Originally Posted by SDW2001
Uh...let's look at that for a second. In 2004, PA was within 5 points. Despite the unpopularity of the Iraq war, Bush won FL and OH as well. That was against John Kerry...who, while liberal, at least had experience in the Senate and in the military.
In 2000, PA was close as well. Gore was running as a moderate.
In 1996, Dole had no chance. He ran a terrible campaign against Clinton who at the time had good approval ratings.
In 1992, Clinton won because of one man: Ross Perot. Period.
And in 1988? Oh look...here we have a very liberal Dem candidate against a fairly moderate Republican. And guess who won? Hmmm.
In 2000 Gore lost FL because of Nader and the Green Party, and Gore a moderate? Yeah, I guess so, relative to Nader, but then who isn't.
Hmmm, Obama != Dukakis
!= Bush (41)
In 1988 VP Bush (41) was running, against a very weak Democrat, this time Johnny is running for Bush's (43) 3rd term!
GWB Public Opinion [Approve
Good luck having GWB campaign successfully anywhere
in support of McCain.
So the fact still remains that PA was in the Democratic column the last four presidential elections, Bush has the lowest approval ratings of any POTUS that I can remember in my adult life, gas prices and food prices are going through the roof, the economy seems to be truly heading south, an extended U.S. occupation of two sovereign nations with no end in sight (particularly if McCain is elected), the housing crisis continues, etceteras.
There is no PA senator up for office in 2008. Specter
is a moderate, to say the least, and I wish him a return to good health, but unfortunately his cancer has returned;
On 15 April 2008, he announced his cancer had returned.
So he may not be a factor in supporting McCain in the fall. But like I already said I wish him a good and speedy recovery, he's one of my favorite Republicans (and that's saying a lot
In the 2006 PA senatorial race Casey
literally hammered Santorum
by a whopping 17.4% points. Santorum was running for his 3rd term, so basically, another one bites the dust. Good riddance to bad rubbish.
In the PA 2006 House of Representative races, there was a swing of four representatives from the Republican side to the Democratic side, so what was a 12 to 7 Republican lead, is now a 11 to 8 Democratic lead going into the fall election;United States congressional delegations from Pennsylvania
Heck the D's might even pick up a couple of House seats in the fall election.
Note also, that the PA governor and lieutenant governor, Rendell
, respectively, are both Democrats, and those posts are also not under contention this fall.
So considering all of the above factors, and the DNC, the Democratic party machine in PA is as strong as it's ever been, and PA will definitely go into the win column for whomever the Democratic presidential nominee happens to be.
Swing batter swing! You now have (or will have) an 0-2 count, and I'm winding up for the final