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Originally Posted by
SDW2001 
Militarily speaking, such plans would be futile. Iran cannot withstand a US attack.
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Originally Posted by
Fran441 
Iran might not be able to withstand a US attack, but then again, neither could Iraq or Afghanistan, yet we're still bogged down in both countries.

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Well, exactly. It's so ironic that our military might becomes almost useless when faced with third-world guerrilla tactics - suicide bombers and road-side IEDs. I think I read a few years ago that because of the nature of these current wars, our special forces capabilities had been greatly expanded.
Really, special forces troops would be the best choice for rooting out guerrilla-style insurgencies. Sounds like 'that' is actually being done, according to the article I quoted above, with special forces units kidnapping high-level Iranian Revolutionary guard operatives.
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Originally Posted by
Fran441 
The thought of yet another military conflict has me not only concerned, but scared. I mean, you can almost hear the sigh in his voice when the Secretary of Defense says something to the effect of, "Yeah, I guess we could do another war despite the fact that our Armed Forces are already stretched so thin in Iraq and Afghanistan". If there is any lesson to be learned from both of these wars, it's that you can't underestimate the number of troops you will need to win the war.
[snip]
The same is true with Iraq, we didn't have enough troops on the ground to get the job done and it allowed the insurgency to survive. The fact that the majority of the weapons that the 'insurgents' have were taken from Iraqi army ammo dumps that we seized in the first days of the war and didn't have enough troops to defend them speaks volumes about the need to have enough boots on the ground when we start.
I agree completely. In the first Iraq war, basically run by the generals, the coalition had overwhelming force, and were fighting a mostly conventional war against a conventional army. For this second Iraq war, it didn't help that the 4th Infantry Division was held up in the harbor in Turkey and wasn't permitted to debark. The loss of those forces, coupled with Rumsfeld's general desire to 'go light' with the number of troops in Baghdad and elsewhere, spelled disaster for a successful outcome from the very beginning.
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Now we're talking war with Iran and we already know that there we don't have enough troops to get the job done right in a timely manner. Are we going to have a draft to boost our miliatry's numbers? If not, what would we do if a crisis developed elsewhere in the world? What if Pakistan's government fell apart and Islamic radicals took over? Then we'd have to deal with an Islamic state that we know has nuclear weapons. What if China decided to invade Taiwan or North Korea decided to attack South Korea? What if the Saudi government was overthrown? These things aren't out of the realm of possibility.
Yes, any and all of these things should be planned for. I think the whole Pakistan scenario is the scariest and most volatile, because all that needs to fall is *one* domino - Musharraf - and then god knows what will happen.
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Hopefully diplomacy will work and get these British soldiers back home soon. The last thing we want right now is yet another front in the 'war on terror'.
I don't think Ahmadinejad is interested in diplomacy. He's basically a thug, and these sailors will be used to get what he wants in an international extortion scheme.
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Originally Posted by
SDW2001 
I hear you, but your entire post is predicated on the notion that attacking Iran would look like Iraq in terms of what we'd do. I would not forsee a ground invasion of any kind. We'd likely perform a massive air operation aimed at their nuclear, dual-use and military facilities/assets.
Yeah, I agree. I haven't checked lately, but don't we still have three carrier groups in the middle east right now?