Originally Posted by MacRulez
...and they will exercise them.
I agree that this isn't about monopoly. It's about the end of Apple's peak period, and the coming backlash.
One day later... and have you taken a look at AAPL stock today? 363.13. The market sees this completely different than all of the Doom-Boys here.
A note about HTML5 and the future of the web and mobile devices is in order.
First, you do realize that Apple and Google are the only companies that really know what the future of mobile computing will look like in the next few years, don't you? Why? Because they are the ones right now, today, in their labs, working on the new browsers and OS's that facilitate that future.
Did you know that Chrome OS is on track, and while I won't get into details, will be based on HTML5 and selective caching of web-apps and documents, so that you can work completely "off-line"?
Do you think that Apple is not doing the same with iOS, and very possibly, MacOS?
You keep on hearing about the cloud, but do you know that it actually will happen and will work for a huge majority of people... especially those with mobile devices?
Have you also read that it very will could be as soon as this Summer or Fall? With Chrome OS, also possibly with Apple's iPhone Nano rumor of not having any storage?
The lesson here is that we're all talking and discussing about what we know today
about iOS and other OSes, and what news has been released and bloggified and FUddled with to create readers, click-thrus and ad $$$'s.
However... what about tomorrow, or a few months from now, or next year.
You know who already knows what that looks like? Apple and Google engineers, and they're under NOD and proud of it, and you're not gonna hear anything about it until Apple, SJ or Sergei are ready to tell ya... like when it's actually working. (Unlike a Seattle-based behemoth we all know and ____!?)
To prove my theory: did you really imagine this day, and where we're at with mobile technology, 1 year ago...2...3?
Last point. There are some Americans that claim (rightfully as it is now) that cloud-only will never work. Well unfortunately, you Ami's are no longer the world leader in infrastructure. Here in Europe, including Eastern Europe as well, and even large swaths of Africa, Asia, India... are all enjoying ubiquitous full-coverage internet connections.
Let's add to that painful truth, that the few areas that don't have coverage at the moment, are getting full-blown LTE (50mb) this year, because their countries governments saw fit to make it a requirement for the providers to serve "uncovered areas" FIRST, when auctioning off the new spectrum.
That's how you build an infrastructure, so that an entire countries citizens can be "future-enabled" and enjoy growth in services and innovations... like "cloud computing".
Add to that the advances in OSes that we don't know about yet, and you have a future where a huge majority of people with full-blown PCs and dedicated installed software, will go "cloud" and "internet" instead, because it's far cheaper and easier to manage.
Apps as they are now, will be good for some things, but HTML and ubiquitous Internet will definitely take over many of the functions of those Apps, and will come as paid subscription models... just like one Bill Gates envisioned years ago.
As for larger software like games, photo-manipulation, movie editing, etc., these will surely be Apps for quite a few years to come. However an eBook reader like Kindle? A streaming service like NetFlix or Hulu? No. Those will all be web apps in the future. The App store for Apple and for Google is only a stop-gap solution for those services, because their respective OSes aren't ready for selective and secure (important for DRM) cache management... yet.
Amazon, Netflix, Hulu... will eventually leave the App Store, not because of Apple's policies towards them, but because they won't truly need Apple... or Google... or MS... at all any more, to make their services work and available to any device with a browser... including TV's, microwave's (think recipe overlays), picture frames, automobile displays... whatever has an embedded browser.