Originally Posted by Riptide
SMS is not going away any time soon. It's growing. Apple might do well to support their admitted retail focus with functionality that the broader market needs.
For my money, that's IM and email. I can do much *MUCH* more with those than with SMS and MMS... that I have to pay heavily for.
You do realize that a 160char SMS msg has about 1/50 of the data sent by one second of voice, right? So why the charge? It's just data, after all.
Give me an unlimited data plan, IM, and email, and I really could not care less about messaging. It's limited, expensive, and last decade's interesting technology.
Can I IM to SMS phones? Yup. I know several people who have IM accounts feeding their SMS phones, and vice-versa. No problems there.
Can I email to MMS phones? Yup. Again, I know many people who have this set up. I simply email to <their number>@<their carrier>. Done. Some of them can route to an outgoing gateway, some can't. Those who can't, well, I can wait until they get home.
So if IM > SMS, and email > MMS, why bother with the expensive, outdated, limited technology, other than as a stopgap to get people on the train that actually matters?
Oh right... because the phone companies have convinced people that they *need* it so badly they're willing to bend over for it. No thanks.
One industry report (by Portio Research) in July of this year stated that by 2012 global SMS revenues will reach US$67 billion driven by 3.7 trillion messages. Apple might want to think again. I email, I also IM and I text. Texting does not require my recipient to be online, or to have a phone that receives email.
Texting is a closed ecosystem. Closed ecosystems die when faced with an open ecosystem that does more. This is just how it goes. They will die. Maybe sooner, maybe later, but SMS and MMS will go the way of CompuServe eventually, and be replaced by IM and email. I give it 4-5 years before the majority of phones are IM/email enabled by default.
Why should Apple 'think again' when they're not going to see a penny of that revenue? The only companies who care about texting are the carriers, because they're making money hand over fist for... nothing. The carriers are on their way to just being ISPs once people realize the racket... and frankly, that's all they should be. Phones with greatly improved functionality will, I would hope, wake people up a bit, to how their wallets are getting picked.
The vast majority of new phones purchased worldwide contain just voice and SMS. In fact, Potio Research made the claim that "every five minutes now and over the next six years 2,267 people will purchase their first mobile phone that will likely only include standard voice and SMS service".
Yes, and they'll have a much more limited functionality. Most carriers provide for IM/SMS and email/MMS gateways for those who need them in the transition.
I know you have a very different take on this, and that's fine, but phone messaging is a dying technology, in that it has been overtaken and surpassed by IM and email. There will likely be a market for SMS only phones for a few years, but really... even the dumbest cell phone hardware these days should be capable of running a simple Jabber client. It's not rocket science. Demand more from your carriers than a closed, limited, expensive infrastructure.
I'll take a wild stab here and state that every single one of these devices will permit the users to text to multiple recipients.
Sadonecrobestiality. We heard you the first time. Has Apple?
To be clear, I don't think anyone here is arguing against multiple recipients being added. I'm certainly not. What I'm saying is that the long-term big-picture goal is nothing short of breaking the carrier stranglehold, just like iTunes Store kicked the major labels in the crotch. Eliminating SMS, MMS, and other expensive, limited technologies, and replacing them with open protocols such as Jabber and IMAP, is just common sense from the consumer's perspective. Everyone will get a lot farther along. Demand more.