Originally Posted by Prof. Peabody
Apple won't do 4G data until you can leave it on all day without destroying your battery. It's just not technically possible at the moment by all accounts.
my wish list for a fifth gen iPhone is simpler:
1. off-contract price of < $500
2. better than last years model in some (even minor) way
A $499 or less price point is interesting, which would mean $100 less from vendors on contract. The question isnt can they do it, but should they do it. Sure, theyll sell more, but they seem to be barely keeping ahead of demand as it is with a nearly 1 year old product.
There is an argument to be made that if they ramp up production enough for the anticipated need they could make increase economy of scale to a point that could increase their profit margin while simultaneously suffocating any competitor who tries to make a profit at or above their price point.
Android-based handset would still very likely outsell the iPhone but wed see them be cheaper, simpler devices that are made poorly by companies that can barely keep the lights on. Essentially Apple start doing what theyve done by aggressively pricing the iPad.
They would have to worry about weakening the brand since they cant easily jump back up after they drop down in price. Still, I think it could be a reasonable shift for increased profits and dominance in the handset market, even though they are already killing it without any such change. Hell, just adding Sprint, T-Mobile and China Mobile would do plenty of damage.
Outside of sourcing components there are few things to consider. We have both Samsung and LG talking about HiDPI displays. The smaller the display the more likely it will come first so smartphones matching or exceeding the iPhones Retina Display are imminent. On top of that, it will likely make Apples Retina Display considerably cheaper over the next couple years. Then there is NAND which is likely to see a capacity doubling this Autumn (which might be a reason Apple delayed the G5 iPhone) making 32GB and 64GB the new standard, so a 16GB iPhone which would have a NAND price of the current 8GB NAND as another likely way to reduce costs to get to a sub-$500 device.