Originally Posted by THT
Not that obvious.
Well I did say slowly!! The biggest problem with the iPhone is that there is no software development road map. So no one knows where Apple is going with this device. That makes it difficult to say things are slow because we don't know the destination.
The biggest features has been the iTunes WiFi Store app and ringtones. That's about it outside of bug fixes and optimizations.
Bug fixes and optimizations are pretty huge and may indicate stabilization of the interfaces. When I see bug fixes and speed ups happening at the same time I'm pretty happy as it means there is still a lot of effort going into the iPhone.
It hasn't been slow, it's been glacial. They've got a lot, and I'm mean a lot, of work still left to do for the iPhone, and they can't staff up quick enough.
It all depends if they are taking the iPhone in the same direction we want it to go in. Frankly I'm not sure this is the case. There is enough missing from the iPhone to keep me from buying one, but that doesn't seem to be the common case. The biggest problem is that even though there is much missing there isn't much competition.
The SDK can't come soon enough (I imagine an SDK helping Apple as much as 3rd party developers, if not more).
I agree with that! The big problem is will Apple deliver that SDK in a way that is acceptable to the community? I'm not sure at all.
Safari should have a Flash plugin. iPhone Safari should have a plugin architecture period.
I believe in both case here Apple is trying to guard against exhaustion of memory. I'm just not sure they can get reliable Flash in the memory foot print they have. Personally I hate flash but that is another matter all together.
There should be a To Do app (or functionality existing in Mail). Notes should be better. There should be a much more functional calculator (scientific option at least). There's probably untold improvements needed in Mail and Messaging applications. There's definitely untold number of UI improvements left to do everywhere in the device. There's just a lot to do.
You hit upon some real issues above. I suspect there is a plan and part of that plan required getting a new rev of Mac OS/X out. On the flip side I don't think we will ever see a better calculator from Apple.
In any event I very much agree with its unfinished nature. If I thought that this was all we would get I would have lost interest sometime ago. Instead I'd rather see evidence that Apple will produce a software suite that fills my needs.
It's amazing the as-shipped software has been that good.
I'm not even sure it was that good. As you may have noticed the software updates replace just about everything on the phone. That to me indicates a punt, that is they saw quality issues across the device and decided to refresh everything with the same feature set and try to increase code quality before going further.
Couldn't agree with more on a low end version of the iPhone in the $150 to $250 range. And it'll need to be smaller. Perhaps a 3 inch 320 x 480 version around 4" x 2" in length and width. 8 and 16 GB storage would be the minimum for a low end and high version of the low end iPhone.
Actually what I'm thinking about here is a IPod nano (old design) form factor. This would make use of the click wheel interface to enter or select numbers, it will be based on outstanding pattens. Obviously a lot of stuff to squeeze into an old Nano form factor but they may very well stretch it or make it a folder.
At least UMTS (~750 kbit/s) data network. All the normal iPhone apps (with many, if not all, of them having to be redesigned for a smaller screen). And I'm sorry to say, that text input will likely have to be through a soft T9 keypad. After spending a month overseas, I afraid T9 is going to be like the QWERTY of cell phones.
T9?? I'd have to say that Apple really needs a low cost phone that leaves out most of the current iPhone application set. We are talking real small here and a user interface that is tight. Plus there would be no practical way to manipulate the screen on a device this small. The goal being to provide a platform with Cell and iPod functionality.
People are already used to it and it'll be just too difficult to get people to change. Apple will have to have a low end version if they want anything more than 1% market share in the cell phone market.
Almost every manufacture of cell phones has unit with dissimilar interfaces. Apple just needs a phone that can function at the rock bottom of the business. Making it compatible with iPhone would be a mistake in my mind. That doesn't mean ignoring easy to use or being competitive on the market but does realize that a lot of people don't care about smart phones at all.
I think the current iPhone has a lot of room for improvement in the hardware front. HSDPA/HSUPA is obvious, and possible by 2Q 08, when low power 3G chipsets should be in mass production. So, a 3G version of an iPhone Apple would like to ship should be possible by Summer 2008. I say a version Apple would like to ship because they could have shipped a 3G iPhone in June if they wanted.
What Apple needs are new models. The hardware on the current model is perfectly good. As to 3G I don't get to wrapped up in that, there are other things I'd like to see. For example:
A larger screen with a much higher pixel count.
Larger on board flash.
A USB host port.
A port for a Flash card.
It would probably have to be 18 mm thick, but it was definitely possible. I also think there is room to grow the screen to 4 inches by reducing the size of the Home button (like the iPod touch), growing the screen more towards the earpiece, and growing towards the sides as much as physically possible. So, 4" at something like 600 x 400 or 640 x 400 if Apple wants to use a 16/10 aspect ratio. Lastly, there should be a 100 to 160 GB HDD version.
Except for the HDD it is pretty amazing that we are thinking along the same lines here.
Don't think I agree with on an UMPC or tablet version. The market is pretty small for such a thing, unless it can become a real note-taking educational and e-book type device.
The market is small because of what they offer up as a device. Offering up Cell, via the smart phone concept, makes a tablet much more interesting and valuable to carry. In many ways I see the iPhone as Apples first attempt at an internet tablet like device. It has all the features one would need except for the high resolution & larger screen. Throwing a bit more technology at it would provide for more functionality. For example FLASH storage, there isn't a use case for the iPhone that can't see more storage as an aid in keeping the customer happy.
So to answer the original post, I think the version 2 of the iPhone will appear in April/May 2008 as a 3G device with 16 GB memory. But I also think a low end iPhone will appear sometime in the Summer. Apple desperately needs that low end iPhone, not to mention a large storage version (at least 64 GB) either.
Personally I expect an iPhone bump in the first couple of months of the new year. This will increase memory to 16GB as there is considerable demand for this, the hardware will other wise be the same. Along with that there is likely to be a significant change in the OS for these devices. OR there better be!
Just doubling the memory ought to move the iPhone along in sales significantly. Get a real revision to the OS out that delivers a desirable set of new features is important also.