Originally Posted by tonton
Actually, I agree with Jazzy here. Ron Paul has by far the best chance against Obama.
Let me ask you this, SDW, if it were Paul vs. Obama, who would you vote for?
I would probably very reluctantly vote for Paul. Or, I may not vote.
That's right. EVERY REPUBLICAN would vote for Ron Paul.
That's false. Security-minded Republicans will have a tough time voting for him, as will Financial sector folks.
Then you have all the Jazzys and Sammi Jos, and the Fellowships, and maybe even some of the Liberals who are sick of Obama's lack of direction. Paul would win.
This is not the case with any of the other Republican candidates, even Romney.
I disagree, and so do the pundits...so do the polls. Paul will take libertarians and some moderate Republicans...maybe even a few liberals. He'll do well among young people, first time voters, etc. But he'll lose a lot of key blocks. Security-minded Republicans will have a tough time voting for him. Economic-sector Republicans think his Gold Standard ideas are nuts. He'll lose blacks and hispanics. He'll lose moderates to Obama, who will make him look "zany." He'll lose the Left. He'll win some of the same Republicans McCain did, who just held their nose and pulled the lever. He'll win libertarians and maybe a few truly "liberal" folks. Obama will win this election though..make no mistake.
As for Romney, I don't buy all of the "25 percenter" and "Massachusetts Moderate" attacks. He's broadly acceptable to almost all Republicans, except the nutty Paul supporters and Iowa Corn-Huckabees. Fiscal conservatives will vote for him. Security-conservatives will vote for him. Moderates, growing tired of Obama, will vote for him. The business community will favor him. The financial sector will favor him. Social conservatives will favor him for the most part. Even some centrist Dems will vote for him. Obama will be left holding a bag of the un-enthused far left and the mainstream left. Romney will beat him handily barring any major geopolitical shakeup.