Originally Posted by @_@ Artman
Good points in that link, I'm not going to dispute these findings (as you would the ACLU) that Iran has acted aggressively. As far as acted upon them, I'd need more evidence. But Russia has changed everything. It is a stand off now. Can't wait for Bush's response...
Thanks for that reply, but let's not compare my source with ACLU. The CFR describes itself as non-partisan.
I still disagree about Russia. I know they made this super secret double probation pact or whatever, but I cannot imagine Russia engaging the United States. Seriously...I don;'t mean to keep pounding here...but you really
think they would do that? Imagine the timeline:
Monday: US attacks with massive air assault and 6,000 targets. The US fires 1,000 tomahawk missiles from 3 carrier battle groups, bunker buster bombs, etc. We target nuke facilities, communications, command and control and duel use facilities. We decide against targeting infrastructure such as bridges.
Tuesday: US assault continues. In 48 hours Iran has lost 80% of its military, its nuclear program, and 100,000 troops.
Wednesday: Russia makes good on its promise and launches a massive counter-attack. Russia launches waves of advanced fighter aircraft and missiles, attacking US positions in the Gulf, in Iran and Iraq. One US carrier is badly damaged and 3 destroyers are lost. We lose 5,000 US troops.
Thursday: WWIII begins. US, British, German and French carriers and subs strike Russian forces in Iran and on deployed Russian naval and air assets. Russia loses 7 submarines, their lone functional carrier, several naval vessels, and 200-300 combat aircraft. The US and NATO demand Russian withdrawal and Iranian surrender.
Friday: Putin, realizing he has overestimated his abilities and feeling desperate, launches tactical nuclear weapons in theater at US troops in Iran and Iraq, and counter-attacks with his remaining conventional air and naval forces. 50,000 US troops die, a carrier and two subs sink, and we lose another destroyer.
Friday, 7 minutes later: The US responds with tactical nukes of its own and destroys several hundred more Russian aircraft, multiple submarines, and hundreds more aircraft. NATO attacks Russian air and naval bases in Russia proper. Neither Russia nor Iran have many military assets left other than conventional ground forces/artillery.
Saturday: NATO demands Russian surrender. If Russia uses further nukes, NATO will respond will full scale ICBM assault. Iran and Iraq are already in ruins, now it's up to Putin.
Sunday: Putin decides NATO is serious and withdraws. Russia lies in ruins as most of its military has been destroyed. Iraq and Iran are uninhabitable. The US/NATO have lost 100,000 troops, 3 carriers, several destroyers, a few subs, 3 B-2s, 250 combat aircraft.
So no...I don't see it happening. Putin has to know the risk of escalation. The most I could see is him supplying weapons.