Originally Posted by wnurse
Your analysis probably makes sense.. but not lets fool ourselves here. The reason there is no tablet is because apple will not license their OS!!.. Do you think apple is presumptous to predict a third party sales and profit?.. So maybe tablets are not successfull now, that doesn't mean it can't be. Even if a third party would fail, what business is that of apple?. So what if they want to fail?. I think the profitability of any third party is not apple concern right now. Apple main concern is that they will not, under current polycies, license their OS so the profitability (or lack thereof) of a product is a moot point.
I only mentioned third parties because that was part of the previous argument. I don't really think that Apple would license to a third party. But drop that, and stick with Apple. The facts of the numbers remain.
You know, innovation happens for various reasons.. one method of fostering innovation is to allow the marketplace to bring out multiple products secure in the knowledge that some will inevitably fail. Imagine if apple had taken the stance that Mp3 players sucked, so why create one?.. we would never have the ipod!!!. Tablets may very well one day succeed but it takes multiple companies trying often for one to succeed. I suspect what is really happening (and very smart of apple by the way) is that apple is waiting to see if any company would succeed with tablets and then enter the market. I guess they are tired of being the trailblazer in differemt markets only to have MS swoop in late and steal their thunder.. let MS do all the heavy lifting for once. Apple can afford to sit on the sidelines on this technology. Heck, they may decide that some company comes very close and then they swoop in and become a dominant player.. or like you said, the tablet market might never take of and then apple would have saved themselves a bundle. Either way, would be smart strategy to wait it out.
One day. Well, ok. but I won't look to the argument of "one day". Sometime in the near future is about as much as I can handle.
So far, the tablet has been tried at least three times, from what I remember offhand. The Grid was the biggest splash, but MS helped that to fail. Hardware wasn't up to it either. Now it is. But it isn't gaining any traction. Several manufacturers have abandoned it.
I don't think that Apple wants to enter what seems to be a failing market. They really can't afford to.
The situation with MP3 players was completely different. The players were execrable, but the market was growing. Apple was able to come out with a much better product. But, that was mostly software, an area they excell in, style and egonomics, another one of their usual good areas (I said usual!), and hardware.
I really don't see what Apple could do with a tablet. The same technology is available to everyone.
The Macbook is not a lightweight, other companies have Apple beaten around the block with that, and I feel VERY strongly that weight is one of the biggest issues for tablets. They are ALL too heavy. Gateway has one, a convertible, that weighs 8 pounds!!!
Put that on your forearm and write.
If Apple comes out with a 3 pound, or lighter, notebook, then I might think that they have some idea of what a tablet needs. But, I don't think they are interested in either.