edit: ookaayy so the second option doesn't really finish the sentence, but you get the idea.
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Official Poll: Optical drive, or no optical drive?
Poll Results: In my ultraportable, I want...
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38% (19)a freaking optical drive
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61% (30)too heavy, leave it out
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Separate: fine, but not in the machine.
Your = the possessive of you, as in, "Your name is Tom, right?" or "What is your name?"
You're = a contraction of YOU + ARE as in, "You are right" --> "You're right."
Your = the possessive of you, as in, "Your name is Tom, right?" or "What is your name?"
You're = a contraction of YOU + ARE as in, "You are right" --> "You're right."
Used the winch on my truck 4 times in 10 years and is worth it's weight in gold when your in the middle of nowhere.
but cityslickers probably wouldn't need one...
----- Fred Blassie 1964
----- Fred Blassie 1964
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Flash discs will be available for any emergency reinstalls of the OS or something like that. They are lighter and have higher capacity (I have a 16 GB flash dic in the form of my iPod nano- sure beats a 4.7 GB DVD), not to mention being a lot faster and having the option to directly boot from the optical drive without all of the weird noises that com from an optical drive while booting.
Your = the possessive of you, as in, "Your name is Tom, right?" or "What is your name?"
You're = a contraction of YOU + ARE as in, "You are right" --> "You're right."
Your = the possessive of you, as in, "Your name is Tom, right?" or "What is your name?"
You're = a contraction of YOU + ARE as in, "You are right" --> "You're right."
And while Apple's at it, they can toss the HHD, replacing it with 32 GB flash.
Now if they could only design a notebook without a hinge, then there would really be no moving parts! (my hinge is broken at the moment -- three and a half years of use -- it's being replaced this week).
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Personally, I would like something that is a practical competitor to the iPhone. The iPhone is too big to fit in my pocket, and I don't mind carrying around a bag if the computer inside is light and actually has a keyboard and a screen that are big enough not be be nearly useless. Beyond sending such descriptive emails as "OK," or "see you at 3," PDA phones are just heavy phones that I have to carry on a belt-pouch, which, by the way, I dislike immensely.
Whether I have common preferences or not is something I imagine Apple marketing has studied, but from a pure business perspective, I can see Apple to be more eager to build a product that is halfway between the iPhone and a MacBook than I can see them just shrinking the MacBook.
The return of the Newton.
I think a convergence device like the iPhone is the future. (Didn't used to, but Apple & Japanese mobiles convinced me.) The question is then: is there space between small convergence devices like the iPhone and full on computing at laptop size (even small laptop size)?
Is the space for a Newton still there? UMPC's don't seem to be doing that great in Windows land and that's the space where this thing would exist.
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As seems to always be the case, it's very hard to predict what Apple will release next. All we have to go on is that Apple has, for the last several years, followed a trend of delivering very focused products. There's not really much evidence that they are even going to release an ultra-portable. But if they do, I think they'll be inclined to go all the way and make it as small and focused as possible. Now that they can use a Flash HD, having an optical drive in there kind of ruins the promise.
OK, so flash is a handy way of storing data and has become pretty cheap of recent but an optical drive (especially DVD) is so useful and commonplace - music/video/data - I really couldn't envisage average Joe walking into a computer store and wanting a notebook without one. CDR/DVDR may be a relatively 'old' technology but it is a popular and proven one. An ultra portable without an optical drive sounds like a niche product to me. How well do niche products sell? Just a thought.
Many apps can be downloaded. Granted that wouldn't work for CS3 but an ultra portable wouldn't be aimed at creative types anyway.
It should come pre loaded with iWork and MS office that can activated via the internet.
What apps would you want on an ultra portable?
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The apps I want on my ultra portable:
iWork
Curio
iPhoto
iMovie 08 (because I want to throw short videos together fast and add a voice-over and then email them) [this is not a must have, but would be good to have; my Clie had a movie editor]
Safari
DVD Player (that could work without the CPU operating)
FlySketch (because I do a lot of quick sketches and also need to capture my screen)
a few other small apps
That will do. I can get work done and also make my presentations. If it had 32 GB of flash memory that would be enough... 64 GB would rock; an optional tiny 80GB HD would add functionality for larger files (it should be removable and have a tiny power switch to allow it to be turned off entirely while in the computer so as not to draw any amps at all). The user should be able to transfer apps and files to the flash memory and then shut down the HD.
Your = the possessive of you, as in, "Your name is Tom, right?" or "What is your name?"
You're = a contraction of YOU + ARE as in, "You are right" --> "You're right."
Your = the possessive of you, as in, "Your name is Tom, right?" or "What is your name?"
You're = a contraction of YOU + ARE as in, "You are right" --> "You're right."

I'm thinking more along the lines of a "traditional" laptop form factor than the stuff we see in UMPC land, but with 3G/4G cellular built in and enough battery (plus a low power design) such that the run time is fairly good. The iPhone will be the new "Newton," if it isn't already. The difference is that a larger screen and a keyboard are very good for conducting text-centric business, and an iPhone (or PDA, or UMPC) just isn't. PDA smartphones are "better than nothing" for conducting email dialogs, but that's just it. If there were a subnotebook that's convenient enough to pop open virtually anywhere and has 3G/4G, that's an interesting market, I would think. I'd say the target is 1kg and several hours of battery run time.
Ah. Let's seperate everything out:
At the pocketlevel we have smartphones using a mobile embedded operating system. This is the Treo or iPhone. It's the Swiss army device designed to replace phone/iPod/camera/PDA and is mostly about content, communication, and scheduling. The evolution of the PDA into the smartphone, and now into multimedia (or, the PDA/multimedia Sony Clie crossed with a phone).
Technically speaking PDAs live here as well, but the smartphone has taken over the PDA market.
At the freakishly large pocket level, or small bag level, we have:
-UMPC: Small tablet using a full operating system (should be using an embedded operating system).
-Newton: Small tablet using an embedded operating system (aka a UMPC done right).
-eMate: embedded operating system in tiny laptop form, like a useful Palm Foleo[1].
-Subnotebooks: full operating system in mini laptop form, with limited computing resources.
Above that is the usual line-up of laptops & the larger tablets.
No one is proposing a Newton/UMPC device (I meant, earlier, something that lives in the same size space) as the iPhone basically has that area covered (As TheAppleBlog argues). Furthermore I'd love a subnotebook (11" MacBook Nano) but it would require (IMO) a major expansion of the laptop line-up to the 15" MacBook and 13" MacBook Pro and I don't know if Apple sells enough to do that yet. Plus it would be at least 2K.
That leaves the eMate slot. jkOnTheRun recently argues for exactly this and I tend to agree. It would run Mobile OS X just like the iPhone, but adding an SDK means it would also be able to port over regular Mac OS X programs easily enough (redesign the user interface, basically). Combine a real keyboard with multitouch and you have something really nice. With WiFi+3G (maybe a 3G card slot so it can use both UMTS and EV-DO high speed, plus future 4G tech) it has, or will have, internet pretty much anywhere.
Please note this is not a subnotebook, and runs Mobile OS X. Therefore, like the iPhone, you download the programs and OS updates directly OTA (like the eMate, no optical drive). Expand the WiFi iTunes store to include video & podcasts (+access over 3G).
[1] The eMate had 24 hours of battery, the Foleo had a couple hours. The Foleo needed a Palm Treo, the eMate had a card slot. A modern eMate could do multimedia (as it would be a scaled up iPhone, basically) and the Palm Foleo couldn't.
That leaves the eMate slot. jkOnTheRun [URL="http://jkontherun.blogs.com/jkontherun/2007/09/we-need-a-real-.html"
recently argues for exactly this[/URL] and I tend to agree. It would run Mobile OS X just like the iPhone, but adding an SDK means it would also be able to port over regular Mac OS X programs easily enough (redesign the user interface, basically). Combine a real keyboard with multitouch and you have something really nice. With WiFi+3G (maybe a 3G card slot so it can use both UMTS and EV-DO high speed, plus future 4G tech) it has, or will have, internet pretty much anywhere.
Please note this is not a subnotebook, and runs Mobile OS X. Therefore, like the iPhone, you download the programs and OS updates directly OTA (like the eMate, no optical drive). Expand the WiFi iTunes store to include video & podcasts (+access over 3G).
[1] The eMate had 24 hours of battery, the Foleo had a couple hours. The Foleo needed a Palm Treo, the eMate had a card slot. A modern eMate could do multimedia (as it would be a scaled up iPhone, basically) and the Palm Foleo couldn't.
I'm not familiar with the eMate, but what you suggest seems like a toy and not capable of serious work.
Where I think a ultra portable is useful is for road warriors who use MS office and for and app like keynote. When I go to medical conferences this is where I see a lot of pc ultra portables and I think there is a real market here for Apple.
(a) the popularity of thumb (USB) drives,
(b) their relative inexpensiveness, and,
(c) wide range of storage capacities,
would it be possible for apple to provide the OSX installation files on a read-only thumb drive?
this could also probably contain various other apps, e.g., iwork, ilife, etc.
just a random thought... arguments/agreements welcome!

I'm not familiar with the eMate, but what you suggest seems like a toy and not capable of serious work.
Where I think a ultra portable is useful is for road warriors who use MS office and for and app like keynote. When I go to medical conferences this is where I see a lot of pc ultra portables and I think there is a real market here for Apple.
Could the iPhone run MS Office and Keynote? Almost certainly. Hence anything based on the iPhone could do so as welland this eMate II would probably be quite a bit faster.
Subnotebooks really don't have a lot of power at their disposal, this wouldn't be that much worse.
Look I want a subnotebook for myself, but I could totally see Apple scaling the iPhone/iPod Touch upwards instead of scaling the MacBook downwards.
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