Originally Posted by nht
SACD, 3-D TV, 9.1 audio, Laserdisks, HD-DVD...it's not that folks are luddites. It's more been there, bought that, didn't pan out in the mainstream market.
Is 4K going to be the next HDTV? Maybe. On the other hand 1080p HDTVs are decent enough and BluRay adoption still slowly increasing. What kind of penetration will Ultra-HD have in the near future? It's not like folks are going to be jumping up and down to dump their relatively recent HDTV purchases.
And if I remember right the median size is still around 48".
On the other hand 4K sets can actually deliver 2K passive 3-D. Maybe that will help both actually gain traction.
But in 2014? No, 4K won't be a major factor. Probably not in 2015 either. Anyone that tells you they can accurately predict what the mainstream market will look like past 2 years is trying to sell you something. Usually it's an overly expensive industry report that has little resemblance to reality when the future becomes the present.
Well I'm certainly not trying to sell you anything physical that you can touch
However, I am trying to sell you on "the idea and philosophy" that technological advances stop for no one. Considering you're an Apple fan on this forum, I tend to take it for granted that you and others have bought into that very same Apple philosophy long ago. They've been... and continue to be... the undeniable leaders and driving force in getting people to adopt new technology... even if the "majority" doesn't think we need it yet, if ever.
The 64-bit A7 debate for example.
Or many years ago: "a what?... a mouse? USB? CD Super-Drive?... never gonna happen!". NOW days, you have the "majority", including entire companies (MS), that can't seem to bring themselves to "drop" old tech, to work with and help optimize the new tech like, "touch? Wireless transfer? Digital downloads/cloud streaming?".
You're certainly correct that adoption of 4K in the home will take awhile, say 5 years based on former acceptance of new tech across the board (touch phones anyone?). But do you seriously think that Apple will stop and wait for that day down the road? I don't. Look at what they're demo'ing the nMP with.
Also, 4k brings some very interesting scenarios for everyday users and content creators until the "UHD full resolution" across devices realized.
Simple example is zoom and crop to HD without resolution loss i.e. fixed wide-angle high speed optics, and then "pulling" and "panning" to the areas of interest, then saving output to 1080p HD. Now how cool is that?! Next gen A8 could very possibly do this as smoothly and as simple as 1080p HD today. Then think what endless possibilities there are after sucking that 4K footage into iMovie/FCPX over Thunderbolt to an MBP or iMac will afford you. No 4K screen... no problem. Push, pull, pan and zoom in a 1080p "frame".
I look at 4K the same way that DSLR and camera sensors have evolved over time. A 36mb Nikon d800 or Sony a7r image is not "necessary" for web-shots and/or printing up to Letter/A4. HOWEVER, it does afford you the ability to zoom and crop in post-production, a full length portrait to a cropped face, or a product shot to just the label... and still be able to print up to Letter/A4 and publish to the web in full high-res quality for the intended medium or device.
Some notes at engadget regarding the new Panasonic 4K GH mirrorless camera for under $2k:
@nht - Here's a Panosonic 4K displays quote... also from engadget at CES... notice the sizes and release date:
When it comes to picture quality, the line of sets shown off today boasts a 4K LED display (which is said to look just as good as the company's old plasma tech) and will come in 58 to 65 inches when it arrives this year, with an 85-inch -- the firm's first LED TV of that size -- joining it later in 2014.