Originally Posted by csimmons
Call me when 3g is as widespread in the US as EDGE is.
Europe and Asia is a totally different story, though; 3G is pretty much ubiquitous, and here is where Apple will generate the most revenue with the iPhone when a 3G version comes out, not in the US.
Sales in Europe may not be very high compared to the US, but the interest definitely is. Please don't forget that the current 4 million sales number is from only 4 countries and 4 carriers. Considering that, 4 million in sales is very good.
Europe and Asia will help Apple reach the 10 million mark by the end of the year.
I agree on the first count. However, 3G in Europe and Asia is not as ubiquitous as many think. Italy is reported the highest with nearly 20% market penetration. It is estimated that the mobile market amounts to just over 500 million customers in Europe.
However, Japan outpaces everybody else, but the rest of Asia is minimal.European 3g Penetration Passes 10%
"The penetration of 3G services in Europe's connection base reached 10% in the latter part of October 2007, having stood at 9.75% at the end of the third quarter. W-CDMA net additions reached a record 9.1 million in the third quarter, up more than 1 million on the previous high of 8 million recorded three months ago, to leave the total customer base at 68.3 million." http://www.cellular-news.com/story/28153.php
One thing that we should keep in mind is that the relative successes of mobile service employments enjoyed in Europe and Japan can be attributed relatively to the physical size of the country and its population density. The smaller the country, the easier and less expensive it is to build, maintain and regulate their mobile services.
Countries like the US and Canada are at a significant disadvantage, particularly Canada. China's and India's geographical size is compromised monetarily even though it has significantly higher populations. That and the foreign ownership and communication regulation policies enforced by national governments. Some are very open and other extremely regulated.