Fivethirtyeight shows Obama's chances of winning climbing again after the drop in early October.
He now has a 79% chance of winning. Fivethirtyeight is showing him with 300 electoral votes.
Obama's performance during Sandy has received almost 80% approval. Christie, who is usually full of bile for Obama, praised the President strongly.
Mittens scores around 43% favorable; he held a paid-for donation drive of sorts at a pre-arranged campaign stop. Really? Oh, now he likes FEMA. Right.
Oh my god!!! Fivethirtyeight shows Obama winning the election?!?!? Stop the presses! Nobody could possibly have foreseen that one of the most left-leaning major outlets in the country would analyze things to show that their guy is winning. Yeah, we should just give up now. If you're a Republican, don't even bother to vote. Fivethirtyeight has called the election for Obama.
Seriously, and Karl Rove has an analysis showing Romney winning with over 300 electoral college votes and 6 Senate seat pickups for the Republicans. If you were going to source an opinion piece that is giving Obama the edge, you might have a bit of credibility if you were to use something a little less biased. It's not like that would be hard to find. In fact, the only thing that would be less credible MIGHT be the Huffington Post, but that's really a toss up. Obama is only up by 4 or more points in 2 battleground states according to RealClearPolitics which provides an average of numerous polls. The extremely narrow margins there are most likely to swing in the direction of Romney. If the actual voter turnout is closer to the Gallup prediction of +1 for Republicans as opposed to the historic +8 for Democrats that most of the polls are based upon, Romney wins. In fact, if the Gallup model is correct, Romney wins huge. If things follow the 2008 turnout model, then Romney doesn't have a prayer.
Right now RCP shows it as an Obama win, but this is all going to depend on who shows up at the polls. The early voting and absentee ballot requests are certainly looking more like the Gallup prediction those as opposed to the 2008 turnout model. Thankfully we only have about 5 days left before it's all over.