$1200+ Cube II is possible. $700 tower not so much. You're converting a $1000-2000 (17"-24") sale to a $700 sale and the possibility of a monitor sale.
Lets see...I can spend:
$699 for a ACD 20" OR $339 for a Dell 2007 WFP (widescreen 20")
$999 for a ACD 23" OR $679 for a Dell 2407 WFP (widescreen 24") OR $1279 for a Dell 3007WFP (widescreen 30").
I don't think that monitor sale is anything close to a sure bet. Even figuring you want to spend another $150 on the eventual iSight 2.0 w/remote.
So the worst case is that you just converted a $2000 x 0.28 or $560 profit into a $700 x 0.25 or $196 profit. Same margins, vastly different revenue stream.
Use $1200 as the average ($336 profit) and you need to sell 1.7 xMacs for every iMac sale cannibalized just to break even (less profit on any monitor sales). If there were a $700 xMac you can pretty much be assured that iMac sales would tank...
AND you STILL have to show that Dell, HP and Gateway are making 16% margins on their $599 base Core 2 Duo boxes to get 28% at $699 ($195 profit of which $100 is pure profit over $599 leaves $95 that needs to be made by the $599 models margin wise...). I suspect that Gateway isn't making $16% on their base DX420 (lowsest end desktop) as their gross margins are in the 7-9% range. Either that or their professional sales like sucked much much worse than believable.
So...850K desktop sales (1.7x500K for simplicity) just to break even and you wonder why this isn't the no-brainer you guys keep saying it is? That's without figuring that some Mac Pro sales get cannibalized too and assuming that Apple can get better margins than Dell, HP and Gateway in that same segment.
Vinea
PS I'm guessin it aint $700 tower customers that will buy ACDs but upper end buyers in the $1200+ price point.
Lets see...I can spend:
$699 for a ACD 20" OR $339 for a Dell 2007 WFP (widescreen 20")
$999 for a ACD 23" OR $679 for a Dell 2407 WFP (widescreen 24") OR $1279 for a Dell 3007WFP (widescreen 30").
I don't think that monitor sale is anything close to a sure bet. Even figuring you want to spend another $150 on the eventual iSight 2.0 w/remote.
So the worst case is that you just converted a $2000 x 0.28 or $560 profit into a $700 x 0.25 or $196 profit. Same margins, vastly different revenue stream.
Use $1200 as the average ($336 profit) and you need to sell 1.7 xMacs for every iMac sale cannibalized just to break even (less profit on any monitor sales). If there were a $700 xMac you can pretty much be assured that iMac sales would tank...
AND you STILL have to show that Dell, HP and Gateway are making 16% margins on their $599 base Core 2 Duo boxes to get 28% at $699 ($195 profit of which $100 is pure profit over $599 leaves $95 that needs to be made by the $599 models margin wise...). I suspect that Gateway isn't making $16% on their base DX420 (lowsest end desktop) as their gross margins are in the 7-9% range. Either that or their professional sales like sucked much much worse than believable.
So...850K desktop sales (1.7x500K for simplicity) just to break even and you wonder why this isn't the no-brainer you guys keep saying it is? That's without figuring that some Mac Pro sales get cannibalized too and assuming that Apple can get better margins than Dell, HP and Gateway in that same segment.
Vinea
PS I'm guessin it aint $700 tower customers that will buy ACDs but upper end buyers in the $1200+ price point.






Let's be realistic, though, and have our examples closer to good business practice. To begin with, very few here would suggest Apple sell a $700 Mac tower. Most seem to argue for a tower being similar in value and performance to the iMac, so it might start at about the $1000 mark and go up from there, with higher performance and better features.