Originally Posted by Markus1982
Sorry, WRONG. Microsoft really wants to sell Vista as a retail box, because thats where they get the biggest margins. But who will really buy this pos called vista, an overpriced and very late service pack to XP? That implies that your 85% have to come mostly from sold pcs with preinstalled vista. Do you really think >80% of all computers will be replaced in 2007?
Again, not my Numbers, these were taken off of Informationweek. Anyways, I can see it happening because 1) I still see flaming idiots who know absolutely nothing about the Mac but hate it as much as they can and 2) There are people, believe it or not, who are looking forward to Vista and 3) Many PCs sold this holiday season came with a Voucher for a Free or Reduced Price upgrade to Vista.
All windows-versions before proved the opposite.Sorry, but as far as i can see, very few Macuser need Windows and install. A few more of the switchers need it temporarily. But I can't see how anyone would buy (BUY!) Vista to install in Bootcamp or Parallels. This will not bring much cash to ballmers hands. And the switchers who feel a little safer in buying a Mac, now that it does windows as well, will soon realize they don't need no more windows.They do desperately. The market is changing. Microsofts only way to get people to use Windows is by preinstalling it on every pc. Hardware vendors are more and more pissed to depend on a crappy outdated and slow system.
You know something, I thought this too, but I am surprised by the number of Mac Users I see who do use Boot Camp and/or Parallels. Anyways, you assume that Windows PC Manufacturers can easily drop Windows. The problem with that theory would be simple ignorance on the part of the public. Many people buy PCs just to play games, which is odd considering the Console market is a much better place to look in my opinion, and on the other hand, businesses use and rely on Windows. Microsoft owns the Enterprise market, and that is good for no one.
I think in the next 5-10 years most hardware companys like hp and dell will use linux-distros with their own window-manager and gui to give people a better experience and have more control like Apple does. I strongly belief Microsofts management is scared to death by this -- or they don't even see this yet coming.
HP is currently the largest Linux computer manufacturer, and that's not a very large market for them. Lenovo is sticking Linux on their notebooks, but so far it's only experimentation. If the market proves large enough, then yeah this will happen. But it's literally impossible to go from 95% of the market one minute, to nothing the next because of Linux. Given time, Linux could probably dominate, but people are predicting OpenSolaris will surpass Linux in the community, and personally I don't see anything all that great about Linux outside of the Server market. The Ecosystem that I see whenever I glance at Linux kind of sucks. I could be wrong, and I haven't dropped the money for Parallels to try Linux yet, but it's already complicated just when you start out. What distro should you get, GNOME or KDE, so on and so forth. There is also the slight problem that many people don't bother with Linux or Mac, even if they don't like Windows because they don't want to learn something new, or the other slight problem that some don't know about the Mac or about Linux.
I apologize for my bad english. I'm not a native speaker. But I know what I'm talking about, concerning computer history and the market.
No apology needed, I got your message clear
I'm sure you probably know the market better then I, but before proving me wrong, make sure I'm the one to prove wrong. I know Vista will be a success because Microsoft dominates the market, the reality of that sucks, but so do the people who hate the Macintosh for no good reason. I don't even think Microsoft is Apple's true enemy, they compete in the OS arena but it's not even a fair comparison because the only one who makes the Mac is Apple. Meanwhile there is a Garden Variety of Microsoft OEMs, and that is where Apple's true competition lies as a hardware company. It's not about beating Microsoft, it's about beating Dell or HP.