Originally Posted by GregoriusM
Will the iPod actually see a loss of momentum? If it has a screen like the iPhone and is based on OS X, I only see that as an upside and the numbers will increase.
I think that the iPod will be a strong runner for Apple for years to come. Think of it, along with AppleTV, the iPhone, and the Mac along with the word convergence, and I think the iPod is around for a long, long time.
We can only go by what we know. The analysts are in the same boat. If they make wild guesses, they can be stuck, unless they are lucky. We don't have millions riding on what we say, so we can be freer.
I'm a bit conservative, so sometimes I get into trouble here with those who only want to think majorly good thoughts.
If, and when we see an iPod based on OS X, with a large hi-rez screen, coverflow, WiFi, etc, then things will be different. But, until we do see them we can't say.
Right now, the 5G's are eclipsed by the iPhone. Yes, I know the argument that there isn't enough storage. But, few people who buy a 5G use much of it. I can see a large number wanting to buy the next bragging rights device instead—the iPhone.
Jobs has acknowledged this, so it's not an odd thought.
You can bet that a large part of the thinking at Apple was just how much the phones would cannibalize the iPods, not whether.
But, if you can get 100 thousand people buying a 5 or 6 hundred dollar device instead of a $350 device, then you're in manufacturers heaven. If the tales about the kickbacks, er, fees, are true, then you can bet Apple wants people to buy phones instead of iPods!