Originally posted by Tidris
It would be dumb for Apple to release an x86 OSX that didn't include the same useful bundled applications that the PPC OSX includes. Therefore we can count on those Apple apps being available from the start.
This would require a major amount of work, and what would be the return on that investment? Apple would have just walked into the lions den. Go ahead, try and challenge MS on the desktop. Sounds like the same type of moves that saw several CEOs out of Apple. If you remember when Steve came back, he said the desk top wars are over, Windows won. Apple caught a wave with the iPod, the desktop market is not like the MP3 player market at all.
I also would expect Apple to work with commercial developers to ensure a good number of popular applications are ready for x86 OSX on its debut day. You have to keep in mind that making most PPC OSX applications work on x86 OSX should be a trivial matter due to the identical API's and functionality that would be present in both versions in the OS.
When would this be? Not anytime soon, Apple still has a long way to go. Just because they are starting to get back to some respectable numbers of hardware sales does not mean that they are ready to take on MS on the desktop. One thing to remember about MS strategic maneuvers is that they move fast, the courts move slow. Anyone remember the lesson that MS taught Apple with Quicktime? Quicktime movies suddenly got the file extension .qt not the expected .mov this little maneuver cost Apple a few months of work trying to figure out what had went wrong for their windows customers. Don't forget, Apple needs MS and has a good working relationship with them ever since Steve took over.
Since x86 machines far outnumber PPC machines, it would be stupid for PPC OSX developers to pass up the opportunity to dramatically increase the number of software copies they sell. Just like there will eventually be many more Windows iPods than Mac iPods, there would eventually be many more PCs running OSX than PPC machines running OSX.
So the OSX developers would have two small markets to sell and market their software to. Buy our product for Mac OSX Intel and forget that you could get more selections if you were using Windows. I believe that SJ said that sell the Mac OS would cost the hardware makers around $600 for each copy. Apple is hardware and software both. I think that 60% of revenue came from hardware, Apple would be cutting their own throat. They would have the costs of porting and supporting to amortize all the while they would be cutting their own hardware revenue stream. Picture what happens when you lean too far on a ladder, maybe when hardware is less than 25% of total revenue would this be plausible. Also remember that Apple does make 40% of their revenue from software and their customers are used to regular updates, so Apple would have to pay to port their software to x86 and pay to improve their PPC software, this is an expensive battle.
If Apple doesn't release x86 OSX in the near future, x86 LINUX will do to OSX what Windows did to MacOS years ago. Apple can't afford to make the same mistake twice.
Apple would never give up ease of use. Let those guys run Linux on x86, how would Apple compete with them? Cost? No. Ease of use? in some areas yes. The idea that Linux will run over the Mac is far off at best. They have less control than MS over security issues. They are secure because they are obscure, Linux has been cracked before and they will be again. Apple is not ready to fight both Linux and MS, better to let those two fight it out and watch for opportunities. By hook and crook, is how to fight this battle not fight the desktop war that would leave Apple bleeding, and has so many times in the past. The past is the past and like I mentioned before that war is over, MS has won the desktop war. Better to get in the homes a different and better way than declaring war on MS and Linux. Better to team with Sony and work with them to bring appliances into the homes. Hook and crook. Apple needs to have an ally and best to work with them on small but fast growing things first. What if they, Apple and Sony, worked together to bring a multimedia box to the consumer market then later it was endowed with the ability to surf the net and e-mail and chat then later still it gained the ability to edit home movies and burn HD-DVDs. That is a small but fast growing market, and pursuing that would not be entering the desktop wars. Apple and Sony could do great things for this market and make money doing it, going after MS on the desktop would leave them hurting and MS stronger. You can see that MS is already working hard on security, they will catch up, just watch. Now is a time to hook and crook not declare war just because MS is regrouping they can still fight.