Originally Posted by AppleInsider
Kuo has a strong track record with respect to predicting Apple's future product plans, having correctly predicted most of the company's 2013 product releases months before
anyone else. He also revealed the company's entire fall 2012 lineup
a year prior.
If you actually look at his past predictions from 2012 and 2013, you'll find they're mostly comprised of product refreshes that line up with the normal cycles. It doesn't take any intelligence to figure that out and put it on a cheesy timeline graphic.
For 2012, he saw the iPad mini coming with parts ramping up, and correctly said Apple was going to start laminating the iMac's glass to the LCD panel.
What did he get wrong? He said the dock connector (Lightning) would be 9-pin, and it would be coming to the iPod touch. And that iPod touch and iPod nano would use a new kind of display panels. And the iPod nano would be wireless.
For 2013, he was totally wrong about a new design for the MacBook Pro, modified iPod touch, and iPod nano refresh. He completely missed the iPad Air. The only thing he got correct is a redesigned iPhone 5.
He also predicted the fingerprint sensor parts would be installed under a convex home button. That mades no sense, but it's what happens when you have all the parts and not enough technical knowledge to put them together.
There were a couple things he knew were coming (iPad mini and iPhone 5 redesign), he's predicted a lot of things that didn't happen, details he got completely wrong, and things he never saw coming.
Kuo calls up suppliers and asks what they're producing and shipping. And potentially fields information provided by leaky insiders. That's all.
Based on his track record, if you pick any one thing he predicts, outside of an expected product refresh, statistics say it will be wrong. But, there's always one thing he gets right, and it's usually big. The question is, what's the one thing he got right?