as long as they're the rabbit and everyone else is the pack of greyhounds chasing the rabbit, no one can eclipse them, even if they can out-feature or outperform them at this task or that one.
Second, within their overall product lines, their technology and design chops will remain important, but their execution of pure business strategy (in all its many gritty aspects), partnerships and marketing will be just as if not more important in maturing market segments such as PC's and notebooks as well as those Apple's created with the Touch, iPhone and iPad. There's a lot of talented people with lots of resources working at companies not called Apple Inc. on the planet.
Oh, and third, they absolutely have to bring out that MMRM (the mythical mid-range Mac) any year now. Game, set and match, then. ;-D