Originally posted by Tulkas
Struck me as odd too, if this is the same group. But then, the first round didn't all go off together as seemingly planned. I suppose, if you were putting them together assembly line style, then in any batch, a problem with one might be in all. For instance, they may have got a batch of bad detonators. Or, were over-confident and cut corners in the assembly. Or it was a copy-cat or adherent who didn't follow all the instructions fully and skipped or botched the same portion each time.
According to Scotland Yard, all 4 detonators went off... (hence the loud 'bangs')...with enough force in one instance to rip apart the backpack/rucksack that contained on of the bombs. A detonator exploding with that amount of force definitely should have been easily enough of a shock to fire off main charge of explosives. What failed? Were there any
explosives attached to those detonators? All four bombs of 7/7 went off as (presumably) intended. The chance of just one
bomb failing, when its detonator exploded, seems unlikely. If, for example...the chance of a bomb failing is one in four or 25%...(which is being very generous
)..then the chances of all four failing is about 0.004, or 0.4%, or 1 in 256. Say the chances of a successful detonation failing to set of a main explosive charge is 1 in 10...then the chance of all 4 failing in that manner is 1 in 10,000, or 0.01%.
These probabilities are, of course, wild guesses....but since detonators that explode almost always accomplish their sole job and reason to exis, namely to set off a main charge...then perhaps one conclusion that shouldn't be overlooked....was that there were no explosive charges
attached to any of those bombs. Why not? The bombers' and parent organization (whoever they may be), already having caused a huge casualty count of dead and injured, didn't even have to go as far as using explosives this time...the main effect this time was to twist the already frayed nerves of Londoners a few notches tighter.
Next:Regarding security of soft targets:
Terrorists will always be free to plant and set off bombs etc. etc. against soft targets anyever they wish: It is impossible to stringently police every potential target in the United States, a huge country
, and it would require security forces of *tens of millions* of properly trained people. (This, of course, applies to anywhere on the planet). In the western industrialized world, especially here in the United States, there are so many tens of thousands of soft targets for "the terrorists" to choose, in so many towns and cities, over the last n years. If terrorism was the ever present threat the way it is being sold to us, then "they" could have accomplished any number of attacks in so many places, in an ongoing and regular basis. Shopping malls, trains stations, sports stadiums, hotels, casinos, concert venues, clubs, churches, synagogues, mosques, discos, arcades...,....in fact any places where crowds of people are gathered together...the list is endless. After all....havent we been told that there are "thousands" of al qaeda and related "sleeper cells" all over America, who have blended into mainstream Amerian life..and have been for years before 9-11? How active are these groups, these cells, these alleged evil persons of malintent, whose supposed reason to exist is to destroy western civilization as we know know it?
The fact that international terrorist incidents are extremely rare on the US mainland (there is far more likelihood of being struck by lightning than by a terrorist's bomb).....just goes to show that either these 'al qaeda' etc cells'are not just quiescent, but more likely non-existent, phoney or fabricated, merely a toolforf fear-mongering put upon the people to allow the easy passages of controversial freedom-trashing legislation and other Un-American activities. Apparently, "they" (whoever the hell "they" may be) hate our freedoms
, according to President Bush and company. In the same way, with the passage of their beloved fascistic Patriot Act, which has little chance of preventing determined terrorist bombers against soft targets, but instead trashes so many fundamental American ideals, it looks more as if the Bush crowd hates our freedoms
just as much as the legendary (and probably largely fictitious and fabricated) "Islamic threat".
Perhaps a logical and unappetizing conclusion is that they are co-existing in a mutual and vicious symbiotic hate-fest.