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Rumor: Apple plans to move laptops from Intel to ARM processors - Page 4

post #121 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by ViktorCode View Post

Are. You. Nuts? According to you, yes, you, Apple would cut the performance of Macs manyfold while bringing software incompatibility for the sake of... lower power bills?

ARM won't have desktop level performance, not now, not 2 years later, not ever. To reach where Intel soars ARM would have to create new chip architecture from the ground up, and there's no way to keep it compatible with ARMs of today AND have that level of performance at the same time. No amount of magic would help either.

You are thinking too narrowly. If ARM is coming to Macs, it will be destined for lightweight portables, such as MacBook Air.

Power efficient processors aren't just about lowering power bills, but about increasing battery life for portables, as well as (1) allowing silent fan-free computing and (2) smaller and lighter form factor.

I believe ARM-based Mac OS X is at least in R&D mode, especially since iOS is a subset of Mac OS X with additional components and layers.
post #122 of 157
I dunno, 2012 - 2013 is pretty far away I think. I guess if ARM gets crazy performance upgrades, while keeping battery consumption way below intel it could happen, but right now I just don't see it.
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post #123 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by paxman View Post

The way Apple will deal with this (they are doing it) is through the apps themselves.

It is a long way off being unified and easy to use however. I sometimes attach images to emails by going the Photo Browser route. It is a pain in the arse but you can see how this could be a great way to access photos. So we are talking app media browsers.

But keeping track of thousands of media files - is difficult at the best of times.

I agree its tedious but I think if Apple really wanted to pull people from the OS file system theyd be working on putting iTunes, iPhoto, into the Finder sidebar to acclimate us to an app-centric system

As well as let iTunes import any and all audio and video containers as we see fit even if iTunes cant understand how to decode the contents. My reasoning is so iTunes becomes our go to media locker. Limiting iTunes to Apple approved containers and codecs cements the need for Finder in a battle I cant image they can win if they truly are focused on marginalizing Finder.
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post #124 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigdaddyguido View Post

This. Apple said it when they released the air, they feel that it's the future of computing. If they can put a ton of low power, multiple-core chips in an air-esque form factor and have it be even close to as powerful as the bulkier version, why wouldn't apple do that? Not just for mbp, but paper thin iMacs and apple tv sized minis. And if anyone would know if/when this is possible, it'd probably be the people making the iPad 2, no?

I agree the Macbook Air form factor is the future of computing, because once you use one for some time, you realize how comfortable it is to have a computer like that, and when you go back to a weightier computer you feel it as a step backwards... you miss the Air. So, yes, the market will demand the Air form factor soon, no matter how hard MBP users try to think otherwise

However, this form factor is only useful if it has software, and I'm afraid a transition from Intel to Arm would be a severe problem in lack of software (the best known Mac developers would support Arm soon, but other developers would take years to support Arm, and that would be a problem).

I use my (4GB RAM, 256GB SSD, 2.13GHz) Air for serious work (finite element analysis, CAD, OpenGL graphics, and photo retouching) (yes, the Air is not a netbook, and can be used for such tasks, even if a lot of people are completely wrong believing the opposite), but if it had an Arm processor I could only use it as a netbook or as an ipad... I wouldn't buy a netbook, I don't need one.

The future is the power of the MBP on the form factor of the MBA. Anybody who believes the opposite will be proven wrong by the market evolution in the coming years. Period. But that needs software, and Arm would be a problem.
post #125 of 157
Hmmm......

Rumor 1: Apple looking to Intel to manufacture Apple ARM chips...

Rumor 2: Apple going to put ARM chips on laptops and desktops (instead of Intel x86 chips)...


What if both these conflicting rumors are somewhat true?


...What if Apple commissions Intel to manufacture its custom ARM chips on the same die as an Intel x86 chip -- a hybrid?

Others. with more knowledge, will have to determine if this practical -- or crazy-speak!

But, with the incentive of manufacturing millions of standalone ARM chips for iDevices -- it would seem that Apple has some negotiating power to get Intel to build hybrids for Mac devices.
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post #126 of 157
Been saying this for over a year now. Lion is the last version of OSX. Top of the cats. It is more like iOS because iOS will replace OSX. Look to the MBA being the first to go to ARM and the Mini.
post #127 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by MacTel View Post

Been saying this for over a year now. Lion is the last version of OSX. Top of the cats. It is more like iOS because iOS will replace OSX. Look to the MBA being the first to go to ARM and the Mini.

Does that mean your definition of iOS is that its OS X running on ARM as opposed to Mac OS running on x86(x64), and that no version of Mac OS will run on x86(x64) hardware after Lion?
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post #128 of 157
I can see most of you think this story is nonsense. But I think it is inevitable and have done for a few years now.
post #129 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by monstrosity View Post

I can see most of you think this story is nonsense. But I think it is inevitable and have done for a few years now.

The headline states from Intel to ARM processors. If the rumour was “Apple plans to incorporate ARM-based notebooks into Mac line” I think a lot more people could get behind that scenario.
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post #130 of 157
Think about it. The rumor is only laptops. But what about desktops? Are we suggesting that laptops would use ARM but desktops would use i7? But that's crazy! Then Apple would have to maintain full support for OS X (or whatever it is by then) for 2 CPU's... Rosetta all over again...

But, if you think about it... it's not so crazy. If a universal binary can target PowerPC & Intel, then why not ARM & Intel? Pursuing the thought even further, it would enable Apple to fuse the iPhone/iPod/iPad line and the "low end" laptop segment together - consolidating parts and OS work.

The fact is, Apple has proven it can bring forth a viable cross-compiling development environment with XCode - and it's already done a lot of legwork in the ARM + XCode dept. Why not take it from iOS app development all the way to full OS?

Who knows what those clever devils are truly up to. But it isn't the craziest move after all.
post #131 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by solipsism View Post

I seem to recall Apple cycling between Nvidia and AMD(ATI) for there discrete GPUs on several occasions.

Yes they have. The NVIDIA 8600 problems were thought to be the end of Nvidia with Apple. It was not. They have changed probably 5-6 times in the last 10 years.

This article is total bs.
post #132 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by filburt View Post

You are thinking too narrowly. If ARM is coming to Macs, it will be destined for lightweight portables, such as MacBook Air.

Power efficient processors aren't just about lowering power bills, but about increasing battery life for portables, as well as (1) allowing silent fan-free computing and (2) smaller and lighter form factor.

I believe ARM-based Mac OS X is at least in R&D mode, especially since iOS is a subset of Mac OS X with additional components and layers.

It would take nothing to port OS X to ARM, exactly because iOS is just a stripped down version of OS X.
post #133 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by sheff View Post

I dunno, 2012 - 2013 is pretty far away I think. I guess if ARM gets crazy performance upgrades, while keeping battery consumption way below intel it could happen, but right now I just don't see it.

There is irony in all of this. If ARM gets crazy performance upgrades it will degrade the battery life. So bascially it would be what you get today from intel, power at a cost.

You just cant have it both ways.
post #134 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by filburt View Post

Let's look at the facts. Intel's x86-64 CPUs run significantly hotter than ARM processors. True, ARM processors trail Intel's x86-64 ULV processors (used by MBA) by a great deal. Specifically, iPad 2 is about 3 times slower than entry level MBA. Although I wouldn't go far and say the performance gap is closing, it is certainly narrowing.

Meanwhile, at 18W of TDP, Intel's Sandy Bridge ULV processors (which are destined for MBA) is even hotter than Core 2 ULV used on MBA (10W). iPad 2 has mere 0.5W TDP.

At some point, Apple's ARM processors will be fast enough for mainstream notebooks, starting with MBA. It would be foolish of Apple to not invest in ARM-flavor Mac OS X, just as it invested in both PowerPC and Intel Mac OS X nearly a decade ago.

At some point if the ARM is powerful enough it will get hotter, and suck more power. ARM will meet Intel in the middle.

There is no getting around it. It might be called "ARM" but it will be a CPU that has power but needs more power than today.

At the same time Intel will get push its Atom line to be like ARM. There brand new 3D Atom CPU's are very close.
post #135 of 157
This is probably an inevitable transition, I have to agree. When XCode can provide fat binaries with no effort, the primer is there.

I won't believe this is an option for a long time. First off, lack of Windoze virtualization would be a slow and painful death for the info warrior set. I recently started work for a company that issued me a PC laptop, which I promptly slurped in as a VMWare guest. It would have been a disaster not to be able to do that, regardless of what anyone thinks about Win.

As a developer, what I'm more interested in seeing is all the Apple devs in Cupertino use iOS for XCode for a few years before they foist this off on The Rest Of Us. Please. Let's make sure this new Apple pie is fully baked before eliminating our other options.

Lastly, I develop server-side webapps on Java, but a lot of others do it on Ruby, Python, etc. We rely on MacPorts, Bash shell, etc. It would be another disaster if these were EOL.

Don't get me wrong, I'd love to see OS innovation, but Intel is not going to sit still, and developers are still going to need real operating systems.
post #136 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by ViktorCode View Post

The most shocking is not this senseless rumour from a long time BS provider, no. It is the reaction of some of Apple Insider readers who actually think this could happen.

Are. You. Nuts? According to you, yes, you, Apple would cut the performance of Macs manyfold while bringing software incompatibility for the sake of... lower power bills?

ARM won't have desktop level performance, not now, not 2 years later, not ever. To reach where Intel soars ARM would have to create new chip architecture from the ground up, and there's no way to keep it compatible with ARMs of today AND have that level of performance at the same time. No amount of magic would help either.

Ha! Re-read your comment in a few years, and i think you will find that the people best described as "nuts" are those such as yourself who are incapable of perceiving logical progression.
post #137 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fusion View Post

Think about it. The rumor is only laptops. But what about desktops? Are we suggesting that laptops would use ARM but desktops would use i7? But that's crazy! Then Apple would have to maintain full support for OS X (or whatever it is by then) for 2 CPU's... Rosetta all over again...

But, if you think about it... it's not so crazy. If a universal binary can target PowerPC & Intel, then why not ARM & Intel? Pursuing the thought even further, it would enable Apple to fuse the iPhone/iPod/iPad line and the "low end" laptop segment together - consolidating parts and OS work.

The fact is, Apple has proven it can bring forth a viable cross-compiling development environment with XCode - and it's already done a lot of legwork in the ARM + XCode dept. Why not take it from iOS app development all the way to full OS?

Who knows what those clever devils are truly up to. But it isn't the craziest move after all.

I think youre talking about two different options here.

The one you say seems ridiculous is ridiculous because of inherent performance loss and lack of need for excessive power savings for a desktop system. The one you say isnt so crazy isnt so crazy if you look at the Motorola Atrix and and Chrome OS which are both desktop OSes running on ARM. With the former I can see the potential for Apple to leverage their iOS/OS X/Darwin foundation with CocoaTouch UI for the included touchscreen but when connected to applicable peripherals it instantly switches to the Mac OS Aqua UI like any other app.

Within this Mac OS Aqua UI you can launch any series of windowed or fullscreen apps from LaunchPad, Finder, Dock or Spotlight. App Store apps will be have an option in Xcode by then to be Universal for iOS for iPhone/Touch, iOS iPad, IOS for Aqua UI, and Mac OS. with a possible inclusion for AppleTV despite its unique UI.

For example, this would allow you to use your iPhone in the same manner for accessing webpages but a simple dock setup with a display and keyboard and mouse would turn off the iPhones display (or use as a Magic Trackpad) that is now displaying a the same Safari window you are used to on Mac OS X. You finish what youre doing, charging your device or simply need to take off and the phone kicks back to CocoaTouch when you disconnect the device.

If anyone can do this its Apple. They have all the Doozers and all the candy radishes (obscure reference) to make it work. Motorola had to start from scratch to give their Atrix a UI and it fails because of it.

That is the only way I can see Apple bringing the Mac OS UI to iOS in a sensible way.
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post #138 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gwydion View Post

Ein? iPad doesn't do any virtualization

Quote:
Originally Posted by OllieWallieWhiskers View Post

VMWare runs pretty well on the iPad...

I doubted this too but by gollies, you are right!

ahttp://www.vmware.com/company/news/releases/view-ipad-3-9.html
http://blogs.vmware.com/view/2011/03...-for-ipad.html

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hudson1 View Post

I took the point to mean that since Windows 8 will end up running on ARM architecture then so will Windows applications before long. If that turns out to be true then the whole virtualization question becomes much simpler.

See above.

Quote:
Originally Posted by doh123 View Post

Windows 8 will mostly likely have an ARM variant, yes... but that doesn't mean that all Software written for Windows 8 will run on any install of Windows 8 on any hardware. The software will still specify and only run on certain processors. most of the high end software people will want that runs on Win8 will still require an x86-64 cpu.

They [Apple] are not moving... and Win8 x86 software will not run on Win8 ARM OS... its not the same thing.

Windows 8 is going to run across MS' "3 screens" philosophy - PC's, slates and phones - in fairly much the same sense that Apple has claimed from day one that iOS "is OS X" or is the mobile version of OS X. Win 8-x86 is going to run on PC's and MS' planned "full Windows" slates (and "convertibles" and "hybrids") - with the kicker that Win Tab 8-x86 will also incorporate interface elements derived from "Metro" on Win Phone 7 so that the Win OS will be much more touch enabled, and probably at least the versions of Office and Outlook will also be so. These machines - while an ergonomic improvement on Win 7 slates, will still be much heavier than iPads and will remain a niche market - but one that's apparently established that niche after 10 years. So let's use this variant to call it a "3 and a half screen" philosophy.

(I assume Win x-86 applications will have to be specifically programmed to be touch-enabled. Win Apps vary too much for some layer that would translate the menus and controls of most apps at an OS-level conversion. Just think of the difference between the interface of Word and Photoshop. This probably means these machines will include a stylus as previous Win Slates have. It also means this machine class will remain a niche market. However, it may also mean that all Win x-86 apps in the future will start to include both mouse and touch UI's.)

Win Tab 8-Arm and and Win Phone 8 (obviously Arm I would think) will be MS's analog to iOS - fully touch-enabled. I would certainly expect a Metro-ized version of the Office Apps, much as Apple's released Pages and Keynote on the iPad.

They are also already heavily subsidizing app development for these new lines, so that unlike RIM, they'll come out the gate with tablets loaded for business (and for decent consumer uptake as well).

Yes, Redmond has started their Xerox machines again in attempting to keep Windows relevant and to support a more unified code base across their lines (which also include three or four levels of discrete servers [home, small business, enterprise, etc.], whereas Apple's adopted a new low-end server strategy with Lion).

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post #139 of 157
The story itself has clearly been cobbled together for publicity in the mind of someone with at least grain of vision.
A laptop as we now know it, could already be described as catering for a niche market of computer professionals who require specialist applications and faster speed.
For everyone else, a cheap, convenient and 'Good enough' processor will dominate and power mainstream devices (it could be argued that this has already happened).

Future iterations of IOS will blur the line with Mac OSX, but will also redefine (more than they already have) how we interact with computers.
And beyond that, I have absolutely no doubt that almost all software, even processor intensive apps such as Logic or Maya will be rewritten for IOS.

So do not fear, because what you fear losing now, really has no practical reason for existence tomorrow. The issue will merge and melt away as ARM bit by bit eat Intel's lunch, and IOS and Mac progress.
post #140 of 157

90% of the people calling "bogus" here are a) not looking far enough ahead, b) haven't checked the evidence (see the link above - real companies are working on this) and c) as in the next post below blows away are simply making straight-line projections that the future will just be more of the present.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Bon Bon. View Post

I noted the earlier post when someone noted Arm starting life out on the Acorn computers. Yes. Desktop computers. It pretty much kicked the snot out of Amiga and PC computers back then. It was very, very fast.

The stuff in the iPad 2. A 'second gen' chip...is what? 'Four' times faster? Twice as fast? Take your pick. It's significant. Try to imagine that evolution to 2013. The gpu power is 9 times faster now? Imagine PVR in 2013?

It's pretty academic saying what Intel is now or will be then. It's more a case of where Apple is heading with the iOS platform and frankly, the Mac OS platform is going to blow bubbles keeping pace with the growth of the iOS platform. And we clearly haven't seen the next few cards of Apple's iOS hand played yet. A tv? A bigger tablet? An expanded range of sizes... An iOS 'Air' or 'iMac'. Who knows.

An iPad can already do nine tenths of what I use my computer for...and do it very, very quickly. Having played with an iPad 2...it's very quick. Imagine this with a retina display in 2012? With yet another leap in cpu and gpu performance? Gulp.

Double it's size and you have a very workable iOS 'mini iMac' that takes iOS and Apple into the unchartered territory.

You only have to look at the video effects on the latest iPad 2. It's pretty astonishing in something so thin. The gpu performance is impressive. It's closing in on the PS3/xbox 360.

You could pretty much stick a keyboard on it now. Oh. You can dock with with a keyboard.

With the 'concurrent' WWDC in June featuring Mac Os X and iOS development in tandem...

You'd have to be in serious denial to see this is classic Apple at work here.

I can easily see a super thin iMac tablet equivalent. iOS apps dwarf those of the Mac OS. (Same thing but with the 'fat' cut off?)

Just look at how many iPod, iPhone, iPads have been sold. Getting on for 200 million? More? It eclipsed Mac total sales and installed base some time ago.

Never say 'never' with Apple. I remember when the Intel news dropped. They'll flog the Mac for all it's worth. But I think the ongoing amalgamation is happening before our eyes.

It will be very interesting to see where we end up in two years time.

The writing is on the wall.

Lemon Bon Bon.

Thanks to Lemon Bon Bon (interesting handle) for saving me a lot of writing. To concentrate on a point below.....

Quote:
Originally Posted by xsu View Post

The only way I can see a unified chip line up happening, is if Intel finally get their act together and design an x86 that can compete in the mobile arena.

Quote:
Originally Posted by palegolas View Post

Also, Apple is famous for not looking back, but instead looking forward. I'm sure they have great insight in the ARM vs x86 roadmaps, and their in house expertise too, for years to come.

Quote:
Originally Posted by quinney View Post

Better yet, how long would it take them if they started in 2008 (when Apple acquired PA semi)?

Quote:
Originally Posted by jameskatt2 View Post

[Intel's new] 3D Transistors ... will double the processing speed of existing processors. And, they will simultaneously lower Intel processor power requirements to the point they are equivalent to ARM's.

Intel is very very aggressive since processors are their life-blood.

I can see, however, Apple going to Intel to fabricate Apple's A5+ ARM chips. After all, with 3D [transistor] processor and 22mm process technologies, Intel can make Apple's A5 and future ARM chips much much more powerful than non-Intel ARM chips. This will give Apple a huge lead on its competitors.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Galbi View Post

This is why Intel wont supply Apple with chips.

It's a conflict of interest for them. By making chips for Apple, Intel is indirectly killing its own market share in the PC business.

Lots of venerable companies are in trouble. Including both halves of the long-dominant WinTel duopoly.

Office and its file formats are the only things tethering many 10's of millions of MS's customers to its products. Even if Win 8 and all its variants all hit their marks and then some, MS has years of fighting to reclaim position in smart phones and tablets (which may have been supplanted by new device classes by then, introduced at least partially by guess who?). MS's biggest OEM, HP, is trying to re-invent itself in the Apple mode, controlling its own hardware and software stack with Web OS even as we talk about this.

As for Intel, neither MS nor Apple has the slightest interest in Atom - that point where the x86' basic architectural flaws - a kludged design dating back to the original IBM PC - have finally become the limiting factor they always were destined to be - the computing power/power-for-speed roadblock that is keeping Atom from being a serious rival to ARM. And iDevices are the growth story for CPU's for the next decade most likely.

At this point then, x-86 volumes aside Apple is arguably already Intel's most important customer, both for their imprimatur (consider how openly Intel partnered with Apple on Thunderbolt even tho' it hopes the volume will eventually go into non-Apple PC's and peripherals) and the volume they could throw Intel's way with their mobile business.

So.... ....Intel wants to fab for Apple. Apple wants a fab with companies it's in less litigation with. Intel and Apple seem to be working fairly well together and there are few areas where they're in competition unlike Apple's former friend Google. And Intel's realizing Atom is likely to stay a bomb. And both Win 8 and iOS are Arm systems.

But Intel doesn't want to be reduced to a commodity chip vendor to stay in the game....

So.... ....Apple's ARM implementation via the chops of their recent acquisitions is arguably the best ARM around or close to it. Intel has gobs of talent, the most modern fabs and that new 3D tech noted above.

Another collaboration - much bigger than Thunderbolt - suggests itself. An Apple-Intel leveraged ARM design as suggested by Jameskatt2 could easily stand out in the commoditized ARM market.

Intel would be rescued from its Atom box canyon.

Apple would - by virtue of its IP contributions - get the best deal by far on the chips - and - collect royalties on every one of the chips sold to anyone else (i.e., Apple would be making money on the internals of the most advanced Android and Windows smart phones and tablets on the planet as well as the highest margins on its own). They would also ensure that Intel's future iterations would be designed with their specific new device designs in mind.

All cotton candy thinking for the moment, but Intel really needs to make some kind of out of the box move. Atom's not cutting the mustard.

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post #141 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigpics View Post

I doubted this too but by gollies, you are right!

ahttp://www.vmware.com/company/news/releases/view-ipad-3-9.html
http://blogs.vmware.com/view/2011/03...-for-ipad.html

And as the press release says, there is any virtualization, is a client viewer to desktop.
post #142 of 157
I think this article, if it's not complete BS, is a misunderstanding.

That said, Apple could include the ARM architecture in their computers in an advantageous way. In fact, there were rumors two or three years ago that may have been just premature.

The trackpad on Mac laptops (and the transition to trackpads on the iMac has begun as well) is already basically an iDevice screen with no display behind it. Well, put a display and an A5 processor behind it. How much extra would that cost? As much as $50?

You could run any iOS apps on just the trackpad. They could be mirrored on the big screen, or not. (Imagine the battery life if the main screen were blanked!) You could always switch back and forth, and the tighter integration between iOS and OS X in Lion would make that easier.

It's even possible that the main CPU could do some of the computational heavy-liftingmainly generic number-crunching, probably. Maybe somedaymany, many years down the roadthe two architectures would be more or less merged.

Right now, a lot of PC users are also buying iPhones, iPod Touches, and iPads. Suppose they're looking for a new PC. Why wouldn't they buy one that could run their iOS apps as wellnot to mention Windows, too.
post #143 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Bon Bon. View Post

The writing is on the wall.

Lemon Bon Bon.

It's just that each of us seems to see it saying different things! What I see is they will drop the towers, have iOS running on every piece of hardware AND use their "A" series chips as CPUs.
post #144 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dick Applebaum View Post

I like the idea of that...

But how would that work -- Isn't the A5 RAM part of the PoP SoC?

Just guessing the reason why apple would turn to such a low power junk chip . I guess intel would do a fabless production for apple and or samsung doing the same . P A semi must being creating something. maybe apple will make zombie machines with low power and have all of humans live in the SERVER farm clouds.


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post #145 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by solipsism View Post

I think youre talking about two different options here.

The one you say seems ridiculous is ridiculous because of inherent performance loss and lack of need for excessive power savings for a desktop system. The one you say isnt so crazy isnt so crazy if you look at the Motorola Atrix and and Chrome OS which are both desktop OSes running on ARM. With the former I can see the potential for Apple to leverage their iOS/OS X/Darwin foundation with CocoaTouch UI for the included touchscreen but when connected to applicable peripherals it instantly switches to the Mac OS Aqua UI like any other app.

Within this Mac OS Aqua UI you can launch any series of windowed or fullscreen apps from LaunchPad, Finder, Dock or Spotlight. App Store apps will be have an option in Xcode by then to be Universal for iOS for iPhone/Touch, iOS iPad, IOS for Aqua UI, and Mac OS. with a possible inclusion for AppleTV despite its unique UI.

For example, this would allow you to use your iPhone in the same manner for accessing webpages but a simple dock setup with a display and keyboard and mouse would turn off the iPhones display (or use as a Magic Trackpad) that is now displaying a the same Safari window you are used to on Mac OS X. You finish what youre doing, charging your device or simply need to take off and the phone kicks back to CocoaTouch when you disconnect the device.

If anyone can do this its Apple. They have all the Doozers and all the candy radishes (obscure reference) to make it work. Motorola had to start from scratch to give their Atrix a UI and it fails because of it.

That is the only way I can see Apple bringing the Mac OS UI to iOS in a sensible way.

great post

Could all this ARM chip talk be about apple making a nano phone and lining up supply before it starts a production ??


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post #146 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigpics View Post

90% of the people calling "bogus" here are a) not looking far enough ahead, b) haven't checked the evidence (see the link above - real companies are working on this) and c) as in the next post below blows away are simply making straight-line projections that the future will just be more of the present.


Thanks to Lemon Bon Bon (interesting handle) for saving me a lot of writing. To concentrate on a point below.....










Lots of venerable companies are in trouble. Including both halves of the long-dominant WinTel duopoly.

Office and its file formats are the only things tethering many 10's of millions of MS's customers to its products. Even if Win 8 and all its variants all hit their marks and then some, MS has years of fighting to reclaim position in smart phones and tablets (which may have been supplanted by new device classes by then, introduced at least partially by guess who?). MS's biggest OEM, HP, is trying to re-invent itself in the Apple mode, controlling its own hardware and software stack with Web OS even as we talk about this.

As for Intel, neither MS nor Apple has the slightest interest in Atom - that point where the x86' basic architectural flaws - a kludged design dating back to the original IBM PC - have finally become the limiting factor they always were destined to be - the computing power/power-for-speed roadblock that is keeping Atom from being a serious rival to ARM. And iDevices are the growth story for CPU's for the next decade most likely.

At this point then, x-86 volumes aside Apple is arguably already Intel's most important customer, both for their imprimatur (consider how openly Intel partnered with Apple on Thunderbolt even tho' it hopes the volume will eventually go into non-Apple PC's and peripherals) and the volume they could throw Intel's way with their mobile business.

So.... ....Intel wants to fab for Apple. Apple wants a fab with companies it's in less litigation with. Intel and Apple seem to be working fairly well together and there are few areas where they're in competition unlike Apple's former friend Google. And Intel's realizing Atom is likely to stay a bomb. And both Win 8 and iOS are Arm systems.

But Intel doesn't want to be reduced to a commodity chip vendor to stay in the game....

So.... ....Apple's ARM implementation via the chops of their recent acquisitions is arguably the best ARM around or close to it. Intel has gobs of talent, the most modern fabs and that new 3D tech noted above.

Another collaboration - much bigger than Thunderbolt - suggests itself. An Apple-Intel leveraged ARM design as suggested by Jameskatt2 could easily stand out in the commoditized ARM market.

Intel would be rescued from its Atom box canyon.

Apple would - by virtue of its IP contributions - get the best deal by far on the chips - and - collect royalties on every one of the chips sold to anyone else (i.e., Apple would be making money on the internals of the most advanced Android and Windows smart phones and tablets on the planet as well as the highest margins on its own). They would also ensure that Intel's future iterations would be designed with their specific new device designs in mind.

All cotton candy thinking for the moment, but Intel really needs to make some kind of out of the box move. Atom's not cutting the mustard.

That 3D New Tech has been developed at AMD several years ago. They will be introducing it in upcoming CPUs. Intel didn't lead in this category anymore than they lead in x64.
post #147 of 157
this thread is getting more and more insightful, great summaries
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post #148 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigpics View Post

As for Intel, neither MS nor Apple has the slightest interest in Atom - that point where the x86' basic architectural flaws - a kludged design dating back to the original IBM PC - have finally become the limiting factor they always were destined to be - the computing power/power-for-speed roadblock that is keeping Atom from being a serious rival to ARM.

[]

All cotton candy thinking for the moment, but Intel really needs to make some kind of out of the box move. Atom's not cutting the mustard.

I dont disagree with your comments about Atom, but Anand seems to think 2012 Atom will go nuclear.
The bigger story here actually has to do with Atom. The biggest gains Intel is showing are at very low voltages, exactly what will benefit ultra mobile SoCs. Atom has had a tough time getting into smartphones and while we may see limited success at 32nm, the real future is what happens at 22nm. Atom is due for a new microprocessor architecture in 2012, if Intel goes the risky route and combines it with its 22nm process it could have a knockout on its hands.
http://www.anandtech.com/show/4313/i...ing-in-2h-2011
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post #149 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by solipsism View Post

I don’t disagree with your comments about Atom, but Anand seems to think 2012 Atom will go nuclear.
The bigger story here actually has to do with Atom. The biggest gains Intel is showing are at very low voltages, exactly what will benefit ultra mobile SoCs. Atom has had a tough time getting into smartphones and while we may see limited success at 32nm, the real future is what happens at 22nm. Atom is due for a new microprocessor architecture in 2012, if Intel goes the risky route and combines it with its 22nm process it could have a knockout on its hands.

http://www.anandtech.com/show/4313/i...ing-in-2h-2011

Mebbe -- and mebbe not -- but I agree fully they don't have a shot before the 22nm gen (and one article below is already talking about the 14nm shift to come):

Interesting article in general: http://www.computerworlduk.com/in-de...or-technology/ including [emphasis added]:

Quote:
"Much like it has been near impossible to displace either Intel or Microsoft in the PC space, it is likely to be equally hard to displace ARM in these new device classes because ARM is entrenched and the eco-system around it is becoming more robust by the day," Enderle said.

He said Intel desperately needs some very large design wins to get moving in the tablet/smartphone markets. And this 3D chip win is a strong one to start off with.

"Intel has virtually nothing compelling in either the tablet or smartphone space in terms of a shipping product," he added. "[The new technology] is core, no pun intended. This is generally how they advance. But Intel needs to address technology and marketing requirements and, so far, they are only effective on technology."

(Note: Enderle is often both a) wrong and b) a jerk btw, at least according to the Macalope - and see quote from PC World below about "barriers to entry" not being the same in the tab/phone space)

Where the 32nm Atoms are going:

Quote:
The new 32-nanometer Atom processors are expected to be launched on the 1st of August this year while the two i7 models will hit the market in the later end of the month of June. In addition to this, to enhance the speed of the complete i-series processors, the company is also launching a new motherboard chip this month. The release of the new Atom series processors is breaking news in the field. Low power consumption processors, Atom D2500 and D2700 are said to be codenamed as Cedarview which will enter the market in between 1st August to 31st October.

Speaking more about the new Atom processors, they are expected to have their applications in low-power consumption laptops i.e., the shrinking netbook market, set-top boxes and home-theatre systems. They are also expected to have support for the new technology, Blu-ray 2.0, to have their own media engine and to produce much lesser heat during the service.

I didn't read "phones" or "tablets" in that list....

PC World chimes in:

Quote:
as the market for devices like tablets and smartphones grows, Intel still faces pretty big challenges, even with its new "3D" chips. Here some issues Intel will have to address if it wants an Apple, a RIM, or a Motorola to pick its x86-based Atom processors over the ARM chips those device makers have so far chosen to power their mobile devices.
Developers, Developers, Developers

Intel says it's going to have a three-year jump on the competition with its 22-nanometer Tri-Gate process technology. But when you consider that the Atom product line won't be moved to 22nm as quickly as the company's PC and server processor families, that lead isn't quite as long. Other semiconductor companies should be adopting Tri-Gate by the time they ramp the 14nm process node in a few years time.

What this means is that mobile OS developers will have to consider if it's worth it to pour a lot of resources into developing for Intel's x86 architecture when they've already invested quite a bit towards getting their operating systems to run on ARM. If Intel's advantages with Tri-Gate are seen as only temporary, could some potential customers decide to just wait it out until the ARM chips catch up?

The good news for Intel is that cross-architecture software development isn't nearly as difficult as it was even a few years ago. For example, Dalvik, part of Google's Android OS, provides a platform-independent programming environment, meaning individual app creators don't have to make the x86/ARM decision.

And it's not like Intel doesn't have a pretty robust developer ecosystem for the x86 architecture already. They don't call it "Wintel" for nothing.

But:

Quote:
But here's the thing. Intel pushes a lot of semiconductor innovation forward, as it is now doing with Tri-Gate a generation ahead of its competitors. But those competitors aren't exactly standing still. Companies licensing the ARM architecture will have '3D' transistors on their chips eventually, they'll get to 22nm even sooner and they are moving into multi-core designs. Nvidia isn't just hoping to get into tablets—Tegra's already there. And guess what? ARM's got working 22nm silicon.

Finally, a number of posters have noted that AMD's in the 3D transistor game too, and announced first, but the Register (UK) notes:

Quote:
AMD is ramping up 32 nanometer processes and a new chip design, but Intel is already gearing up to start production on its 22 nanometer process and its related Tri-Gate 3D transistor, the combination of which looks to give Intel a greater advantage in performance and power efficiency than many had been expecting from the chip giant's shrink to 22 nanometers.

and...

Quote:
On the Atom front, the Intel has been quiet, but obviously with the Tri-Gate transistors and the 22 nanometer shrink, Intel should be able to field more power-efficient, low-end Atom parts that are more suitable for smartphones, tablets, and consumer electronics. It should also be able to create Atoms that have more oomph in the same power envelope – perhaps a lot more, like twice as many cores or a significant jump in single-thread performance.

It remains to be seen if these future Atoms based on Tri-Gate/22 nanometer technology will be able to take on the ARM collective, however. And even if the future Atoms don't hold out well against the Cortex-A15 derivatives due in late 2012 or early 2013 for tiny computers, they may nonetheless be a boon for micro servers.

The sum of this probably augurs against my speculative notion of an Apple-Intel partnership on a super-ARM chip, but whatever, things just keep getting more interesting.

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post #150 of 157
I know all of you are saying to look forward, but really, I do not see ARM beating x86 anytime in the foreseeable future. We've only JUST gotten ARM processor that match the power and performance of a seven year old PowerBook G4. Seven years!

The ARM A-15 looks like a good chip, up-to 4-cores, 2.5GHz, up-to 1TB memory - that would easily beat up an Atom. Could it beat up an i7? Of course not. Could it beat up a Core2Duo? Of course not. I wouldn't be surprised if it could hold its own with a Celeron Dual Core. Why would Apple ditch the x86-64 platform for a processor who's only advantage is power consumption when everything else about the current crop of chips, and the ARMv7 architecture itself, is far behind x86-64? With the feverish pace Intel is moving at, I honestly cannot see Apple leaving x86-64 for ARM in full-sized computers.

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post #151 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by filburt View Post

You are thinking too narrowly. If ARM is coming to Macs, it will be destined for lightweight portables, such as MacBook Air.

Power efficient processors aren't just about lowering power bills, but about increasing battery life for portables, as well as (1) allowing silent fan-free computing and (2) smaller and lighter form factor.

I believe ARM-based Mac OS X is at least in R&D mode, especially since iOS is a subset of Mac OS X with additional components and layers.

Why can't Apple let it rest and keep Intel and stop farting around!
post #152 of 157
can the intel 3d chip replace ARM
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post #153 of 157
Jean-Louis Gassée isnt buying it
But lets return to the rumor, from SemiAccurate, that the Mac and Intel will soon be arm-in-ARM. (That bad pun isnt mine.)

First, lets consider the name of the website.

Second, what will Apple do at the high-end, for media creation and editing? What about Photoshop, FinalCut, and other applications, including CAD where the Mac is getting back in the game? Theres no roadmap for ARM chips to beat Intel in these computationally intensive areas.

Today, going ARM is technically feasible on entry-level Macs. Tomorrow, newer multicore ARM chips might work for middle-of-the-line Macintosh products. But will Apple abandon the faster x86 processors at the high end just to avoid the kind of forking that awaits Windows in its own move to ARM? If not, well again see Universal applications (a.k.a. fat binariestwo versions inside the same container), just as we did with the PowerPC to x86 transition. Microsoft is doing it because it must; Apple did it because the PowerPC didnt have a future. But now?
http://www.mondaynote.com/2011/05/08...-why-and-when/
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post #154 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOtherGeoff View Post

This.

And the fact that Apple/NeXT has ported this OS from 68K to Intel (92), SPARC, PA-RISC, back to PowerPC, and then to Intel again, as well as built iOS/ARM as a subset of the current OSX offering.

Which means nothing,
Quote:
No one buys mac for it's emulation power... they buy it for the ability to run Mac apps. iOS is proving that it's the APPS that sell devices... and if you have some 200Million iOS users, wouldn't it be nice to have a way for those app developers and users to work with a more 'universal' binary?

For many of us Windows is an app, an app that runs under emulation. Your statement clearly indicates that you don't know why many of us switched to the Mac and why we see moving away from i86 as stupid. Believe me it would be a very stupid move indeed.
Quote:
With MS porting to ARM, Apple's timing makes sense, in a performance/price curve.

ARM chips are sold on a performance per watt basis and little else.
Quote:
If high end ARM chips are demanded by 300Million devices a year... the price per chipset drops... at best putting pressure on Intel/AMD to improve it's pricing/delivery, and at worst, driving the inevitable bottom up migration from phones to pads to laptops to desktops to servers to mainframes.

ARM pricing is a lot more difficult than that. It is all making niche products cost effective right now, that is done with SoC construction. This is only effective when you can get by with ARMs extremely limited performance.
Quote:
So with this lead time, Apple is likely just firing a shot over the bow of Intel: 'Want the 3rd largest 'pc' maker to continue using Intel chips.... Make them to our specs, at our price, and at our timeline... or run the risk of losing our business in 2 years [and remember, this is like commodities... the pricing/capacity has to be planned out 2 years in advance.... the timing of this makes total sense]'.

It makes no sense at all because ARM can't effectively compete with i86 on a performance basis. In two years time you are likely to get chips from intel with 6 to 8 cores running at 4GHz. Possible even more cores than that. These are real 64 bit cores which are very important to apples pro users. ARM is a long way from having a viable 64 bit core.

All this being said I fully expect Apple to expand it's iOS line up. It only makes sense as they have a winner on their hands and the current line up has serious holes. However I don't see them marketing a direct MBP replacement running iOS or even a direct replacement for the AIR. Even on the AIR an ARM chip would be a horrible step backwards and extremely limiting for users.
post #155 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmmx View Post

If there already exists Windows OS code in native ARM binary format, then it should be a lot easier to virtualize. Otherwise you would need to create a whole virtual x86 emulator - a much larger task.

People mis the whole applications space problem that forces many of us to use Windows. There is much out there that requires i86 that will never be ported to another architecture. Emulation really isn't acceptable here.

I really hope that Apple realizes how many Macs are being sold right now because the support legacy software needs. It would be a blunder of epic proportions to drop i86 in the laptop line up.
post #156 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wiggin View Post

Because multiple core gets you dimishing returns. A dual-core chip doesn't double your performance. A quad-core chip doesn't quadruple your performance. Except for highly parallel functions (such as video processing), adding more cores eventually gets to the point that it doesn't speed up the types of tasks that most people perform.

Apple is doing a lot of work to make it easier for programmers to take advantage of multiple cores and the GPU, and that helps. But if you have a series of calculations where each step is dependent on the previous steps being completed first, the work can't be distrubuted to multiple cores.

Right now, 4 cores seems to be a practical limit for a typical user. In the previous iMacs where Apple offered faster dual-core or slower quad-core CPUs as options, many typical users were better off with the faster dual-core iMac. I'm sure we'll eventually get to the point where adding more than 4 cores will be of practical benefit to the average consumer, but that's likely more than a year or so away still.

The transition to dual core was extremely quick because people saw an immediate benefit with respect to system responsiveness. It was almost always a positive user experience. Going quad core like wise enhances system availability especially in the age of constant network connections. The important thing to realize is that modern OS's like Mac OS/X have a lot happening in background these days that users aren't aware of. Those cores are being put to use! The problem is many people look at core use on an individual app basis, this is foolish as some apps will never use all cores and others depend upon the user demand put on the app. It also assumes only one app is in use at a time.

Even iPhone iOS was multitasking apps from day one with E-Mail and other services running all the time. On Mac OS it is not uncommon to see people running multiple apps at one time, these are average users that might have E-Mail, Safari and other apps open at once. Safari can easily consume a considerable amount of processor power all on it's own especially if Flash is involved. With Flash off in it's own process and an enhanced Webkit, simple web browsing will be able to leverage most of the cores in today's machines. Remember though that Safari is almost never running alone on these machines.
post #157 of 157
Quote:
Originally Posted by ecs View Post

I agree the Macbook Air form factor is the future of computing, because once you use one for some time, you realize how comfortable it is to have a computer like that, and when you go back to a weightier computer you feel it as a step backwards... you miss the Air. So, yes, the market will demand the Air form factor soon, no matter how hard MBP users try to think otherwise

That is like saying Ford only needs to build cars on one chassis. I agree that the new AIRs are a great achievement but they are not perfect for everybody. As such Apple will continue to offer up additional models to serve the varied user needs.

Given the right configuration I could see myself moving to a 15" AIR like machine. Mostly for the larger screen, but it would need to have a few more features than the current AIRs. Frankly I expect those features in the next AIR rev, but will likely hold off for Ivy Bridge. However Apple does need to address performance.
Quote:

However, this form factor is only useful if it has software, and I'm afraid a transition from Intel to Arm would be a severe problem in lack of software (the best known Mac developers would support Arm soon, but other developers would take years to support Arm, and that would be a problem).

Exactly! Legacy software is a huge problem. Further it can be a nightmare for developers of advanced or complex software to test on multiple architectures. I can see many developers giving Apple the finger and simply ignoring an ARM based Mac. It simply isn't worth the trouble to support low performance architectures for many developers, this can even include old i86 hardware.
Quote:

I use my (4GB RAM, 256GB SSD, 2.13GHz) Air for serious work (finite element analysis, CAD, OpenGL graphics, and photo retouching) (yes, the Air is not a netbook, and can be used for such tasks, even if a lot of people are completely wrong believing the opposite), but if it had an Arm processor I could only use it as a netbook or as an ipad... I wouldn't buy a netbook, I don't need one.

Many people are almost spastic in their belief that an ARM based AIR would be competitive. It is like they have no concept of the performance delta between ARM and current i86 chips. I can see Apple making another iOS device that might pass for a notebook of sorts, but I can't see them marketing them as Macs. It would be a total embarrassment.

Actually the first move here buy Apple might be an iPad with a slide out keyboard. It would make for a tablet that touch typist could better leverage and still maintain all the usability qualities of an iPad.

As a side note I've been playing around with CAD viewers on my iPad. There is great potential here but let's face it Touch and CAD don't really mix. So even if there is a massive jump in ARM performance I don't think you would be doing CAD or other engineering tasks on it. This highlights another issue where I see iOS and Mac OS traveling their own development paths, Touch simply does not work for some work flows.
Quote:
The future is the power of the MBP on the form factor of the MBA. Anybody who believes the opposite will be proven wrong by the market evolution in the coming years. Period. But that needs software, and Arm would be a problem.

I don't buy the above either. Let's face it you are happy with the AIR performance in your specific engineering capacity. However many would not be so happy. The fact is Apple will always be able to pack more performance into a MBP and some will go that route because of that. It might not work for you but many are not bothered by the size of a MBP. If Apple never makes a 15" AIR I likely would never buy one (old people and tiny screens don't mix).

Plus you dismiss the fact that the old plastic Mac Book still sells in massive volume. It isn't a one size fits all world.
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