Originally Posted by fredD
Thats ignoring the network effect. Loss of market share is not inevitable. It did not happen to Windows for example. Apple is losing market share because its them against all the other OEMs. iOS would have maintained market share if other OEMs could license the OS, but of course we know that will never happen.
Basically because iOS is closed from a licensing POV the market share loss was inevitable. And at a critical point that also means a loss of influence. When Apple gets to 10% market share, like in the PC business, do you really think games will be released on iOS first? Or social apps? What would be the point, except for a trial run?
I would have though long time Mac users would have known market share very much does matter, no matter what Apple's profits are.
I guess others have already pointed it out but this is just the biggest pile of horse shit I've read in a long time. Almost everything you say is wrong.
In the first place, iOS *isn't* actually "losing market share," the reports that say so are based only on channel shipments which are not even close to the same thing as saying that a product has "X% share of the market." The market consists of more than just your channel partners. iOS is *gaining* (true) market share on Android almost daily. More people use it than Android and it's pretty much *always* been that way so far. More people buy iPhones than any other phone in the market. It's the market leader in fact with all three models (5, 4, 4s), both selling more, and being more popular than all the other devices on the market.
Secondly, the market share loss (if it were actually happening), is not at all "inevitable" because Apple doesn't licence it's OS. A licensed OS had no inherent superiority over a non-licensed one.
Finally, as a long-time Mac user I can tell you that the fact that OS X didn't always have the huge market share it does now, did not in any real way affect my enjoyment and use of the platform all these years. There was a brief period in the dark days before Steve Jobs returned where some software wasn't made available for the platform, but we are talking maybe six months out of the entire lifespan of Apple. All the standard apps that we use now were available for mac almost all along and now that the Mac has a HUGE market share and everyone is using it, there are no apps that have become available (at least not any that I use or have heard about), that weren't there before.
Basically, you are just taking this wild (and easily disproven) account of Android market share rising and beating out iOS, and weaving it into a private fantasy for yourself where Apple's iOS market share shrinks to a small fraction ("10%"), of the market. You just don't want to admit that you read that report wrong.
Android dominance over iOS isn't going to happen, it isn't happening now and it won't happen in the future. There are absolutely no indicators that iOS is slipping in popularity. There is nothing to indicate that it's (true) market share is going down, in fact all indicators are that it's going up. Something north of 90% of the tablet computers in use out there are iPads. The three most popular phones on the planet are all iPhones.
Get used to it.