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Originally Posted by
wizard69 
First; we have t think about Thunderbolt (TB) and how Apple will go about supporting that and the associated video channels. The first possibility is that they punt and simply don't support the video multiplexing. I don't think that will happen. They could go with a special purpose video card connector but again I don't think that ill happen. I suspect that they will integrate the chip right on the motherboard. This is the right long term solution especially as video hardware becomes more closely coupled to the CPU hardware and allows them to support TB as they already have been. Like it or not this is one reason why I think the Pro is dead.
TB hasn't shown full performance with displays attached. Given the potential to decouple the chip from displays there and offer its full bandwidth potentially without the need to route through integrated graphics, this could be a decent path forward.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Second; SATA is pretty much dead as the primary storage channel for forward looking PC hardware. Instead I'm expecting that a base machine would rely upon solid state storage implemented on an advanced plug in card. This card would use the latest PCI Express interface electrical standards but might vary in physical dimensions. This would allow Apple to implement very fast solid state arrays for the primary secondary storage implementation ( in other words the boot and app drive). I'm careful to say solid state here as i don't expect flash to be around for long, however memory on a card is the long term play. I could see Apple implementing two or three slots dedicated to high speed system storage.
SATA isn't going to disappear overnight given the cost of high density solid state storage. I think it'll still take some time for that to mature. It's still pretty costly per gigabyte and you can fully saturate a storage bus with newer SATA drives, so the cost: benefit ratio isn't quite there yet even if it is the likely direction.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Third; I see a move away from dual socket systems. Things like Sandy Bridge E will improve rapidly and some of the leak benchmarks are indeed impressive. If we do see dual socket in the future one of those sockets will be for the GPU at which point it will be an equal to the CPU on the memory bus. Interestingly I see AMD as the more interesting play here with their GCN initiative. In any event I suspect all future machines will have one CPU socket
Intel has priced dual socket higher and higher, so it has been becoming in some ways a niche market. Sometimes it can still make sense, but the situations are limited. Part of what has made a dual socket configuration unattractive is the number of applications that do not gain much from high core counts. 8 core has been available for years and yet many many applications don't scale past 2-4.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Fourth; far more TB ports. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see at least four on a Pro replacement machine. They will of course be used to hook up the video screens but I see extended usage for connection to disk arrays, and for the creation of clusters of Macs. TB all also start to support a lot of novel hardware so the more ports the better.
I'd have to look up how many are supported per chip and how many total PCI lanes this derives from. Given the upcoming PCIe 3 squeezing out more thunderbolt ports might not be that difficult.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Fifth; if the new machine provides for any sort of magnetic drive capability it will probably be with small notebook sized drives. The preference for mass storage will be TB connected disk arrays. The Pros replacement would signal the end of magnetic media in desktop machines.
I disagree with you here. If you look at other workstation manufacturers, many of them grant the option to use 3.5" drives or more 2.5" drives. Sometimes 3.5" can still make total sense, so the option is nice. You can get a huge amount storage from 3.5" these days, but overall storage needs have still been increasing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Sixth; Even though the machine will be far more compact I expect that it will still have expansion slots. I just don;t think they will be capable of supporting graphics cards.
Seventh; the same chassis that supports an advanced machine running Sandy Bridge E or what ever workstation processor will also have a mid level performance machine. This would use a Fusion or Ivy Bridge like processor to deliver something better than Mini performance. Think of this as a mid range volume machine where GPU performance can be more modest.
That would be logical assuming a cost effective base chassis, and Apple seems to do well getting a ridiculously good price on things.
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Originally Posted by
wizard69 
I'm not convinced that NVidia will be around for the long haul. Honestly I'd rather see AMD GPUs in these new workstations.
However this is a Sandy Bridge E thread so let's worry about those. I noticed that 130 watts concerns you but consider that this might not be the issue you think it is. Why, single socket workstations. I could see many punting when it comes to dual socket workstations.
There are two things to mention there. Under OSX AMD has done fine, but they've never released a single FirePro model. It only matters at a somewhat extreme end in the sense of those who depend on a fluid OpenGL experience in affected applications. Under Windows and Linux, NVidia has been the preferred card. Both mark up workstation cards heavily over similar hardware on consumer type cards. The differences are drivers and sometimes ram. Higher ram density might drive up manufacturing costs, and the rest is just the cost of developing specialized drivers for a smaller market. Under Windows rather than trending away from a benefit seen from such hardware, some applications have actually become more dependent on it with newer features being implemented. If you can spend thousands on software, the gpu cost doesn't seem quite so horrendous.
NVidia so far has remained a definitively superior option outside of Macs. Most of the time the complaint with AMD seems to be drivers, which happens to be an NVidia issue under OSX with their last Quadro option (unless they fixed that finally).
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
More compact workstations will be the order of the day. As will be matching storage arrays. I could see a decent workstation half he size of the current Mac Pro. It is just a matter of dropping all of the legacy stuff and concentrating on what is needed.
Well the Lenovo still supported dual socket configurations. Even applications that are built for high core counts do top out somewhere, so it's a matter of how many cores still make sense. Part of the issue with the dual socket workstations and market share has been pricing as I mentioned.
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Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Well the case wouldn't. Most of your cost is tied up in other components. The issue with the cases is that it takes up room it doesn't have to take up. Much of that room is devoted to legacy hardware, delete that and the case will shrink fast.
Cases can still be expensive. My point about compact is if it requires a lot of extra effort to maintain cooling or during assembly, it can cost just as much as the larger one (or more). It depends what is required to make the intended components run within the box is all.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
Much of that is due to excellent Intel pricing. Let's face it Intel has gotten away with some serious price increases. This is another reason to favor a smaller case though because it becomes a platform for a midrange desktop machine. Swap out the high performance motherboard for one with a Fusion or Ivy Bridge processor and many desktop needs are satisfied. You might also need a powersupply swap but the mechanical and even some of the electrical architecture would serve two classes of performance.
Part of it is intel, but it seems like the high end is where they've increased prices. Apple has also kept their base pricing similar, but migrated to cheaper hardware for it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
wizard69 
I'm not a graphics pro so I drift off when talk turns to calibrated monitors. However there is one other reality manufactures have to deal with these days. That is the Green movement, so that mobile GPU may be there simply to lower the machines overall power profile as a selling point. Or it simply was needed for thermal reasons.
A 130 watt CPU is a bargain if you are trying to get away from dual socket machines.
The calibrated display thing is commonly misunderstood. Until 2007 or so, it was near impossible to find something that was competitive with a high end crt. The misunderstanding is that whatever display they own, a $130 spyder (I hate datacolor, I use an xrite device on mine) will make it perfect and it will match everything else. It won't. It can't change the uniformity or halt the inherent drift of the hardware. It just describes it to the computer. More sophisticated combinations do a bit more.
I'm thinking of the 2007 mac pro here. Apple took the 130W displays. The other oems passed, but as you mentioned that was a dual socket setup. I think the mobile gpu is for cooling reasons seeing as gpu power can be incredibly useful at times.