Originally Posted by Alfiejr
good job by DED skewering the MS fans desperately clutching at straws once again to hype yet another misbegotten MS Windows Everywhere fantasy.
let's look at the scorecard for the year ...MS Great (much hyped by web pundits) Windows 8 New Era 2012-13
:Windows 8 OS
- Despite channel stuffing license "shipments" to OEM's, actual sales are worse than Vista, even after huge 50%-75% upgrade discounts for months (now ending). near total avoidance by businesses, and consumer PC sales have nosedived. A Big Flop
, so bad that it is accelerating consumers adoption of tablets as a PC alternative.
How relative those numbers are. Check this link:
Windows 8 is doing fine. Not earth shattering fine, but just fine.
In addition, while PC industry as a whole did decline, speciffic OEMs did well. Like Lenovo:
Asus also saw huge growth in 2012.
Others, well, they'll have to try harder. Obviously machines with Windows 8 can sell well, as long as they are good machines. If they are not, not even OSX would help them. Maybe start with dropping cheap crappy screens from premium laptops (here's looking at you, HP and Sony) - IPS is really not that expensive any more.
XBox - New focus of MS ecosystem, but nearing end of life, and sales remain depressed (like all game consoles) due to tablet competition. Stuck In Niche.
Define "focus". Last time we talked with MS, volume licensing was still their bread & butter. They were actually giving XBoxes to the best VL resellers, not the other way around.
Windows Phone 8 - Despite all-in commitment by powerful Nokia, sales are modest at best, adding only a few % to Windows smartphone market share. Going Nowhere.
Windows Phone 8 sales are improving nicely compared to WP7 sales from the year before. Of course, having already well established Android and iPhone sales doesn't help much, but if MS and partners manage to keep momentum with new devices and software updates, WP can still make it big.
Surface RT Tablet - Supposedly major iPad rival, now proven DOA. Total Fail.
I expect that RT will die or get re-branded (maybe lose desktop mode and Office as it is?) and try to create new, cheaper category. With Clover Trail tablets priced within the range of RT, comparable battery life, weight and better performance, there is hardly a reason why would someone get RT instead.
Surface Pro Tablet - All-in-one Windows miss-mash, combining the limitations of a tablet with the limitations of a notebook, at a high price to boot. Dead Man Walking.
You say "combining limitations", and I say "combing features". And we are both right, to some degree. What will win, limitations or features? We'll see in a year time. I'm expecting Pro tablet segment to be alive and healthy. Not necessarily with Surface Pro, but with other/all available x86 tablets.
Overall web pundit reaction to all this? MS is innovating the future! and Wall Street likes MS strategy, it likes it a lot.
now let's look at Apple ...
Apple's 2012 Product Cycle:
OS 10.8 Mountain Lion - popular, with Mac computer sales continuing modest growth (despite overall PC market decline). A Hit.
How many copies did it sell, and has it boosted Mac sales significantly?
iPhone 5 - Refreshed hardware setting record sales. Huge Hit.
It obviously sells well, though I think iOS is reaching saturation and more changes are needed to keep it fresh.
Apple TV - Key extension of Apple ecosystem, "hobby" product sales continue to increase steadily (actually outselling XBox). Going Someplace.
Well, it is not a secret that X720 will be anounced some time this year, and current one is 7 years old. Hardly a surprise sales are not keeping up.
iPad Mini - New mid-size model is very popular. Big Hit.
Because people will rather spend less if given choice, even on Apple products.
iPad - Updated model continues to sell well. Solid.
Overall pundit reaction to all this? Apple has gone stale and is in trouble! and Wall Street trashes its stock.
do we see a pattern here?
Apple raised high standards with some sweet and innovative product (at the time of their introduction), so inventors are expecting Apple to keep pushing, not only new products but new categories. I don't think it is realistic nor possible at all times, but that is what happens when you set such expectations.
But I don't think it is only that. Competition is catching up, and is some behalf bettering Apple's offering, which wasn't the case in first few years of iPhone and iPad existence. Even with MacBooks - see how many premium Windows laptops are available nowadays, with good screens, good battery life... and compare that with such Windows machines back in the days when Apple started with aluminium lappys - there were none. In short, some people might see Apple as ending this high-innovation turn and entering into more-stagnating turn, something that doesn't bode well with investors.