And according to Juan Cole has messed up big time. This time I agree, although Cole is becoming more and more....what's the word ?.....Neutralised, I think should cover it.
Anyway, OBL has released a tape which urges Iraqis not to vote and calling them 'infidels' if they do. It also expresses support for Zarqawi. Leaving aside the fact that absolutely no OBL tape is above suspicion (and this one, as usual, benefits the US greatly) this should make it clear once and for all what the divide in Iraq (and by extension in the WOT) actually is and is not.
For a start it clarifies the fact that Iraqis are massively behind Sistani. And that they have no time for Wahabism and fundamentalism - from Osama, Zarqawi or anyone else.
This however is not the picture we are spoon-fed from the media and not a picture the wingers can assimilate. To them the Iraqi quagmire is a quagmire because of fundie/Wahahbi/Islamist support.
The failure of OBL's latest tape shows this is not the case. It essentially proves that the resistance is just that - a resistance by a civilian population. Obl and Zarqawi are marginalised.
Cole interprets this tape as evidence that OBL is washed up and I agree (assuming that the tape is real - something I am not 100% convinced of) but where does that leave the WOT and Iraq ?
If OBL is finished, if the Iraqis do want democracy (for that is what their rejection of AQ means - what they vote for is a different issue) and if Sistani is a 'man of peace' then really we are very near a real 'mission accomplished'.
So there's no problem. Except there seems still to be. Say it with me: Shi'i Islamic State.
I am coming more and more to consider the possibility that OBL is somehow on the payroll. He seems to intervene at critical times and his interventions, although seeming to work against the US, always in the end work in their favour. So it is here. This is a last ditch attempt to stop Iraqis voting - because they will vote for what the US (and Osama) does not want: a Shi'i government.
Anyway, OBL has released a tape which urges Iraqis not to vote and calling them 'infidels' if they do. It also expresses support for Zarqawi. Leaving aside the fact that absolutely no OBL tape is above suspicion (and this one, as usual, benefits the US greatly) this should make it clear once and for all what the divide in Iraq (and by extension in the WOT) actually is and is not.
For a start it clarifies the fact that Iraqis are massively behind Sistani. And that they have no time for Wahabism and fundamentalism - from Osama, Zarqawi or anyone else.
This however is not the picture we are spoon-fed from the media and not a picture the wingers can assimilate. To them the Iraqi quagmire is a quagmire because of fundie/Wahahbi/Islamist support.
The failure of OBL's latest tape shows this is not the case. It essentially proves that the resistance is just that - a resistance by a civilian population. Obl and Zarqawi are marginalised.
Cole interprets this tape as evidence that OBL is washed up and I agree (assuming that the tape is real - something I am not 100% convinced of) but where does that leave the WOT and Iraq ?
If OBL is finished, if the Iraqis do want democracy (for that is what their rejection of AQ means - what they vote for is a different issue) and if Sistani is a 'man of peace' then really we are very near a real 'mission accomplished'.
So there's no problem. Except there seems still to be. Say it with me: Shi'i Islamic State.
I am coming more and more to consider the possibility that OBL is somehow on the payroll. He seems to intervene at critical times and his interventions, although seeming to work against the US, always in the end work in their favour. So it is here. This is a last ditch attempt to stop Iraqis voting - because they will vote for what the US (and Osama) does not want: a Shi'i government.
What is Faith? When your good deed pleases you and your evil deed grieves you, you are a believer. What is Sin? When a thing disturbs the peace of your heart, give it up - Prophet Muhammad
What is Faith? When your good deed pleases you and your evil deed grieves you, you are a believer. What is Sin? When a thing disturbs the peace of your heart, give it up - Prophet Muhammad







