Originally Posted by ZachPruckowski
MS's problem is that Vista is so big that adding features causes a lot more problems elsewhere. If Vista adds Leopard features, it'll have a lot more bugs creep up, and it won't come out until early 2008 or so, when everyone is talking about 10.6
Additionally, if Leopard beats Vista, it creams XP. Like lays waste to it. And if users start thinking about XP as "7 year old technology", it's gonna look embarassing for MS. Additionally, XP doesn't have much SMP support - I think it has issues beyond 2-4 cores, if I hear right. It also doesn't have HD-DVD or Blu-Ray support. Microsoft would have to release an SP3 with those features, or OEMs are gonna be shipping PCs that are limited by Windows XP. And 4 cores is coming this Christmas, and will be in mid-range Dells by Q2 2007. If Vista isn't out, than quad-core iMacs or whatever Apple has there will dominate quad-core Windows machines, just because of the superiority of the OS.
Both good comments Zach.
I don't disagree with you at all. I am just being cautious given Microsoft's remarkable success at making Windows a "good enough" copy of Apple's OS to keep serious switching from happening. I just don't want MSFT to be so embarrassed that they abort their current release schedule.
I think Apple's original plan--and in part why they pushed back WWDC this year--was to announce Leopard's features late enough in Vista's development cycle that Microsoft would be stuck and the die cast. MSFT would be embarassed for many years.
But I think Vista has been delayed beyond anyone's expectations, and this makes a window of opportunity for Microsoft--especially if the feature and design gap is wide enough--to simply take the hit and delay Vista. Hell, they can take another year, it's not like the stock is going to go much lower at this point.
Obviously, I am rooting for Apple here. I want either MSFT to be stuck with Vista and Leopard to blow away the market. And my dream scenario is that Leopard is such an epic series of innovation MSFT has no choice but to release what they have and try better with SP6 in two years.
But with all that said, I agree with your points. As I said in my original post, I am being very pessimistic given how lackluster--both in features and in quality--Tiger has been. But I am hoping tomorrow Apple shows us what they are capable of.