ZOMG WOZ WRONG!!
ZOMG WOZ LAME!!
ZOMG WOZ ZUCKS!!
ZOMG WOZ CLULESS!!
ZOMG WOZ WOOOOOOZZZ!!!!!
WTF is this, the spanish inquisition?
And haven't you all just supported his religion analogy with your blanket dismissals and outraged indignity? Bear in mind that religions don't work on FORCING people to not challenge the status quo, but by bending them mentally so that they are predisposed not to. Seems pretty religious in here right now.
Now, Woz's claim that iPod is going the way of the dodo: There's some merit in that. The iPod as a music player only is almost dead. The shuffle is the only one that still just does music, and it's a niche item. The original iPod is, for all intents and purposes, already dead. It has evolved into a different device entirely, namely, the Multi Touch platform device. This is epitomized in the iPod Touch, and in the iPhone. These are not music players any more. They are what the PDA should have been all along. The other models, the nano, and classic, in particular, are definitely on the way out the door, and are around still only because large portions of the population either prefer a lower price point, larger storage, or smaller size, or just don't want to move over to one of them thar newfangled contraptions. Their market share will shrink though, as Apple continues to develop the MT models, and people get used to them. Walkman didn't die, it got replaced, slowly, by the cd player, which, in turn, was replaced by the MD player*, which was replaced by iPod.
Now on to stocks. Apple is way overpriced. In the beginning, stock value was originally based off of (in large part) the amount of dividend that a particular company paid to its shareholders. A stock, sans speculative buying, has no other value. Microshaft hit $400 (or whatever ungodly number it was) not because they were paying out large dividends that made it a reasonable investment, but because market-manglers, such as those who have brought on the current financial crisis, saw it was rising and bet that it would rise more. It's a completely false value that has been built up. Apple's shares, if we dispense with the absurd logic that does nothing for you will increase in value just because other people also want it to do nothing for them, are totally worthless right now. Apple hasn't paid a dividend in DECADES (correct me if I'm wrong). So Woz isn't too far off the mark to say that Apple is overpriced. Also, it is an observed phenomena that the markets BASH THE HELL out of Apple's stock over even the SLIGHTEST HINT that Steve J. is NOT inventing something insanely great this week. Apple is a volatile stock, so it isn't reasonable to assign it the same value as more stable ones, even accepting speculative buying. So stop with the paranoia and blind devotion to your portfolio, and give him some credit for having actually thought about this.
As to his programming skills: Are you all totally freaking retarded? Are you really trying to convince everyone that a guy who basically started the PC industry would not, over the course of 30 some odd years, EVER bother to learn C++? Are you stupid? The guy doesn't have a JOB. He has tons of time. Of COURSE he would. He is GEEK. Hear him code.
Now, as to why not do it on the desktop, the answer is that, duh, not everything is suited for desktop. Like live navigation, for example. Are you REALLY going to go geocaching with your Mac Pro strapped to your back? Live navigation just happens to be one of those things which is prohibited by Apple's iPhone SDK license agreement. Case closed.
Just to head off some of you chuckleheads at the pass, it is painfully apparent that a platform which is TOO open, such as Windows Mobile, is prone to being shredded by crap software which is both poorly designed, and poorly coded. Having a restricted platform is good, but having it excessively restricted is bad. I'm reading Woz as saying that Apple is leaning a bit far on the too-restricted side of things. I have no argument with him on that.
*J/K. Just making sure you're paying attention.