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Preemptive Attack on Sept. Surge Report: Part II - Page 3

post #81 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by @_@ Artman View Post

Again, show me the the world intelligence community information or agreements that he had WMD

Still no word from the Kurdish Intelligence Service on WMDs. \
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post #82 of 685
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by @_@ Artman View Post

Nothing will change the fact that you are a total moron either on this issue.

Again, show me the the world intelligence community information or agreements that he had WMD (and don't forget Poland). What are you talking about? The coalition of the willing? Give me a break. The reason you fail in this argument is that you never cite or source your arguments or statements. Because there aren't any. Go watch an Eagles game or something.


Excellent personal attack. Have fun with the infraction you get.
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post #83 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

Excellent personal attack. Have fun with the infraction you get.

Oh teacher, teacher spank me!
post #84 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

Excellent personal attack. Have fun with the infraction you get.

God! What a double standard!

Like you've never done anything like this!
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post #85 of 685
Thread Starter 
Back to topic:

Now the report is being called "The Bush Report."

Quote:
"The Bush report?" Senate Majority Whip Richard J. Durbin said when asked about the upcoming report from Gen. Petraeus, U.S. commander in Iraq.

"We know what is going to be in it. It's clear. I think the president's trip over to Iraq makes it very obvious," the Illinois Democrat said. "I expect the Bush report to say, 'The surge is working. Let's have more of the same.' "

The top Democrats — Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of California — also referred to the general's briefing as the "Bush report."

http://washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs...109060064/1001

Obviously the article is slanted to the right, but it still rings true. The preemptive attack continues. It's a transparent strategy, and the best evidence thus far that the surge is working. The Dems need a political strategy to deal with the situation. They fought the surge tooth and nail, investing themselves in its supposed inevitable failure.

But the most disgusting comment at all was Schumer's:

Quote:
“And let me be clear: the violence in Anbar has gone down despite the surge, not because of the surge!”....

....The inability of American soldiers to protect these tribes from Al-Qaeda said to these tribes, "We have to fight Al-Qaeda ourselves." It wasn't that the surge brought peace here. It was that the warlords took peace here, created a temporary peace here.

(emphasis added)

Wow. That is a direct attack on the US military if I've ever heard one. So basically the troops fighting on the ground are incompetent. I see.

In my opinion the Dems are setting themselves up for a colossal political disaster here. Because they invested so heavily in defeat in Iraq and against the surge itself, they must now try to justify that position in the face of military success. We've heard that there is no "political solution" despite the military progress. Of course, prior to that a political solutuon wasn't possible due to security situation. Gotcha, folks. And finally..the Petraeus report, which has yet to be given, is now written by Bush....correction..that lying scumbag...all to better his party's political fortunes.

It's sickening. And I don't think that it's going to fly for them this time.
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post #86 of 685
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmac View Post

God! What a double standard!

Like you've never done anything like this!

And what applies to me should apply to him, no?
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post #87 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

BThe preemptive attack continues. It's a transparent strategy, and the best evidence thus far that the surge is working. The Dems need a political strategy to deal with the situation. They fought the surge tooth and nail, investing themselves in its supposed inevitable failure.

Let me see if I follow this logic, then:

For much of the War in Iraq, the Bush administration has used what they called "rolling deployments."

And then public opinion started to seriously fail on both Bush and the War in Iraq, and large numbers of people started thinking that we need to start pulling out of Iraq.

But the Bush admin doesn't want to pull out of Iraq, even though it's clearly a lost cause, so monumentally botched that recently it was recommended that we disband the police force and start over. So monumentally botched that if the Bush admin pulls out now, it'll tarnish his legacy and send the GOP down in even worse flames than it's currently covered in. So monumentally botched that we have to stay in until someone else is in power and THAT person (hopefully a Defeatocrat) can pull the plug on the thing.

So they rebranded the "rolling deployments" as "Teh Surge" like some fucking caffeinated soda and said "OK. Let's surge for a while, even though it's what we've been doing all along. And we'll let the surge work."

And so we surged. And it looked like it wasn't working, and so we were all told that Teh Surge wasn't finished yet and we all just need to hold our horses and not rush to judgment until TehSurge was complete. 4-6 months.

And then 4-6 months started rolling around and there were lots of US casualties. That's a sign that Teh Surge is working, we were told. More casualties = Good News.

Additionally, fewer casualties also indicates that Teh Surge is working, so, you know, either way is Good News.

And then, you know, because the Bush Admin likes to follow the rules and be transparent, they hired a War Tsar.

But no one ever, ever, heard from him again.

And then they found Gen Patronum, who was a super-duper smart guy and everyone liked him and he was going to go to Iraq and, you know, kick the tires and see if the surge was working and write a report.

Except he wasn't going to write a report. The White House was going to write a report.

And the White House likes Teh Surge because they don't want to pull out of Iraq, even though it's clearly a lost cause, so monumentally botched that recently it was recommended that we disband the police force and start over. So monumentally botched that if the Bush admin pulls out now, it'll tarnish his legacy and send the GOP down in even worse flames than it's currently covered in. So monumentally botched that we have to stay in until someone else is in power and THAT person (hopefully a Defeatocrat) can pull the plug on the thing.

And so we surged. And it looked like it wasn't working, and so we were all told that Teh Surge wasn't finished yet and we all just need to hold our horses and not rush to judgment until Teh Surge was complete. 4-6 months.

And the next thing you know, it's November 2008!
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post #88 of 685
Señor midwinter, I must congratulate your use of patronum in that post. Sweeeeeeet!

In reality though, Iraq has been a practical reintroduction to world affairs for too many people, and too few are willing to set aside short-term political gains to admit it.

In our desire to impose form on the world we have lost the capacity to see the form that is there;
and in that lies not liberation but alienation, the cutting off from things as they really are. --...

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In our desire to impose form on the world we have lost the capacity to see the form that is there;
and in that lies not liberation but alienation, the cutting off from things as they really are. --...

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post #89 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

And what applies to me should apply to him, no?


Yes but when have you ever stopped or even slowed down?

Frankly you've said much worse.
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post #90 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

Typical bullshit obfuscation. You're burying the overall point by focusing on smaller ones. I'm sure there was lying. I'm sure there were inaccuracies. But the judgement of the world intelligence community was that Saddam had weapons. And nothing you can say will change that fact.

Look SDW I gave you the address of a site to reference what happen leading up lto the war and you didn't like it. You said it was an " Antiwar site " questioning it's crediability. However everything they list there has referrences so if you don't believe it because it's printed there on their site you can go look it up for youself. And you still didn't like it!

It's clear to me that you're someone who believes what they want and refuses to look at the facts.

Well SDW that's not going to change what's coming and I'm sure even after we're gone from Iraq you'll still remember the glory days ( just like some consevatives remember Vietnam ) " If we had just stayed a little longer......".


By the way acccording to the inspectors they didn't think Saddam had anything. You know the guys actually there to investigate the situation. Bush just wasn't listening.
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post #91 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

Typical bullshit obfuscation. You're burying the overall point by focusing on smaller ones. I'm sure there was lying. I'm sure there were inaccuracies. But the judgement of the world intelligence community was that Saddam had weapons. And nothing you can say will change that fact.

And the more you keep repeating it, the more "fact" it becomes, right?

It's a fact? It's a FACT!?

The prove it to me.

I've already proven to you otherwise, in another thread... you know with LINKS and REFERENCES?

The FACT was that there was no such agreement.

The only "fact" that you've presented is that you confuse the concept of "fact" with "conjecture".
post #92 of 685
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwinter View Post

Let me see if I follow this logic, then:

For much of the War in Iraq, the Bush administration has used what they called "rolling deployments."

And then public opinion started to seriously fail on both Bush and the War in Iraq, and large numbers of people started thinking that we need to start pulling out of Iraq.

But the Bush admin doesn't want to pull out of Iraq, even though it's clearly a lost cause, so monumentally botched that recently it was recommended that we disband the police force and start over. So monumentally botched that if the Bush admin pulls out now, it'll tarnish his legacy and send the GOP down in even worse flames than it's currently covered in. So monumentally botched that we have to stay in until someone else is in power and THAT person (hopefully a Defeatocrat) can pull the plug on the thing.

So they rebranded the "rolling deployments" as "Teh Surge" like some fucking caffeinated soda and said "OK. Let's surge for a while, even though it's what we've been doing all along. And we'll let the surge work."

Stop right there. The "surge" was not what we were doing at all. First, there were more troops in the field. Secondly, the rules of engagement and types of missions undertaken changed considerably. More focus was put on direct population protection and hunting down insurgents. So claiming things are the same in patently false.

Quote:

And so we surged. And it looked like it wasn't working, and so we were all told that Teh Surge wasn't finished yet and we all just need to hold our horses and not rush to judgment until TehSurge was complete. 4-6 months.

It didn't look like it wasn't working unless you evaluated it before it actually got going. It wasn't up to strength until later June. Within a month or so things were improving. The problem is congressional dems and people like yourself started assailing the strategy as failed before it even took effect.

Quote:

And then 4-6 months started rolling around and there were lots of US casualties. That's a sign that Teh Surge is working, we were told. More casualties = Good News.

The surge has only been operating for about 3 months. It was announced last winter, but it didn't really start until June. That's when the changes were truly implemented. Us casualties did result from direct confrontations with the enemy, but the number was not dramatically increased. In any case, they were never portrayed as "good." They were to be expected in battle. Duh.

Quote:

Additionally, fewer casualties also indicates that Teh Surge is working, so, you know, either way is Good News.

Well, there have been fewer casualties and far fewer attacks. That IS good news.

Quote:

And then, you know, because the Bush Admin likes to follow the rules and be transparent, they hired a War Tsar.

But no one ever, ever, heard from him again.

Now that I agree with. I don't like the War Czar idea.

Quote:

And then they found Gen Patronum, who was a super-duper smart guy and everyone liked him and he was going to go to Iraq and, you know, kick the tires and see if the surge was working and write a report.

Except he wasn't going to write a report. The White House was going to write a report.

Bullshit. It will be his report. The recommendations will come from the military. Shit...you're worse than Schumer.

Quote:

And the White House likes Teh Surge because they don't want to pull out of Iraq, even though it's clearly a lost cause, so monumentally botched that recently it was recommended that we disband the police force and start over. So monumentally botched that if the Bush admin pulls out now, it'll tarnish his legacy and send the GOP down in even worse flames than it's currently covered in. So monumentally botched that we have to stay in until someone else is in power and THAT person (hopefully a Defeatocrat) can pull the plug on the thing.

Well, I know this. If we give up and pull out, that's a sure as hell way to have it be a lost cause. The problem with your logic here though is the assumption that the new troops levels and tactics really haven't worked. But they have. Clearly, they have. As I've said, despite high hopes I was not so sure the surge was going to work at all. But it has.

Quote:

And so we surged. And it looked like it wasn't working, and so we were all told that Teh Surge wasn't finished yet and we all just need to hold our horses and not rush to judgment until Teh Surge was complete. 4-6 months.

And the next thing you know, it's November 2008!

Is it finished yet? And why will you not take the word of the unanimously confirmed commander?

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmac View Post

Yes but when have you ever stopped or even slowed down?

Frankly you've said much worse.

You can't justify his behavior based on any of my past comments. If I get infractions and bannings, so should he. That's all I'm saying.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmac View Post

Look SDW I gave you the address of a site to reference what happen leading up lto the war and you didn't like it. You said it was an " Antiwar site " questioning it's crediability. However everything they list there has referrences so if you don't believe it because it's printed there on their site you can go look it up for youself. And you still didn't like it!

I didn't question it's credibility. I said it had an anti-war Point of View. That's fine, but such a POV must be acknowledged when reading something. You're trying to pass it off as a totally neutral timeline of events. It's not. I'm not saying anything is directly fabricated. It's just the POV and your ignoring of it. I already demonstrated how easy it is to come up with something that says the exact opposite it does...using quotes from that site itself. POV is everything.

Quote:

It's clear to me that you're someone who believes what they want and refuses to look at the facts.

Pot to Kettle: You're Black!

Quote:

Well SDW that's not going to change what's coming and I'm sure even after we're gone from Iraq you'll still remember the glory days ( just like some consevatives remember Vietnam ) " If we had just stayed a little longer......".

I honestly have no idea what the statement means from beginning to end. Specifically:

1. What's coming?
2. Why is it coming?
3. What are "the glory days"
4. Are the "glory days" in Iraq, the US, Vietnam?

Quote:

By the way acccording to the inspectors they didn't think Saddam had anything. You know the guys actually there to investigate the situation. Bush just wasn't listening.

Do you just have a hat full of rhetorical points that you pick out of?

1. The point of weapons inspections is not to catch a country in a lie. They are there to verify the disarming of the nation, [i]with that nation's cooperation.

2. The inspectors were not given access to sites, making such a statement of "he didn't have anything not credible."

3. Resolution 1441 was not about finding hidden weapons. It was about full compliance. There is not a person on this Earth that can claim Saddam fully complied.


Quote:
Originally Posted by tonton View Post

And the more you keep repeating it, the more "fact" it becomes, right?

It's a fact? It's a FACT!?

The prove it to me.

I've already proven to you otherwise, in another thread... you know with LINKS and REFERENCES?

The FACT was that there was no such agreement.

The only "fact" that you've presented is that you confuse the concept of "fact" with "conjecture".

I suppose Russia knew nothing of this?

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1064644/posts

Russia also provided the Iraqis with intel on our troop movements. Look it up yourself. the point? Russia and Iraq were allies.

And again...what about the Israelis? Oh...now THEY...they're politically motivated! At BARE minimum, the US, UK and Israel thought Saddam had weapons. Those are three major world powers. Oh wait, here's another:

From Globalsecurity.org:


Quote:
An investigation into Australia's intelligence agencies has cleared the government of allegations that it manipulated information to justify its involvement in the war against Iraq. The inquiry report did, however, criticize the work of the country's intelligence agencies.

Hmm. That's four countries. Oh, and back to Russia:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/5247350.stm


Seems we're selling lots of stuff to Iran. Of course, Iraq was different right? I mean, it's not like Russia was giving WMD materials and military equipment to Iraq, right?

From Newsmax:

Quote:
Russian Chemical Weapons in Iraq

Iraq did most of its WMD killing using Russian-made MiG and Sukhoi aircraft equipped with chemical sprayers. In addition, Saddam used French-made artillery and helicopters to dump gas on Iranian troops and Iraqi Kurds.

Iraq obtained Russian delivery systems and the same inventory of Russian-made chemical weapons at the same time. Iraqi SU-22 Fitter attack jets were armed with Warsaw Pact-designed bombs filled with chemical weapons. Iraq used these Russian jet fighters to drop chemical weapons on Iranian troops during the Iran-Iraq war.

Iraq tried to use these SU-22 jets during the 1991 Gulf War, but they were detected and destroyed on the ground before they could launch a deadly chemical attack.

Other Russian weapons found with chemical weapons include the FROG-7 missile, 122 mm rockets, 152 mm artillery and the M-1937 82 mm mortars. All the Iraqi artillery missiles, rockets, shells and mortar rounds filled with chemical weapons are of Russian design.

Iraqi forces were trained by Russians in the use of chemical weapons and equipped by Russia with anti-chemical suits. The Iraqi armed forces were trained, equipped and supplied with the proper logistics to perform chemical warfare by Russia.

But yeah..you're right. No "agreement."
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post #93 of 685
Guys, like it or not, real or imagined WMD, Iraq had sanctions imposed on it -- and kept in place -- for possessing WMD.

Tens of thousands of children died from sanctions, and Madeleine Albright assured us it was all for a good cause; there's simply no wiggle room there.

In our desire to impose form on the world we have lost the capacity to see the form that is there;
and in that lies not liberation but alienation, the cutting off from things as they really are. --...

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In our desire to impose form on the world we have lost the capacity to see the form that is there;
and in that lies not liberation but alienation, the cutting off from things as they really are. --...

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post #94 of 685
SDW2001:



post #95 of 685
What Bush's "fools" don't seem to grasp is why trust the same fools to fix the problem that caused the problem.
A forum I visit has had a thread since the beginning of the so called War against Terror and it's 248 pages long.

The consensus is, except for a few fools is this,
Quote:
It also boggles the mind that after all of the demonstrated incompetence of this administration, there are still a group of people that think this administration knows what it's doing and is willing to continue giving them chances to fuck it up.

I wonder how wrong this would have to go before they actually said, "You know what, maybe these guys are fucking idiots, ergo, continuing to support them makes me a fucking idiot as well."

Of course sending in more troops will have an effect.
Of course giving Sunnis weapons and money to fight other insurgents helps.

But what happens when the Sunnis run out of "enemies" to kill.
Who's left, the Occupiers that were in the crosshairs, and The Shia.

Armed and funded by the US.
Sound familiar?
post #96 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

Stop right there. The "surge" was not what we were doing at all.

Hrm. This looks awfully surge-like:



We have a bunch of troops, then we have fewer troops, then we have a bunch of troops, then we have fewer troops. Let's call these pre-teh surge surges, shall we? Thanks.

Quote:
First, there were more troops in the field.

Prove it.

Quote:
Secondly, the rules of engagement and types of missions undertaken changed considerably.

Prove it.

Quote:
More focus was put on direct population protection and hunting down insurgents.

So remind me, then. What the hell were 140K troops doing BEFORE they were hunting insurgents and protecting the population?

Quote:
So claiming things are the same in patently false.

OKOK! I GIVE IN TO THE AWESOME POWER OF YOUR EVIDENCE!

Quote:
It didn't look like it wasn't working unless you evaluated it before it actually got going. It wasn't up to strength until later June. Within a month or so things were improving.

What "things" were improving, specifically? Bodycounts? The point of Teh Surge was to provide space for the Malaki government to work. It hasn't. The point of Teh Surge was to help NOT fail to meet 15 of the 18 benchmarks.

Quote:
The problem is congressional dems and people like yourself started assailing the strategy as failed before it even took effect.

Bah. The problem is that congressional dems and people like me saw it for what it was: a re-branding of the same old failed strategy that was entirely designed to drag this out (just wait a few more months!) and banking on the idea that NO ONE ANYWHERE would say "OK. I waited a few more months and Iraq is still broken. NOW WHAT?"

No, wait. The problem is the Dems are too much of pussies to cut off funding for this abortion of a War. The other problem is that, for some reason, the 27% of Americans who think Bush is Teh Awesome (like you), will continue to carry water for them.

Like now.

Quote:
The surge

You mean Teh Surge. And when it doesn't work, I'm sure we'll have Teh Surge II: Electric Boogaloo; or, the same old thing with a new name. Maybe the War Tsar will be involved!

Quote:
has only been operating for about 3 months. It was announced last winter, but it didn't really start until June. That's when the changes were truly implemented.

Great. How long until I know it's worked? When do we get to see Teh Working? Because, you know, while I'm sure that you have utter, utter confidence that President Clinton will continue The Surge indefinitely once she assumes the job, I'd like to know what, precisely, a working surge looks like. Because if this is it? Man. We need a new Surge. Surge Extreme?

Quote:
Us casualties did result from direct confrontations with the enemy, but the number was not dramatically increased. In any case, they were never portrayed as "good." They were to be expected in battle. Duh.

Bah. We were flatly told that Teh Surge would find new and inventive ways for our kids to get killed and that then getting killed was evidence of them Surging. And if they're getting killed, Teh Surge is working because we're taking "the fight to the enemy."

And before you can even come back with that nonsense about casualties dropping by half, here. Read something good.

Quote:
Well, there have been fewer casualties and far fewer attacks. That IS good news.

Aw, shit. See above.

Quote:
Now that I agree with. I don't like the War Czar idea.

Yes, you do.

Quote:
Bullshit. It will be his report. The recommendations will come from the military. Shit...you're worse than Schumer.

No. It WON'T be his report. He testifies before congress. The Admin writes the report.

Quote:
Well, I know this. If we give up and pull out, that's a sure as hell way to have it be a lost cause.

IT IS ALREADY A LOST CAUSE. It has been a lost cause since we disbanded the Iraqi military.

Quote:
The problem with your logic here though is the assumption that the new troops levels and tactics really haven't worked.

My assumption? Where was that again?

Quote:
But they have. Clearly, they have.

Ah. I see. Again, I AM CLEARLY DEFEATED BY THE POWER OF YOUR EVIDENCE HERE.

Quote:
As I've said, despite high hopes I was not so sure the surge was going to work at all. But it has.

Jesus, I'd hate to see what an unmitigated failure looks like in your world.

Quote:
Is it finished yet?

Ooh! An Intelligent Design question! Lemme look through my ID debate notes...

yup. Got it. Here's the appropriate response:

When does it finish, again?

Quote:
And why will you not take the word of the unanimously confirmed commander?

Because I heard that he hates the baby Jesus.
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post #97 of 685
Jeez. Now there's no written report at all.
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post #98 of 685
Good news in Iraq is bad news for Democrats. It must suck to be invested so heavily in the defeat of your own country... so much so that you have to spike any good news you know might be in the pipeline.

These people will do anything to achieve their own power. Shame on them.
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post #99 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jubelum View Post

Good news in Iraq is bad news for Democrats. It must suck to be invested so heavily in the defeat of your own country... so much so that you have to spike any good news you know might be in the pipeline.

These people will do anything to achieve their own power. Shame on them.

Well, that takes care of the US - just wondering how you explain the rest of the world....

Oh, wait, just got the memo....they don't count....carry on.....
What is Faith? When your good deed pleases you and your evil deed grieves you, you are a believer. What is Sin? When a thing disturbs the peace of your heart, give it up - Prophet Muhammad
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What is Faith? When your good deed pleases you and your evil deed grieves you, you are a believer. What is Sin? When a thing disturbs the peace of your heart, give it up - Prophet Muhammad
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post #100 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jubelum View Post

Good news in Iraq is bad news for Democrats. It must suck to be invested so heavily in the defeat of your own country... so much so that you have to spike any good news you know might be in the pipeline.

These people will do anything to achieve their own power. Shame on them.

Ooh! This looks fun! Let me try!

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and care more about party victory over the national interest.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and think politics is a game even when untold thousands are dying every month.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and know in the back of your head that Iraq is broken and we broke it but furiously try to spin anything to make it look like it's not because you care more about looking like you're right than actually being right.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and be so frustrated by the failures of the botched war and the incompetent administration that you have to describe people who want to save soldiers' from death in an endless and senseless conflict as "invested . . . in the defeat of your own country."
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post #101 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwinter View Post

Ooh! This looks fun! Let me try!

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and care more about party victory over the national interest.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and think politics is a game even when untold thousands are dying every month.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and know in the back of your head that Iraq is broken and we broke it but furiously try to spin anything to make it look like it's not because you care more about looking like you're right than actually being right.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and be so frustrated by the failures of the botched war and the incompetent administration that you have to describe people who want to save soldiers' from death in an endless and senseless conflict as "invested . . . in the defeat of your own country."

Well Said!
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post #102 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

Stop right there. The "surge" was not what we were doing at all. First, there were more troops in the field. Secondly, the rules of engagement and types of missions undertaken changed considerably. More focus was put on direct population protection and hunting down insurgents. So claiming things are the same in patently false.



It didn't look like it wasn't working unless you evaluated it before it actually got going. It wasn't up to strength until later June. Within a month or so things were improving. The problem is congressional dems and people like yourself started assailing the strategy as failed before it even took effect.



The surge has only been operating for about 3 months. It was announced last winter, but it didn't really start until June. That's when the changes were truly implemented. Us casualties did result from direct confrontations with the enemy, but the number was not dramatically increased. In any case, they were never portrayed as "good." They were to be expected in battle. Duh.



Well, there have been fewer casualties and far fewer attacks. That IS good news.



Now that I agree with. I don't like the War Czar idea.



Bullshit. It will be his report. The recommendations will come from the military. Shit...you're worse than Schumer.



Well, I know this. If we give up and pull out, that's a sure as hell way to have it be a lost cause. The problem with your logic here though is the assumption that the new troops levels and tactics really haven't worked. But they have. Clearly, they have. As I've said, despite high hopes I was not so sure the surge was going to work at all. But it has.



Is it finished yet? And why will you not take the word of the unanimously confirmed commander?



You can't justify his behavior based on any of my past comments. If I get infractions and bannings, so should he. That's all I'm saying.



I didn't question it's credibility. I said it had an anti-war Point of View. That's fine, but such a POV must be acknowledged when reading something. You're trying to pass it off as a totally neutral timeline of events. It's not. I'm not saying anything is directly fabricated. It's just the POV and your ignoring of it. I already demonstrated how easy it is to come up with something that says the exact opposite it does...using quotes from that site itself. POV is everything.



Pot to Kettle: You're Black!



I honestly have no idea what the statement means from beginning to end. Specifically:

1. What's coming?
2. Why is it coming?
3. What are "the glory days"
4. Are the "glory days" in Iraq, the US, Vietnam?



Do you just have a hat full of rhetorical points that you pick out of?

1. The point of weapons inspections is not to catch a country in a lie. They are there to verify the disarming of the nation, [i]with that nation's cooperation.

2. The inspectors were not given access to sites, making such a statement of "he didn't have anything not credible."

3. Resolution 1441 was not about finding hidden weapons. It was about full compliance. There is not a person on this Earth that can claim Saddam fully complied.




I suppose Russia knew nothing of this?

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1064644/posts

Russia also provided the Iraqis with intel on our troop movements. Look it up yourself. the point? Russia and Iraq were allies.

And again...what about the Israelis? Oh...now THEY...they're politically motivated! At BARE minimum, the US, UK and Israel thought Saddam had weapons. Those are three major world powers. Oh wait, here's another:

From Globalsecurity.org:




Hmm. That's four countries. Oh, and back to Russia:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/5247350.stm


Seems we're selling lots of stuff to Iran. Of course, Iraq was different right? I mean, it's not like Russia was giving WMD materials and military equipment to Iraq, right?

From Newsmax:



But yeah..you're right. No "agreement."


" I didn't question it's credibility. I said it had an anti-war Point of View. That's fine, but such a POV must be acknowledged when reading something. You're trying to pass it off as a totally neutral timeline of events. It's not. I'm not saying anything is directly fabricated. It's just the POV and your ignoring of it. I already demonstrated how easy it is to come up with something that says the exact opposite it does...using quotes from that site itself. POV is everything. "


Even if it's true that the owners of that website have a " point of view " facts are facts SDW! And that's what that site is all about. It's just full of dry facts with references that you can look up yourself. So no matter how you slice it it's not an editorial it's a listing of facts. By themselves they have no " point of view " and they speak for themselves.
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post #103 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwinter View Post

Ooh! This looks fun! Let me try!

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and care more about party victory over the national interest.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and think politics is a game even when untold thousands are dying every month.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and know in the back of your head that Iraq is broken and we broke it but furiously try to spin anything to make it look like it's not because you care more about looking like you're right than actually being right.

It must suck to be a GOP dead-ender and be so frustrated by the failures of the botched war and the incompetent administration that you have to describe people who want to save soldiers' from death in an endless and senseless conflict as "invested . . . in the defeat of your own country."

Don't forget that it must suck not to be able to read, or understand the import of plain evidence, or indeed to form any opinion of the world at all that isn't steeped in paranoia, fear and rage.

Iraq is the perfect manifestation of the right wing disconnect from what used to be considered consensual reality.

The more drift between documentable fact and turgid, ideological narrative, the more byzantine the elaborations needed to account for the disparity, the more erratic the abrupt changes in what is considered to be of overriding importance, and the more paranoid and brutal the denunciation of the terribly threatening notion that it is still possible for reasonable people to reach fairly confident conclusions about the nature of the world, based on the kind of evidence that reasonable people find compelling.

Reason is an enemy of the state, an obvious tool of sedition. Only faith and obedience can save us now.
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post #104 of 685
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by screener View Post

What Bush's "fools" don't seem to grasp is why trust the same fools to fix the problem that caused the problem.
A forum I visit has had a thread since the beginning of the so called War against Terror and it's 248 pages long.

The consensus is, except for a few fools is this,


Of course sending in more troops will have an effect.
Of course giving Sunnis weapons and money to fight other insurgents helps.

But what happens when the Sunnis run out of "enemies" to kill.
Who's left, the Occupiers that were in the crosshairs, and The Shia.

Armed and funded by the US.
Sound familiar?

Alright, let's assume we agreed that the administration doesn't know how to fix the problem. My question is, if they are so incompetent, where are the alternatives proposed by the "super smarty pants" Democrats? I've heard "the war is lost, the admin is incompetent, Bush lied, get out" etc. No solutions from the people who supposedly foreign policy geniuses. Hmmm.

Meanwhile, the administration has altered tactics considerably and gotten at least decent results lately. Sure, they made some HUGE mistakes. I agree there. For me the biggest ones were not having enough troops to begin with, and disbanding the Iraqi Army. I also thought Bremer was a moron. But clearly there is change happening. Petraeus for example? Unanimously confirmed. Gates? He's not Rumsfeld. So if you consider it that way, it's not really the same people at all.
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post #105 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

Alright, let's assume we agreed that the administration doesn't know how to fix the problem. My question is, if they are so incompetent, where are the alternatives proposed by the "super smarty pants" Democrats? I've heard "the war is lost, the admin is incompetent, Bush lied, get out" etc. No solutions from the people who supposedly foreign policy geniuses. Hmmm.


Dear fucking god. This again? ALTERNATIVES? How about "Let's pull out of Iraq."

That's a totally awesome alternative to the current plan, which is "Let's not pull out of Iraq and see how many people we can get killed in a senseless conflict!"

And "Fix the problem"? I hate to tell you this, but Iraq is going to fix itself whether we're there or not. I swear to God, you sound like someone who's just stirred up a hornets' nest but who insists on staying put until all the hornets get back in there, stings be damned.
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post #106 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwinter View Post

Dear fucking god. This again? ALTERNATIVES? How about "Let's pull out of Iraq."

That's a totally awesome alternative to the current plan, which is "Let's not pull out of Iraq and see how many people we can get killed in a senseless conflict!"

And "Fix the problem"? I hate to tell you this, but Iraq is going to fix itself whether we're there or not. I swear to God, you sound like someone who's just stirred up a hornets' nest but who insists on staying put until all the hornets get back in there, stings be damned.

Right on the nailhead!

You would think people would have learned this lesson from previous conflicts!

No names please.
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post #107 of 685
I can only stare in thunderstruck wonder at this particular trope:

"OK, let's just say, for the say of argument, that Iraq is, in fact, an irredeemable cluster-fuck, and 'Let's Just Stand There and Get Shot At' isn't a great plan. What's your great plan, Mr. Smartypants? Unless you can provide me with a detailed roadmap for something other than Let's Just Stand There and Get Shot At, then, clearly, Let's Just Stand There and Get Shot At is going to have to do. Why do you hate the troops?"
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post #108 of 685
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwinter View Post

Hrm. This looks awfully surge-like:



We have a bunch of troops, then we have fewer troops, then we have a bunch of troops, then we have fewer troops. Let's call these pre-teh surge surges, shall we? Thanks.

Is this really all you have to go on? I know that there have been more troops at times and less at others. No shit. I never claimed otherwise.


Quote:
Prove it. (troop #s)



Prove it. (engagement policies)

#1 is proved by your own graph. About 20,000 additional troops were added. I never said it was 20,000 on top of the highest level. These 20,000 were also used, according to the military, for security operations directly.

#2 was discussed quite a bit during press conferences, both by the military and the administration. Are you saying they're lying?

Quote:

So remind me, then. What the hell were 140K troops doing BEFORE they were hunting insurgents and protecting the population?

Funny, because that's what I thought when this all happened. Apparently their main role was not engaging the enemy directly and directly providing civilian security. A lot of it was related to supporting and training Iraqi units, going on join raids, patrolling, etc. We were also not engaging in the "clear and hold" strategy, according to the military. Overall, one could say it was less aggressive. Therefore, progress was not being made.

Quote:

OKOK! I GIVE IN TO THE AWESOME POWER OF YOUR EVIDENCE!

The "evidence" is not hard to find. Your own graph shows troop numbers, and I'm sure it wouldn't be hard to go find the statements I'm referencing.

Quote:

What "things" were improving, specifically? Bodycounts? The point of Teh Surge™ was to provide space for the Malaki government to work. It hasn't. The point of Teh Surge™ was to help NOT fail to meet 15 of the 18 benchmarks.

You're either ignorant or intellectually dishonest on this point. The number of attacks went down dramatically. From Reuters:

Quote:
Lieutenant-General Raymond Odierno, the number two U.S. military commander in Iraq, said last week had seen the lowest number of violent incidents against civilians and security forces across Iraq in the past 15 months....He said attacks in August were the lowest in 13 months.

From the AP:

Quote:
U.S. combat deaths are down from last spring. In August, at least 83 U.S. soldiers died in Iraq compared with more than 100 a month between April and the end of June.

U.S. officials also say sectarian killings in Baghdad have dropped by more than 50 percent from a high point last winter.

from wiki/NYT:

Quote:
A recent New York Times article describes Anbar as, "undergoing a surprising transformation. Violence is ebbing in many areas, shops and schools are reopening, police forces are growing and the insurgency appears to be in retreat."

Now, those are the good points, or some of them. There are certainly plenty of problems...plenty. But claiming there has been no progress is simply false.

Quote:

Bah. The problem is that congressional dems and people like me saw it for what it was: a re-branding of the same old failed strategy that was entirely designed to drag this out (just wait a few more months!) and banking on the idea that NO ONE ANYWHERE would say "OK. I waited a few more months and Iraq is still broken. NOW WHAT?"

The think like that you really have to believe that the surge has not worked at all. I don't see how anyone looking objectively at the situation can conclude that. I really don't. There has been measurable progress on the security front. If we were doing that same exact thing, how did that happen? I guess it was blind luck?

As for waiting a few more months: I for one said that if the surge didn't help matters I would call for us to pull out. I don't know as I thought about it in these terms before it started, but my feeling was actually that it wouldn't work, or stood less chance of working than it did failing. In percentage terms, I'd say I was about 60/40 against thinking it would work. Honestly. So yes, I am willing to wait a few more months and see what can be done. After mid-2008, enough is enough.


Quote:
No, wait. The problem is the Dems are too much of pussies to cut off funding for this abortion of a War™.

True.

Quote:
The other problem is that, for some reason, the 27% of Americans who think Bush is Teh Awesome™ (like you), will continue to carry water for them.

Like now.

You know, that's really offensive in so many ways. But whatever. I don't think "Bush is Teh Awesome" at all. I've listed time and time again where I disagree with him. The surge is not one of those points.

Quote:

You mean Teh Surge™. And when it doesn't work, I'm sure we'll have Teh Surge II: Electric Boogaloo; or, the same old thing with a new name. Maybe the War Tsar will be involved!

Credit for humor, mid. I for one will not support another surge. I'm telling you...mid 2008 and that's it. Time to start drawing down. Mark my words.


[quote]
Great. How long until I know it's worked? When do we get to see Teh Working™? [quote]

It's working now. But it can't go on forever, even if it is. We need to leave at some point. Given that we will hit a deployment crunch withe military next spring, we're going to have to start bringing the troops home around then.

Quote:
Because, you know, while I'm sure that you have utter, utter confidence that President Clinton will continue The Surge™ indefinitely once she assumes the job, I'd like to know what, precisely, a working surge looks like. Because if this is it? Man. We need a new Surge. Surge Extreme?

It looks like what we're doing now for the most part. I don't really know what President HRC will do, but I do know she won't just pull the troops. She's said as much.

Quote:

Bah. We were flatly told that Teh Surge would find new and inventive ways for our kids to get killed and that then getting killed was evidence of them Surging. And if they're getting killed, Teh Surge™ is working because we're taking "the fight to the enemy."

That's grossly misinterpreted. All that was said was the more troops tend to get killed and injured as the enemy is engaged more directly. It was to be expected. I heard NO ONE claim it was good. Anyone who did so was wrong.

[quote]
And before you can even come back with that nonsense about casualties dropping by half, here. Read something good. [quote]

Those numbers still show progress, particularly in August. Remember, your position has been that nothing has been accomplished.


Quote:
Aw, shit. See above.



Yes, you do.

WTF? Must...resist....urge to call midwinter...a......

I don't support the position. It's a dumb move. It's not needed. Not sure what else to say.

Quote:

No. It WON'T be his report. He testifies before congress. The Admin writes the report.

OK, that's technically true. But two points:

1)
Quote:
What it does mandate, however, is that Petraeus and Crocker deliver an assessment via testimony to the Congress prior to the Sept. 15th benchmark report to be delivered by the WH. And they will indeed do that in both open and closed session.

2) Do you notice how the Dems only started pointing this out and making it a rhetorical point AFTER they learned the surge was having some positive effects? Hmmm..

Also, what's important is what Petraeus says, and how much of his opinion (and Crocker's) is in the report. Calling it all "The Bush Report" is just political wrangling.

Quote:

IT IS ALREADY A LOST CAUSE. It has been a lost cause since we disbanded the Iraqi military.

I don't agree, though I agree that action was a big mistake.

Quote:

My assumption? Where was that again?

Yes, your assumption which is clearly and demonstrably false.

Quote:


Ah. I see. Again, I AM CLEARLY DEFEATED BY THE POWER OF YOUR EVIDENCE HERE.

http://www.nypost.com/seven/03202007...llu.htm?page=0

A good read.

Quote:


Jesus, I'd hate to see what an unmitigated failure looks like in your world.

I just want to make sure I have this right: You're still saying there has been no progress? Here's one from Petreaus himself: (Reuters)

Quote:
The U.S. troop surge in Iraq has thrown al Qaeda off balance and led to a reduction in sectarian violence and bombings, the U.S. commander in Iraq was quoted on Friday by an Australian newspaper as saying.

"We say we have achieved progress, and we are obviously going to do everything we can to build on that progress and we believe al Qaeda is off balance at the very least," General David Petraeus told the Australian in an interview after briefing Australia's defense minister, Brendan Nelson, in Baghdad.

Quote:


Ooh! An Intelligent Design question! Lemme look through my ID debate notes...

yup. Got it. Here's the appropriate response:

When does it finish, again?



Because I heard that he hates the baby Jesus.

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post #109 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

Is this really all you have to go on? I know that there have been more troops at times and less at others. No shit. I never claimed otherwise.

OK. Before I say this, keep in mind that you ask me at a number of points if I can read. So read my lips:

I SAID THAT TEH SURGE WAS A REBRANDING OF THE SAME OLD SAME OLD DESIGNED TO BUY TIME FOR THE ADMINISTRATION TO RIDE OUT THE NEXT 16 MONTHS WITHOUT THE EMBARRASMENT OF PULLING OUT. I SAID THAT TEH SURGE WAS REALLY JUST A WAY OF GETTING PEOPLE TO WAIT "A FEW MORE MONTHS" UNTIL NOVEMBER OF 2008.

And dude, you are COMPLETELY there. Mid-2008, huh? Why not just say "We should wait until November 2008 to see if Teh Surge is working"? It's just as friggin' arbitrary as saying "We'll know in June!"

Quote:
#1 is proved by your own graph. About 20,000 additional troops were added. I never said it was 20,000 on top of the highest level. These 20,000 were also used, according to the military, for security operations directly.

TEH AWESOME! So what you're saying is that, in fact, Teh Surge is really more of the same old same old.

Quote:
#2 was discussed quite a bit during press conferences, both by the military and the administration. Are you saying they're lying?

I'm saying they're carrying water as part of a PR campaign.

Quote:
Funny, because that's what I thought when this all happened. Apparently their main role was not engaging the enemy directly and directly providing civilian security.

Man. It's a good thing they weren't engaging the enemy directly during that time! Again, dude: if they weren't engaging the enemy directly or providing civilian security, WTF were they doing over there?

And it should be "enemies." Plural, not singular.

Quote:
A lot of it was related to supporting and training Iraqi units, going on join raids, patrolling, etc.

Ah, so by going on raids and patrolling, they were not engaging the enemy directly. CAN YOU NOT SEE THAT THIS IS ALL NONSENSE?

Quote:
We were also not engaging in the "clear and hold" strategy, according to the military. Overall, one could say it was less aggressive. Therefore, progress was not being made.

Well, that "therefore" in there TOTALLY makes the logic flow. What, exactly, was the slogan before "clear and hold"? What, precisely, were we doing if not going into places, fighting bad guys, and trying not to lose the territory we'd won?

Again, SDW2001, this is all utter, utter, nonsense.

Quote:
The "evidence" is not hard to find. Your own graph shows troop numbers, and I'm sure it wouldn't be hard to go find the statements I'm referencing.

Apparently it is, since you aren't doing it.

Quote:
You're either ignorant or intellectually dishonest on this point. The number of attacks went down dramatically.

Listen, water-carrier-boy: I don't think you should be telling anyone about being intellectually dishonest.

As for the attacks going down, dig on this:

Quote:
Here are some of the things we know about these statistics: they don't include Sunni-on-Sunni violence, or Shi'a-on-Shi'a violence. They don't include car bombings.

It's REALLY easy to make it look like progress is happening if you change the way you count stuff. Car bombings make you look like you're not progressing? STOP COUNTING THEM!

Quote:
Now, those are the good points, or some of them. There are certainly plenty of problems...plenty. But claiming there has been no progress is simply false.

And again, I made no such claim. I claimed that the point of the surge was to make space for Malaki's gummit. Malaki's gummit failed. Dude, they failed so bad, THEY WENT ON A VACATION.

Quote:
The think like that you really have to believe that the surge has not worked at all. I don't see how anyone looking objectively at the situation can conclude that. I really don't. There has been measurable progress on the security front. If we were doing that same exact thing, how did that happen? I guess it was blind luck?

See above: it's totally about misdirection. The Surge was about the gummit. When the gummit failed to do what it oughta, the Admin started talking about how the surge was teh success because attacks were down if you don't count a whole bunch of attacks like the MASSIVE car bombing that killed FIVE FUCKING HUNDRED PEOPLE.

Quote:
As for waiting a few more months: I for one said that if the surge didn't help matters I would call for us to pull out.

So what you're saying is that "if our strategy of more of the same doesn't work, we should try more of the same to see if maybe THAT works. If that doesn't work, we should pull out, but not after we've called for everyone to just slow down and not rush to judgment!"

Quote:
So yes, I am willing to wait a few more months and see what can be done. After mid-2008, enough is enough.

I'm marking my calendar. Of course, you haven't told us what "not working" would look like. YOu haven't told us what "working" would look like. I mean, I assume that if everyone in Iraq started french kissing and having love-ins and paved the streets with gold and it was a paradise, that'd be a clear success.

So in June, it'll be nice to watch you do more of the same dissembling about definitions of "clusterfuck" and "progress if you ignore the bad bits."

Quote:
You know, that's really offensive in so many ways. But whatever. I don't think "Bush is Teh Awesome" at all. I've listed time and time again where I disagree with him. The surge is not one of those points.

I'm sorry, SDW2001, but you have a long history of saying that you have a long history of disagreeing with Bush, but all you ever do is list stuff that YOU NEVER ACTUALLY TALK ABOUT HERE.

Quote:
It's working now. But it can't go on forever, even if it is. We need to leave at some point. Given that we will hit a deployment crunch withe military next spring, we're going to have to start bringing the troops home around then.

Let's follow this:

Our previous stratyegy of not clearing and not holding didn't work, so we've changed to a strategy of clear and hold made possible by a temporary injection of more troops into Iraq but we know that those troops will also leave in a few months but THIS TIME THE HOLDING IS TOTALLY GOING TO WORK BECAUSE, YOU KNOW, THERE WILL BE FEWER SOLDIERS THERE TO BE IN CHARGE OF HOLDING.

Did I get that right?

Quote:
Those numbers still show progress, particularly in August. Remember, your position has been that nothing has been accomplished.

DO YOU ACTUALLY HAVE THE ABILITY TO READ?

Quote:
2) Do you notice how the Dems only started pointing this out and making it a rhetorical point AFTER they learned the surge was having some positive effects? Hmmm..

Where, exactly, did they learn this? Are you telepathic?

Quote:
I just want to make sure I have this right: You're still saying there has been no progress? Here's one from Petreaus himself: (Reuters)

I AM DEEPLY CONCERNED ABOUT YOUR BRAIN, SDW2001. Please go back to the top of this post and read the bit where I say what I'm saying. Keep reading that until you no longer have the urge to change the subject from what I'm saying to what you wish I were saying.

kthxbye.

Quote:
Put down the bottle. Save some for later. It's Saturday!

I'm about to pick that fucker up again.
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post #110 of 685
SDW, it's been linked to in this thread that, on a year over year basis - which is what matters since attacks vary on a seasonal basis - deaths of US troops is actually UP over last year.

I find the BS about these numbers being spread around by the Bush administration bears a striking resemblance to when Tobacco companies tried, in the face of overwhelming evidence, to obfuscate and blame anything and everything but their products for lung cancer.
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post #111 of 685
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwinter View Post

Dear fucking god. This again? ALTERNATIVES? How about "Let's pull out of Iraq."

That's a totally awesome alternative to the current plan, which is "Let's not pull out of Iraq and see how many people we can get killed in a senseless conflict!"

And "Fix the problem"? I hate to tell you this, but Iraq is going to fix itself whether we're there or not. I swear to God, you sound like someone who's just stirred up a hornets' nest but who insists on staying put until all the hornets get back in there, stings be damned.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmac View Post

Right on the nailhead!

You would think people would have learned this lesson from previous conflicts!

No names please.

Quote:
Originally Posted by addabox View Post

I can only stare in thunderstruck wonder at this particular trope:

"OK, let's just say, for the say of argument, that Iraq is, in fact, an irredeemable cluster-fuck, and 'Let's Just Stand There and Get Shot At' isn't a great plan. What's your great plan, Mr. Smartypants? Unless you can provide me with a detailed roadmap for something other than Let's Just Stand There and Get Shot At, then, clearly, Let's Just Stand There and Get Shot At is going to have to do. Why do you hate the troops?"

You know, I find it hysterically ironic that after assailing conservatives for years for their supposed black and white, no-nuance thinking, this is what you three and your party come up with: Fail and Pull Out, or Stay and Fail.

But that's a false dilemma. It's also typical liberal pessimism. There are always alternatives, especially when consequence of declaring failure and pulling out could well be genocide. We've already seen the changes we've made have been more positive than negative. There is no reason to think that such improvement won't continue in the next few months, where can begin to draw down the right way...in a slow and deliberate fashion as Iraqi units take over.
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post #112 of 685
Round and round we go.

The generals will promote, guess what, the continuation of Teh Surge. Guess they can keep their jobs for a while longer.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070908/...BcCTruYO.s0NUE

I love it. The two "will not consult Bush or their immediate bosses before their appearances Monday and Tuesday, in order to preserve the "independence and the integrity of their testimony," said one official."

Didn't somebody just meet them in Iraq?

 

Your = the possessive of you, as in, "Your name is Tom, right?" or "What is your name?"

 

You're = a contraction of YOU + ARE as in, "You are right" --> "You're right."

 

 

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Your = the possessive of you, as in, "Your name is Tom, right?" or "What is your name?"

 

You're = a contraction of YOU + ARE as in, "You are right" --> "You're right."

 

 

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post #113 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

You know, I find it hysterically ironic that after assailing conservatives for years for their supposed black and white, no-nuance thinking, this is what you three and your party come up with: Fail and Pull Out, or Stay and Fail.

But that's a false dilemma. It's also typical liberal pessimism. There are always alternatives, especially when consequence of declaring failure and pulling out could well be genocide. We've already seen the changes we've made have been more positive than negative. There is no reason to think that such improvement won't continue in the next few months, where can begin to draw down the right way...in a slow and deliberate fashion as Iraqi units take over.

I wonder how many Iraqis were killed in the amount of time it took you to take this potshot at liberals.
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post #114 of 685
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwinter View Post

OK. Before I say this, keep in mind that you ask me at a number of points if I can read. So read my lips:

I SAID THAT TEH SURGE™ WAS A REBRANDING OF THE SAME OLD SAME OLD DESIGNED TO BUY TIME FOR THE ADMINISTRATION TO RIDE OUT THE NEXT 16 MONTHS WITHOUT THE EMBARRASMENT OF PULLING OUT. I SAID THAT TEH SURGE WAS REALLY JUST A WAY OF GETTING PEOPLE TO WAIT "A FEW MORE MONTHS" UNTIL NOVEMBER OF 2008.

And dude, you are COMPLETELY there. Mid-2008, huh? Why not just say "We should wait until November 2008 to see if Teh Surge is working"? It's just as friggin' arbitrary as saying "We'll know in June!"

It's not arbitrary at all. Setting a deadline for getting out...THAT'S arbitrary. I'm saying that by mid-2008 it would seem we'd be at a point where we can safely start to draw down. And yes, personally, I think 5 years is enough already. But that's just my feeling about it.


Quote:
TEH AWESOME! So what you're saying is that, in fact, Teh Surge™ is really more of the same old same old.

Uh, no. We have more troops than we have at any time recently, and their role has changed, as have tactics.

Quote:

I'm saying they're carrying water as part of a PR campaign.

Oh come on. It's ALL bullshit then? Top military personnel are just shoveling shit? There are no new tactics and missions. I mean, there either are or there aren't, If you're saying there aren't, then you're accusing people like Petreaus of lying. Period.

Quote:

Man. It's a good thing they weren't engaging the enemy directly during that time! Again, dude: if they weren't engaging the enemy directly or providing civilian security, WTF were they doing over there?

And it should be "enemies." Plural, not singular.

I believe I already answered that. I also don't think it's "did or didn't." It's a question of degrees/amount of engagement.

Quote:

Ah, so by going on raids and patrolling, they were not engaging the enemy directly. CAN YOU NOT SEE THAT THIS IS ALL NONSENSE?

Speaking of nonsense, you're now just playing semantics. Obviously going on raids is "engaging" the enemy. But how many of those raids were there? What was their size and scope? What was their combat role on these missions? Who was directing the op? Again though, it really comes back to whether or not you think the top brass is lying through their teeth about changing tactics. I'll wait for you to answer that first.

Quote:

Well, that "therefore" in there TOTALLY makes the logic flow. What, exactly, was the slogan before "clear and hold"? What, precisely, were we doing if not going into places, fighting bad guys, and trying not to lose the territory we'd won?

Again, SDW2001, this is all utter, utter, nonsense.

You know, either you're incredibly intellectually dishonest, or you might not be as intelligent as I've assumed. The entire point is that we were raiding various locations, patrolling, etc...but not holding those areas. We'd clear out an area and insurgents would go back in as soon as a few hours later, according to the military at least. We were more on the defensive. There weren't as many engagements. We had a lot of direct civilian security operations turned over to the Iraqis. So now we're taking a more direct role. I think you actually know this...you're just poking at me with a stick at this point.

Quote:
Apparently it is, since you aren't doing it.

So I'm supposed to post evidence that is literally common knowledge at this point? You have to be kidding.

Quote:

Listen, water-carrier-boy: I don't think you should be telling anyone about being intellectually dishonest.

Yeah, that's clever. Show me one example of me being intellectually dishonest. One.

Quote:

As for the attacks going down, dig on this:



It's REALLY easy to make it look like progress is happening if you change the way you count stuff. Car bombings make you look like you're not progressing? STOP COUNTING THEM!

Really...that's your explanation? This is what you're going to counter direct statements from the unanimously confirmed commander in Iraq with? Seriously?

Quote:

And again, I made no such claim. I claimed that the point of the surge was to make space for Malaki's gummit. Malaki's gummit failed. Dude, they failed so bad, THEY WENT ON A VACATION.

And you're telling ME about arbitrary deadlines? Why has the clock run out? I agree the government has had serious problems, but why should we just give up on them now? There has been some political progress recently, although minor (ask me to look that up and I'll brief up my dinner. Really).

Quote:

See above: it's totally about misdirection. The Surge was about the gummit. When the gummit failed to do what it oughta, the Admin started talking about how the surge was teh success because attacks were down if you don't count a whole bunch of attacks like the MASSIVE car bombing that killed FIVE FUCKING HUNDRED PEOPLE.

You want to talk about MISDIRECTION? Stop! I can't take it! How about we discuss the Democratic fucking party, hmm? You know, the one that complained about the security situation being terrible and how it had to improve for the government to succeed? You know, the same one that once military progress became evident, bitched and moaned about the "lack of a political solution?" That Democratic party?

Misdirection my ASS. It's about people that are so utterly and totally invested in defeat in Iraq and hate of George Bush to the point where they cannot acknowledge any positive development whatsoever. Not a one. Attacks could drop 90% and Al-Queda in Iraq could formally surrender, you and yours would still complain about global warming affecting Baghdad. That's where you live right now.

Quote:

So what you're saying is that "if our strategy of more of the same doesn't work, we should try more of the same to see if maybe THAT works. If that doesn't work, we should pull out, but not after we've called for everyone to just slow down and not rush to judgment!"

Uh, no. Perhaps I wasn't clear. I said early on that if the surge didn't work, I would like to see us pull out. But the surge has worked, at least to degree, and I think the military deserves a chance to keep the direction going. At least for a while longer.

Quote:

I'm marking my calendar. Of course, you haven't told us what "not working" would look like. YOu haven't told us what "working" would look like. I mean, I assume that if everyone in Iraq started french kissing and having love-ins and paved the streets with gold and it was a paradise, that'd be a clear success.

So in June, it'll be nice to watch you do more of the same dissembling about definitions of "clusterfuck" and "progress if you ignore the bad bits."

Not working would be steadily increasing attacks, US casualties, no political progress, no more Iraqi military/law enforcement progress, etc.

Working would be fewer attacks, more duty-ready Iraqi units, fewer or steady US casualties, more territory cleared and held/freed of insurgents, political settlements, etc.

My hope would be that by mid-2008 we'd be drawing down. If not, I'm going to want to know why, and what we plan to get to the point where we can. We can't just have an endless cycle of "6 months more." We have to leave at some point.

Quote:

I'm sorry, SDW2001, but you have a long history of saying that you have a long history of disagreeing with Bush, but all you ever do is list stuff that YOU NEVER ACTUALLY TALK ABOUT HERE.

Then you clearly don't read my posts. I've listed it ad nauseam. Immigration/border security. Medicare prescription drug bill. Pork spending beyond belief. Lack of fulfillment on campaign promises such as: additional tax reform, social security reform. How's that for a start?

Quote:

Let's follow this:

Our previous stratyegy of not clearing and not holding didn't work, so we've changed to a strategy of clear and hold made possible by a temporary injection of more troops into Iraq but we know that those troops will also leave in a few months but THIS TIME THE HOLDING IS TOTALLY GOING TO WORK BECAUSE, YOU KNOW, THERE WILL BE FEWER SOLDIERS THERE TO BE IN CHARGE OF HOLDING.

Did I get that right?

No. You didn't.

Quote:

DO YOU ACTUALLY HAVE THE ABILITY TO READ?

Yes. Apparently you don't, though.

Quote:

Where, exactly, did they learn this? Are you telepathic?

Yeah, they must be, seeing as how there is this disease in Washington that MAKES IT IMPOSSIBLE TO PICK UP THE FUCKING TELEPHONE AND TALK TO THE MILITARY COMMANDERS. Also, this disease prevents them from LISTENING TO THE TOP COMMANDER IN IRAQ WHEN HE MAKES STATEMENTS.

Of course, people like Carl Levin are unaffected.

http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/a...EWS07/70820030

Quote:

I AM DEEPLY CONCERNED ABOUT YOUR BRAIN, SDW2001. Please go back to the top of this post and read the bit where I say what I'm saying. Keep reading that until you no longer have the urge to change the subject from what I'm saying to what you wish I were saying.

kthxbye.

You should focus on yourself there, champ. You're the one that thinks Dennis Kucinich should be President of United States . \








I'm about to pick that fucker up again. [/QUOTE]
To save time, assume I know everything.
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post #115 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by SDW2001 View Post

It's not arbitrary at all. Setting a deadline for getting out...THAT'S arbitrary. I'm saying that by mid-2008 it would seem we'd be at a point where we can safely start to draw down. And yes, personally, I think 5 years is enough already. But that's just my feeling about it.




Uh, no. We have more troops than we have at any time recently, and their role has changed, as have tactics.



Oh come on. It's ALL bullshit then? Top military personnel are just shoveling shit? There are no new tactics and missions. I mean, there either are or there aren't, If you're saying there aren't, then you're accusing people like Petreaus of lying. Period.



I believe I already answered that. I also don't think it's "did or didn't." It's a question of degrees/amount of engagement.



Speaking of nonsense, you're now just playing semantics. Obviously going on raids is "engaging" the enemy. But how many of those raids were there? What was their size and scope? What was their combat role on these missions? Who was directing the op? Again though, it really comes back to whether or not you think the top brass is lying through their teeth about changing tactics. I'll wait for you to answer that first.



You know, either you're incredibly intellectually dishonest, or you might not be as intelligent as I've assumed. The entire point is that we were raiding various locations, patrolling, etc...but not holding those areas. We'd clear out an area and insurgents would go back in as soon as a few hours later, according to the military at least. We were more on the defensive. There weren't as many engagements. We had a lot of direct civilian security operations turned over to the Iraqis. So now we're taking a more direct role. I think you actually know this...you're just poking at me with a stick at this point.



So I'm supposed to post evidence that is literally common knowledge at this point? You have to be kidding.



Yeah, that's clever. Show me one example of me being intellectually honest. One.



Really...that's your explanation? This is what you're going to counter direct statements from the unanimously confirmed commander in Iraq with? Seriously?



And you're telling ME about arbitrary deadlines? Why has the clock run out? I agree the government has had serious problems, but why should we just give up on them now? There has been some political progress recently, although minor (ask me to look that up and I'll brief up my dinner. Really).



You want to talk about MISDIRECTION? Stop! I can't take it! How about we discuss the Democratic fucking party, hmm? You know, the one that complained about the security situation being terrible and how it had to improve for the government to succeed? You know, the same one that once military progress became evident, bitched and moaned about the "lack of a political solution?" That Democratic party?

Misdirection my ASS. It's about people that are so utterly and totally invested in defeat in Iraq and hate of George Bush to the point where they cannot acknowledge any positive development whatsoever. Not a one. Attacks could drop 90% and Al-Queda in Iraq could formally surrender, you and yours would still complain about global warming affecting Baghdad. That's where you live right now.



Uh, no. Perhaps I wasn't clear. I said early on that if the surge didn't work, I would like to see us pull out. But the surge has worked, at least to degree, and I think the military deserves a chance to keep the direction going. At least for a while longer.



Not working would be steadily increasing attacks, US casualties, no political progress, no more Iraqi military/law enforcement progress, etc.

Working would be fewer attacks, more duty-ready Iraqi units, fewer or steady US casualties, more territory cleared and held/freed of insurgents, political settlements, etc.

My hope would be that by mid-2008 we'd be drawing down. If not, I'm going to want to know why, and what we plan to get to the point where we can. We can't just have an endless cycle of "6 months more." We have to leave at some point.



Then you clearly don't read my posts. I've listed it ad nauseam. Immigration/border security. Medicare prescription drug bill. Pork spending beyond belief. Lack of fulfillment on campaign promises such as: additional tax reform, social security reform. How's that for a start?



No. You didn't.



Yes. Apparently you don't, though.



Yeah, they must be, seeing as how there is this disease in Washington that MAKES IT IMPOSSIBLE TO PICK UP THE FUCKING TELEPHONE AND TALK TO THE MILITARY COMMANDERS. Also, this disease prevents them from LISTENING TO THE TOP COMMANDER IN IRAQ WHEN HE MAKES STATEMENTS.

Of course, people like Carl Levin are unaffected.

http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/a...EWS07/70820030



You should focus on yourself there, champ. You're the one that thinks Dennis Kucinich should be President of United States . \








I'm about to pick that fucker up again.

[/QUOTE]






Sorry SDW but it really seems like this is going to be a hard sell for you.
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post #116 of 685
Quote:
Yeah, that's clever. Show me one example of me being intellectually honest. One.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.

After that, I don't think I need to respond anymore. It's just fucking perfect.
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post #117 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by franksargent View Post

vinea,

I talked with the person in question on Friday, and mentioned what I posted here. In general, the person told me not to say too much about this or anything that wasn't already in the public domain. I told the person that I am not in the habit of naming names, etceteras.

I had no expectation that he would answer pubically...especially if he had any hope of a 2nd star. It was more for folks to gain an understanding of what leaving less force than is required to get the job done in Iraq.

We would squat in our super FOBs to minimize casualties, going out on patrols in Bradleys and Strykers and getting nearly nothing accomplshed.

You two can debate among yourselves the accuracy of that assessment. I've been reviewing COIN and the new FM. I do think highly of Petraeus and (FWIW as a civ) agree with his assessment of 10 years at current or higher troop commitments. That's because I'm an optimist. The pessimist view held by John Robb (former USAF counterterrorist coordinator) is far bleaker. Of course you kinda have to take a pilot's view on COIN with some bags of rock salt.

I've also looked at the effects of current deployment tempo on the volunteer force. It won't survive 10 years as is. The attrition of O3s last year was an assload of canaries falling over in the mines.

If we are to pursue victory in Iraq we can't assume business as usual. Which from a civilian perspective is exaclty what we've done. There's only so much the military can do in and of itself.

Is America willing to put in that kind of commitment? My assessment is no. If not what will be the final outcome of failing later rather than failing early?

Quote:
As to your particular question regarding bottled water, this person gave me some information, and what I'm about to say is in the public domain, EUWP (100,000 gpd), ROWPU (150,000 gpd), and 'Army Water' Makes Debut in Balad, Baghdad;

FORSCOM has been doing bag water since 1996 for Joint Endeavor.

The "question" wasn't COULD we. The "question" is why the fuck haven't we. No, I don't expect a very candid answer on that one either to the board but YOU might get one. Then you can discuss all the other ways we haven't been doing too brilliantly. That in itself is useful if you can prod any flag officer out of their comfort zone.

Vinea
post #118 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by tonton View Post

Vinea, you have a very good point, and have made a good analogy.

However, is what we're still doing in Iraq "cleaning up the mess" or making it worse?

My personal opinion is that if we commited ourselves to victory...which is a peaceful and stable Iraq in control of her own people we will do more good than harm.

However, the other side of that coin is that if we are not commited to the end goal because we are unwilling to pay the butcher's bill then we will end up doing more harm than good.

Quote:
If we try ceaning up the house in your analogy, and only end up burning it down, burning off an arm in the process, as well as securing our bankruptcy and likely criminal prosecution, wouldn't leaving it be have been a better option?

Yes. But we won't know which option is more harmful until potentially after the fact. My opinion is that of the three possible courses (play to win, forfiet and go home, play a half assed game) the worst is maintaining presence without the commitment for victory.

Given even that simple nuance (OMG its not binary!) I've likely exceeded the brainpower of many current day conservatives to comprehend.

Quote:
I only say that, because unless we have a DRASTIC change in strategy, that's what's going to happen. The situation in Iraq will get WORSE, not better, more of our soldiers will die, countless more Iraqis will die, we'll dig ourselves deeper into insurmountable debt and the international community will finally have had enough, when we lose all remaining credit and the value of the dollar makes pesos rubles and lira look like they would have been better investments. Oh, and fundamentalist Islam will be stronger than ever.

I believe that we have had a drastic change in military strategy to offers the hope of victory. Or at least a change in leadership that offers hope of victory because ultimately no strategy survives contact with the enemy.
post #119 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by midwinter View Post

So remind me, then. What the hell were 140K troops doing BEFORE they were hunting insurgents and protecting the population?

Doing things their own way. Which is why say 4th Infantry Division areas went to shit while 101st airborne areas stabilized. The difference is now we actually have leadership and a more or less unified game plan on how to approach the war.

While troop levels are a key factor, how they are used is another. 500K troops under Odierno (4th ID CO) would still have been a cluster. He might be a good subordinate for Petraeus but if the roles were reversed Teh Surge would be sucking ass.
post #120 of 685
Quote:
Originally Posted by vinea View Post

Doing things their own way. Which is why say 4th Infantry Division areas went to shit while 101st airborne areas stabilized. The difference is now we actually have leadership and a more or less unified game plan on how to approach the war.

While troop levels are a key factor, how they are used is another. 500K troops under Odierno (4th ID CO) would still have been a cluster. He might be a good subordinate for Petraeus but if the roles were reversed Teh Surge would be sucking ass.


Awesome. Now, 6 years in, we have a plan. Oh lord oh lord, I have complete and utter confidence in these people.
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