Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
I believe Apple can benefit from turning MacBook into a low end machine.
I believe the MacBook is already a low end machine. However, I believe Apple have a few opportunities to move a bit farther down-market with the MacBook. As we've been discussing, Apple have a great opportunity to drop the internal optical brick. I believe this is a question of when, not if. I was surprised that Apple didn't drop the internal optical brick from the MacBook when they redesigned the MacBook chassis in 2009. I'm confident that the next MacBook chassis redesign (which may or may not coincide with the next MacBook update) will drop the internal optical brick. As we've also been discussing, Apple have the opportunity to drop the video out port from the MacBook, but I don't expect them to do so, primarily because I believe Apple want to drive the adoption of Thunderbolt. Apple also have the opportunity to move down-market by retaining HDs in the MacBook as the market increasingly moves to SSDs. It's one more opportunity to segment the Macbook from the MacBook Air and MacBook Pro. I believe that, about 2013 or so, Apple will start offering >200dpi resolution for the MacBook Air and MacBook Pro, but for the MacBook only a year or two later.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
This is the nosy asinine thing I've heard in years. People, including you are very confused about TB.
That seems a bit harsh. I have occasionally overlooked something and I have been grateful when you've brought my attention to it. I have been additionally grateful that you have generally been polite about it. I've tried to be polite when bringing to your attention things you may have overlooked. I apologize if I have not always succeeded in being as polite as I should be.
For whatever it's worth, I don't believe the confusion about Thunderbolt lies on my side of the keyboard. ;-)
Whether or not Thunderbolt becomes ubiquitous depends in part on what the PeeCee manufacturers do. If HP, Sony, Dell, etc. adopt Thunderbolt, then it will eventually replace USB. Remember that Intel are also backing Thunderbolt and will include Thunderbolt support in all Intel chipsets, desktop, laptop, and server. That makes the cost of adoption low for the PeeCee manufacturers.
The other big question is whether or not Apple will add Thunderbolt to the iOS devices.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Right now the use of Thunderbolt requires a $50 cable, a cable that won't get much cheaper due to it's design. No body is going to hook up a $60 drive with a $50 cable, not that we will be seeing a $60 drive with a TB port anytime soon.
1. All Apple cables are expensive.
2. Prices drop with volume. The last time I priced an Apple Firewire cable, it was $40. Now the same cable is $20.
http://store.apple.com/us/product/M8707G/A
3. The Thunderbolt cables are currently expensive because they are smart cables with electronics at each end. As volumes ramp, the integration of those electronics will drive the cost down.
4. Copper Thunderbolt cables are an interim solution until the optical version takes over. The optical cables don't require electronics integrated into the connectors.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Frankly FireWire is a cheap solution compared to TB. I fully expect to see even less uptake of TB compared to FireWire. That isn't a bad thing because TB certainly has a niche to fill.
Firewire is moribund. Except for cables, it will be difficult to find a product for sale in 2015 that supports Firewire.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
It would be irresponsible for Apple to hold off on USB 3 as it has nothing to do with TB as there is virtually no overlap in intended usage. Show me how it will be possible to do a $60 external drive with TB.
What does irresponsible mean in this context? Exactly what responsibility are you writing about? Fiduciary responsibility to the shareholders?
I expect to see Thunderbolt flash drives for a few dollars/euro more than USB flash drives by 2015.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
If Apple truly wants a low end MacBook I can't see them adding either port. I really not know what Apples plans are but I can't imagine TB being all that attractive to most MacBook users.
Firewire was dropped from the MacBook in 2008. I don't see any reason why Apple would want to add it back now. On the other hand, adding Thunderbolt to the MacBook would reintroduce Target Disk Mode which was lost when Firewire was dropped and, as already discussed, increase the Thunderbolt installed base, which appears to be a goal at Apple (and at Intel).
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Market penetration means nothing if the buyers have no intention of using the hardware.
I had no intention of ever using Firewire until I needed Target Disk Mode.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
The big question: is the consumer ready? I'm no fan of the optical but a lot of users like that drive.
I think you may be judging that from this forum, which is a self-selected group over-representing the high-end users. I believe the phenomenal success of the MacBook Air, despite the high price/performance ratio, demonstrates that most consumers are ready to drop the internal optical brick.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
The include FireWire because people actually use it. They find the incremental cost acceptable.
That's why the MacBook hasn't included FireWire since 2008? That's why the MacBook Air has never included FireWire (but now includes Thunderbolt)?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Step back and consider the big stink when they did remove the port from a machine. In a lowend machine these days USB3 is the most economical solution to many I/O needs.
It was a big stink on this and a few other boards over-representing high-end users. In the market as a whole, there was no stink. Dropping the internal optical brick will be much less traumatic than was dropping the floppy drive. As I've written before, I believe the MacBook Pro may retain the internal optical brick long after it's gone from the MacBook.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
What is in the next MacBook will go a long way to telling us what Apple thinks of the low end market.
Yes. I agree.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Maybe they really don't care, I don't know.
What is the antecedent of "they"? Apple or the consumers?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
What I do know is that many people buy a laptop and hardly ever use the ports they have. I may be the opposite here but that is why I own a pro.
I believe most consumers don't care about the ports they don't use.