Originally posted by jimmac
A very different situation. Back then we had a president who screwed up and lied about something he didn't need to.
So the new democratic contender suffered for it.
Now we have a president who seems to make unpopular decisions with a good deal of the voting public and a contender that is growing in popularity all the time.
He didn't suffer. He just didn't win the electoral college.
I go to Polling Reports and see polls breaking both ways but I also know that until Republicans have their convention, with a race as tight as this one is shown to be, that no one should call this race yet. We haven't even had any debates yet for goodness sakes.
Here's a nice link from 2000. CNN tracking poll
It shows pretty much the same trend as today yet we all know what happened.
What we have is a public a little confused about all the outrage being shoveled at them by the left and their accomplices in the media. When Clinton ran for re-election in 1996 his unemployment rate was 5.5% and of course then the economy was "great." Now people are being told 5.5% is terrible. But they probably don't feel terrible.
If I were a democrat at this stage, I would be a little terrified. Kerry, in many ways, appears to be an exact replay of Gore. Kerry is a good party guy. He goes to the right places, shakes the right hands, does what he should. On matters where he could pounce on Bush, he seems to muddle along with answers that seem more rhetorical or plans that basically amount to saying, I'm not Bush and I'll do better.
This is why Kerry hasn't taken many issues from Bush yet. If Kerry had anything that amounted to a clear plan he would do much better. I've said dozens of times that Clinton was the absolute master of this. Whether I disagreed with Clinton or not, his plan was clear.
Jimmac, and I mean this as honestly as I can. Tell me which tax cuts Kerry is going to roll back, and which he is going to keep. Tell me his timeline for Iraq and troop leaving, or action being taken. Tell me what types of programs and credits he is going to use to keep American jobs from being exported. If you can't articulate it, then who can? It is all platitudes. They may be nice platitudes that you readily agree with, but they are not a plan. Now on his site when you dig deep enough, you do find some hard numbers. (sometimes) However the reality is that Kerry never mentions those hard program points. He also never mentions anything he has done in the Senate.
Clinton had proposals you could clearly pitch. $1500 tax credit for the first two years of college. 100,000 officers on the street, etc. We could argue the numbers and program points, but at least he had points! Clinton also hit these points over and over again.
Kerry has had multiple shots at giving people a reason to vote for him. Just like Gore he gets muddled down and can't seem to project a clear plan. My guess is that this is probably because he believes America wouldn't vote for it.