As someone who's seen emergency preparedness planning from the "inside," I feel like I see things very differently than many of you. I work for a city government and have been involved in table-top exercises, crisis communication training, etc. Before we point fingers, we need to look at all the unforeseens that happened in NO.
First, I don't think anyone on the local or state level anticipated a nearly complete failure of communications. I'm not talking about this guy not telling this other guy what he's doing, but the fact that radios, cell phones and telephones ALL went down. In those situations, HAM operators have often been charged with the duty of supplying a communications backbone on which to rely. It sounds to me like they were crippled or non-existent after Katrina moved through. You all have to realize that communications are SO incredibly vital in disasters, and I would say that the majority of response failures occurred because communications were disabled.
Second, I suspect that local and state officials -- after Katrina moved slightly east and downgraded to a Cat 4 -- assumed that the levees were going to hold. Remember that they didn't break until nearly a DAY after Katrina hit landfall. The amount of destruction on Monday was far less significant than the destruction on Tuesday. Call it human nature or bad science, but somebody just got it wrong about the levees.
Dealing with disasters is an interesting beast, because it all goes from the bottom up. Our emergency preparedness manager consistently tell us that if we have a disaster in our city, we need to start getting information to the state. Anything that goes to the federal level has to go through the state first. That's every state in the union. So the NO officials knew that they had certain procedures that they needed to follow. Now for whatever reason, there were delays going from local to state and state to federal.
Without stretching this post out too much longer, I definitely think a lot of good will come out of everything bad that has happened. You have to realize that emergency planners all over the nation plan the best they can for the worst to happen. But very honestly, it's hard to know what the worst could actually be, and you can't drill the worst possible scenario because of logistics, funding, etc. So you get everything you know how to into place and hope your planning was good enough.
And unfortunately this nation has a history of more efficient planning through hindsight. We have to experience something worse to be able to plan better. That's just how things work. It sucks, I know. Funding is still a major issue. It's all well and good to say that we needed to have better plans, but who's paying for it? How MUCH are we willing to devote to planning/preparing for the absolute worst that could happen, even though we don't know if or when it will ever happen again? I'll almost guarantee you that NOBODY spent enough money to plan for this. What happened in NO is not a scenario that local or state emergency planners expect to ever escalate to. It might be something that the feds have provisions for, but folks, this was on the level of an atomic bomb detonation.* It goes back to planning as best you can based on what you know, but even that isn't good enough sometimes.
I GUARANTEE you that emergency planners all over the world will look at this situation and develop better plans for the future based on what we now know. It's cliched to say, but this amount and speed of response won't happen again because we'll be better next time. More funding will be released on all levels of government to take this type of disaster into account and better prepare for it.
* - Speaking of atomic bomb detonations, I would almost guarantee you that the no level of government has enough provisions in place in case of an atomic bomb detonation, let alone multiple detonations. The feds might, but local and state officials are at the mercy of hope that an a-bomb is not going to happen.
Living life in glorious 4G HD (with a 2GB data cap).
Living life in glorious 4G HD (with a 2GB data cap).