Originally Posted by Marvin
The increases have been in order to reach the limits of the media we use. We used to have black and white displays, then 256 colors, thousands, millions and we stopped there. We used to have really low resolution targets below 320x240 and it increased gradually (Finding Nemo in 2003 was rendered at 1600x900 and had to be redone for HD - http://www.tested.com/art/movies/449542-finding-nemo-3d-interview/
When it comes to video, there are limits to the hardware:
"For a typical lens set at f/10, the calculation shows that 2000 lines [The word "lines" refers here to cycles of a sine wave or line pairs.] in the vertical dimension is the most that could ever be resolved at f/10 without noticeable losses in contrast. This is significant because a vertical resolution of 2000 corresponds to 21-24 megapixels, a value that already is reached by state-of-the-art cameras. This implies that to make full use of the sensor capabilities of cameras already in production requires the use of apertures less than about f/10. And since the quality of the optics limit the resolution of most lenses today when apertures are much larger than f/5.6 or f/8, this suggests that there are steeply diminishing returns for sensors of more than about 25-35 megapixels for a 35mm camera, a limit that will apply until there are some breakthroughs in optics that can perform better at f/4 than they do at f/10."
They might try to overcome this with techniques used in astronomy but it comes down to consumer demand and willingness for the whole pipeline to adopt the extra data.
I think developers gave up on RAM efficiency a while ago. I've seen Safari use a good few GBs of memory. That's not really a good thing though and they shouldn't do it on purpose. No major developer would do it on purpose.
2.7 million UHDTVs sold in 2013, 'industry sources' think 26m this year:
That's vs 225m HDTVs. If the number of units gets high enough and there's enough people with 20Mbps sustained broadband who also have 4K displays then it'll start to take off. I don't think it will become the standard for a while though.
People aren't content with 8bpp. People don't know jack about pixel depth per channel. People see asinine pricing for 4K and walk away. The industry is caught yearly with price fixing fraud cases, whether they be for RAM, LED/LCD panels, to audio chips, you name it.
Price is the singularity in selling electronics. 4K becoming common allows studios to jump to 8k and beyond. A company that can produce a quality 16bit per channel, 4K Panel for Home Theaters for $1500 at 50" diagonal would own the industry.
Here's the problem: There are how many major panel manufacturers left? LG, Samsung, SHARP [Samsung], Panasonic, SONY, Toshiba, Hitachi, etc
Nice list: http://www.avsforum.com/t/1060466/list-of-lcd-panel-manufactures-the-panel-behind-the-brand
LG, Samsung busted for billions in collusion. SHARP bankrupt, if not for Samsung. And Toshiba is high on crack with this kind of pricing:
Toshiba 84L9300U 84" Class 4K LED TV : List Price $19,999.99 , Current Price: $16,999.99.
They are pricing 4K like they did in 1998 when HDTV true 1080p panels showed up at around $25k and people laughed their asses off. Then we had US Senate hearings and heard about all the sorrow from Manufacturers needing to recoup their R&D, never mind they get tax subsidies.
Sorry, but with the Advent of 4K hitting big in motion pictures and more, these companies better blow up pricing down to sane levels or you will see companies like Apple creating a subsidiary [joint venture] with other big players and producing their own.
FWIW: With 10GbE going in on 3rd party Clone Motherboards for PCs and Thunderbolt 2 out with 20GB on current Intel PC Clones, and later, with most major markets offering 20Mbps-40Mbps never mind 100Mbps FiOS and beyond, you won't have a problem with demand.
Here's the real reality, SONY/Panasonic are releasing 300GB - 1TB Archive Format Disc to replace Blu-Ray means Disc Catalogue Sales will be introduced.
This won't flop. This won't be Blu-Ray all over. Stars Series, on 1 DISC. ALIENS on that same DISC, etc. Studios can create Marvel Release DiSCS, etc.
Edited by mdriftmeyer - 3/16/14 at 4:11am